Odds · Bandwagon model

NCAA Division I men's basketball odds Monday, November 2

Win chance, spread and total for every game. Today's NCAA Division I men's basketball predictions · Standings · every league

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide

NCAA Division I men's basketball odds Monday, November 2

116 games

Game	Kick (ET)	Axle win	Spread	Total	Moneyline (away / home)	Movement
Huskies at Tigers neutral site	Final 87–89	Tigers 62%	Tigers −4.5	145.5	+160 / −160	no move	Matchup
Warriors at Mountaineers neutral site	Final 49–63	Warriors 54%	PK	145.5	−119 / +119	spread −4 → PK, home 60% → 46%	Matchup
Racers at Tigers neutral site	Final 94–64	Tigers 58%	Tigers −3.5	145.5	+139 / −139	no move	Matchup
Miners at Norse neutral site	Final 76–84	Norse 64%	Norse −5	145.5	+181 / −181	no move	Matchup
Roadrunners at Spartans	Final 74–95	Spartans 73%	Spartans −7.5	145.5	+269 / −269	no move	Matchup
Retrievers at Patriots	Final 54–82	Patriots 64%	Patriots −5	145.5	+176 / −176	no move	Matchup
Blazers at Cowboys neutral site	Final 78–99	Cowboys 65%	Cowboys −5	145.5	+184 / −184	spread −5.5 → −5	Matchup
Falcons at Panthers	Final 76–73	Panthers 52%	Panthers −2	145.5	+108 / −108	no move	Matchup
Hurricanes at Gators neutral site	Final 67–77	Gators 68%	Gators −6	145.5	+215 / −215	no move	Matchup
Golden Grizzlies at Wolverines	Final 68–84	Wolverines 91%	Wolverines −16	145.5	+990 / −990	no move	Matchup
Waves at Big Red	Final 85–86	Big Red 83%	Big Red −11.5	145.5	+473 / −473	no move	Matchup
Black Knights at Blue Devils	Final 50–84	Blue Devils 95%	Blue Devils −20.5	145.5	+1900 / −1900	no move	Matchup
Blue Devils at Owls	Final 56–68	Owls 68%	Owls −6	145.5	+211 / −211	no move	Matchup
Greyhounds at Hoyas	Final 58–80	Hoyas 76%	Hoyas −8.5	145.5	+315 / −315	no move	Matchup
Hawks at Red Storm	Final 63–78	Red Storm 84%	Red Storm −12	145.5	+516 / −516	no move	Matchup
Falcons at Raiders	Final 71–102	Raiders 88%	Raiders −14	145.5	+727 / −727	no move	Matchup
Eagles at Bearcats	Final 53–79	Bearcats 78%	Bearcats −9.5	145.5	+354 / −354	no move	Matchup
Cardinals at Eagles	Final 55–67	Eagles 74%	Eagles −8	145.5	+285 / −285	no move	Matchup
Knights at Commodores	Final 47–93	Commodores 88%	Commodores −14	145.5	+709 / −709	no move	Matchup
Bison at Terrapins	Final 67–96	Terrapins 77%	Terrapins −9	145.5	+335 / −335	no move	Matchup
Bulls at Thundering Herd	Final 65–92	Thundering Herd 68%	Thundering Herd −6	145.5	+212 / −212	no move	Matchup
49ers at Sycamores	Final 78–70	Sycamores 63%	Sycamores −5	145.5	+171 / −171	no move	Matchup
Big Green at Red Foxes	Final 69–62	Red Foxes 75%	Red Foxes −8.5	145.5	+308 / −308	no move	Matchup
Panthers at Hoosiers	Final 57–91	Hoosiers 81%	Hoosiers −10.5	145.5	+427 / −427	no move	Matchup
Phoenix at Lions	Final 84–71	Lions 71%	Lions −7	145.5	+249 / −249	no move	Matchup
Eagles at Chanticleers	Final 71–70	Chanticleers 72%	Chanticleers −7.5	145.5	+256 / −256	no move	Matchup
Eagles at Knights	Final 95–96	Knights 74%	Knights −8	145.5	+279 / −279	no move	Matchup
Bison at Bulldogs	Final 62–72	Bulldogs 75%	Bulldogs −8.5	145.5	+296 / −296	no move	Matchup
Tigers at Red Raiders	Final 42–76	Red Raiders 87%	Red Raiders −13.5	145.5	+680 / −680	no move	Matchup
Leopards at Bulldogs	Final 60–96	Bulldogs 78%	Bulldogs −9.5	145.5	+351 / −351	no move	Matchup
Sharks at Owls	Final 60–74	Owls 64%	Owls −5	145.5	+179 / −179	no move	Matchup
Trojans at Rams	Final 72–82	Rams 88%	Rams −14	145.5	+720 / −720	no move	Matchup
Minutemen at Trojans	Final 71–60	Trojans 73%	Trojans −8	145.5	+273 / −273	no move	Matchup
Black Bears at Friars	Final 56–83	Friars 79%	Friars −10	145.5	+380 / −380	no move	Matchup
Tigers at Cyclones neutral site	Final 80–76	Cyclones 76%	Cyclones −9	145.5	+324 / −324	no move	Matchup
RedHawks at Dukes	Final 86–77	Dukes 51%	Dukes −1.5	145.5	+103 / −103	no move	Matchup
Mountaineers at Musketeers	Final 52–97	Musketeers 66%	Musketeers −5.5	145.5	+195 / −195	no move	Matchup
Huskies at Terriers	Final 85–93	Terriers 75%	Terriers −8.5	145.5	+299 / −299	no move	Matchup
Chargers at Orange	Final 58–74	Orange 72%	Orange −7.5	145.5	+262 / −262	no move	Matchup
Purple Eagles at Mountaineers	Final 46–91	Mountaineers 85%	Mountaineers −12.5	145.5	+565 / −565	no move	Matchup
Highlanders at Flyers	Final 58–89	Flyers 85%	Flyers −12.5	145.5	+579 / −579	no move	Matchup
Bobcats at Spartans	Final 59–96	Spartans 81%	Spartans −10.5	145.5	+425 / −425	no move	Matchup
Broncs at Panthers	Final 57–95	Panthers 81%	Panthers −10.5	145.5	+430 / −430	no move	Matchup
Hatters at Tigers	Final 72–85	Tigers 85%	Tigers −12.5	145.5	+558 / −558	no move	Matchup
Tommies at Blue Hose	Final 87–78	Tommies 54%	PK	145.5	−119 / +119	no move	Matchup
Bulldogs at Spiders	Final 77–100	Spiders 64%	Spiders −5	145.5	+178 / −178	no move	Matchup
Wildcats at Bears	Final 59–55	Bears 71%	Bears −7	145.5	+240 / −240	no move	Matchup
Spartans at Pirates	Final 70–83	Pirates 70%	Pirates −6.5	145.5	+230 / −230	no move	Matchup
Catamounts at Gaels	Final 55–56	Gaels 60%	Gaels −4	145.5	+148 / −148	no move	Matchup
Catamounts at Tar Heels	Final 72–80	Tar Heels 81%	Tar Heels −10.5	145.5	+416 / −416	no move	Matchup
Broncos at Monarchs	Final 49–61	Monarchs 69%	Monarchs −6.5	145.5	+220 / −220	no move	Matchup
Penguins at Bonnies	Final 79–71	Bonnies 68%	Bonnies −6	145.5	+213 / −213	no move	Matchup
Fighting Camels at Wolfpack	Final 64–83	Wolfpack 75%	Wolfpack −8.5	145.5	+302 / −302	no move	Matchup
Golden Griffins at Nittany Lions	Final 57–97	Nittany Lions 72%	Nittany Lions −7.5	145.5	+254 / −254	no move	Matchup
Chippewas at Warhawks	Final 83–78	Warhawks 50%	Warhawks −1.5	145.5	+100 / −100	no move	Matchup
Pioneers at Badgers	Final 68–75	Badgers 85%	Badgers −13	145.5	+587 / −587	no move	Matchup
Boilermakers at Bulldogs neutral site	Final 72–78	Bulldogs 54%	Bulldogs −2.5	145.5	+117 / −117	no move	Matchup
Golden Flashes at Bulldogs	Final 75–85	Bulldogs 60%	Bulldogs −4	145.5	+147 / −147	no move	Matchup
Dolphins at Cornhuskers	Final 64–106	Cornhuskers 87%	Cornhuskers −13.5	145.5	+660 / −660	no move	Matchup
Bisons at Redhawks	Final 79–86	Redhawks 64%	Redhawks −5	145.5	+175 / −175	no move	Matchup
Lakers at Golden Eagles	Final 43–78	Golden Eagles 74%	Golden Eagles −8	145.5	+277 / −277	no move	Matchup
Eagles at Hilltoppers	Final 58–83	Hilltoppers 67%	Hilltoppers −6	145.5	+200 / −200	no move	Matchup
Midshipmen at Revolutionaries	Final 39–91	Revolutionaries 61%	Revolutionaries −4.5	145.5	+158 / −158	no move	Matchup
Eagles at Bulldogs	Final 62–78	Bulldogs 84%	Bulldogs −12	145.5	+521 / −521	no move	Matchup
Peacocks at Pirates	Final 42–66	Pirates 73%	Pirates −7.5	145.5	+266 / −266	no move	Matchup
Golden Eagles at Bulldogs	Final 88–106	Bulldogs 74%	Bulldogs −8	145.5	+280 / −280	no move	Matchup
Buccaneers at Bulls	Final 71–98	Bulls 84%	Bulls −12	145.5	+523 / −523	no move	Matchup
Zips at Ragin' Cajuns	Final 75–61	Zips 64%	Zips −2.5	145.5	−182 / +182	no move	Matchup
Islanders at Bobcats	Final 55–67	Bobcats 64%	Bobcats −5	145.5	+175 / −175	no move	Matchup
Bearcats at Wildcats	Final 60–86	Wildcats 83%	Wildcats −11.5	145.5	+489 / −489	no move	Matchup
Bulldogs at Ramblers	Final 52–77	Ramblers 73%	Ramblers −8	145.5	+272 / −272	no move	Matchup
Lions at Sooners	Final 68–64	Sooners 85%	Sooners −12.5	145.5	+583 / −583	no move	Matchup
Knights at Fighting Illini	Final 45–120	Fighting Illini 92%	Fighting Illini −17	145.5	+1114 / −1114	no move	Matchup
Rams at Jayhawks	Final 65–95	Jayhawks 81%	Jayhawks −10.5	145.5	+414 / −414	no move	Matchup
Paladins at Wildcats neutral site	Final 79–70	Paladins 53%	Wildcats −0.5	145.5	−115 / +115	no move	Matchup
Roos at Bluejays	Final 61–76	Bluejays 87%	Bluejays −14	145.5	+695 / −695	no move	Matchup
Mountain Hawks at Billikens	Final 67–92	Billikens 84%	Billikens −12	145.5	+529 / −529	no move	Matchup
Bobcats at Jaguars	Final 86–77	Jaguars 72%	Jaguars −7.5	145.5	+254 / −254	no move	Matchup
Saints at Bulldogs	Final 75–80	Saints 57%	Saints −0.5	145.5	−132 / +132	no move	Matchup
Jaguars at Mustangs	Final 72–85	Mustangs 76%	Mustangs −8.5	145.5	+310 / −310	no move	Matchup
Rockets at Red Wolves	Final 70–71	Red Wolves 68%	Red Wolves −6.5	145.5	+215 / −215	no move	Matchup
Hawks at Demon Deacons	Final 62–83	Demon Deacons 83%	Demon Deacons −11.5	145.5	+475 / −475	no move	Matchup
Skyhawks at Green Wave	Final 98–100	Green Wave 63%	Green Wave −5	145.5	+172 / −172	no move	Matchup
Wolves at Blue Demons	Final 58–75	Blue Demons 72%	Blue Demons −7.5	145.5	+255 / −255	no move	Matchup
Leathernecks at Beacons	Final 58–80	Beacons 85%	Beacons −12.5	145.5	+583 / −583	no move	Matchup
Braves at Rebels	Final 58–99	Rebels 81%	Rebels −10.5	145.5	+428 / −428	no move	Matchup
Golden Eagles at Bears	Final 55–85	Bears 81%	Bears −11	145.5	+438 / −438	no move	Matchup
Wildcats at Buffaloes	Final 59–94	Buffaloes 75%	Buffaloes −8.5	145.5	+308 / −308	no move	Matchup
Cougars at Longhorns	Final 59–109	Longhorns 87%	Longhorns −13.5	145.5	+652 / −652	no move	Matchup
Wildcats at Cougars	Final 76–61	Cougars 58%	Cougars −3.5	145.5	+139 / −139	no move	Matchup
Runnin' Bulldogs at Huskies	Final 46–86	Huskies 95%	Huskies −20	145.5	+1760 / −1760	no move	Matchup
Explorers at Cougars	Final 55–94	Cougars 91%	Cougars −16.5	145.5	+1016 / −1016	no move	Matchup
Beach at Utes	Final 63–66	Utes 69%	Utes −6.5	145.5	+219 / −219	no move	Matchup
Buckeyes at Cougars neutral site	Final 83–94	Cougars 51%	Cougars −1.5	145.5	+106 / −106	no move	Matchup
Tigers at Lopes	Final 79–103	Lopes 82%	Lopes −11.5	145.5	+469 / −469	no move	Matchup
Cardinals at Cowboys	Final 60–91	Cowboys 78%	Cowboys −9.5	145.5	+356 / −356	no move	Matchup
Fighting Hawks at Golden Gophers	Final 50–85	Golden Gophers 72%	Golden Gophers −7.5	145.5	+260 / −260	no move	Matchup
Mocs at Cardinals	Final 70–84	Cardinals 83%	Cardinals −11.5	145.5	+497 / −497	no move	Matchup
Trailblazers at Lobos	Final 60–100	Lobos 81%	Lobos −10.5	145.5	+420 / −420	no move	Matchup
Seminoles at Rattlers neutral site	Final 112–69	Seminoles 59%	Seminoles −1	145.5	−141 / +141	no move	Matchup
Bengals at Aggies	Final 58–94	Aggies 88%	Aggies −14	145.5	+725 / −725	no move	Matchup
Demons at Bears	Final 65–87	Bears 80%	Bears −10	145.5	+390 / −390	no move	Matchup
Wildcats at Beavers	Final 61–102	Beavers 69%	Beavers −6.5	145.5	+223 / −223	no move	Matchup
Wildcats at Bruins neutral site	Final 75–84	Wildcats 66%	Wildcats −3	145.5	−195 / +195	no move	Matchup
Raiders at Huskies	Final 76–90	Huskies 70%	Huskies −7	145.5	+233 / −233	no move	Matchup
Buccaneers at Sun Devils	Final 65–75	Sun Devils 63%	Sun Devils −4.5	145.5	+168 / −168	no move	Matchup
Eagles at Cardinal	Final 65–74	Cardinal 73%	Cardinal −8	145.5	+276 / −276	no move	Matchup
Redbirds at Gaels	Final 85–90	Gaels 77%	Gaels −9	145.5	+328 / −328	no move	Matchup
Grizzlies at Ducks	Final 69–87	Ducks 65%	Ducks −5.5	145.5	+187 / −187	no move	Matchup
Bobcats at Rams	Final 74–84	Rams 70%	Rams −7	145.5	+238 / −238	no move	Matchup
Highlanders at Dons	Final 62–76	Dons 71%	Dons −7	145.5	+250 / −250	no move	Matchup
Colonials at Wolf Pack	Final 49–86	Wolf Pack 67%	Wolf Pack −6	145.5	+204 / −204	no move	Matchup
Tigers at Broncos	Final 70–89	Broncos 76%	Broncos −8.5	145.5	+310 / −310	no move	Matchup
Lions at Aggies	Final 79–75	Aggies 78%	Aggies −9.5	145.5	+351 / −351	no move	Matchup
Panthers at Trojans	Final 63–95	Trojans 73%	Trojans −8	145.5	+277 / −277	no move	Matchup
Redhawks at Rainbow Warriors	Final 73–74	Rainbow Warriors 66%	Rainbow Warriors −5.5	145.5	+197 / −197	no move	Matchup

How these lines are made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal inputs

Ratings from results used in 116 of 116
an Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
Home advantage used in 116 of 116
the league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
Schedule unavailable for 116 (First game of a season for at least one side)
rest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
Recent form unavailable for 116 (Fewer than three games played this season by at least one side)
average margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External inputs

Injuries unavailable for 116 (No injury list read before this game)
players listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
Travel and time zones in the data but not used for 101 · unavailable for 15 (Neutral site; A previous venue or its coordinates is not stored)
distance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · newest read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
Weather unavailable for 116 (Indoor sport)
forecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

NCAA Division I men's basketball team ratings

The Elo-style ratings the lines are made from, after the latest results. The league mean is 1500.

#	Team	Rating	Games
1	Michigan Wolverines	1782	1
2	Duke Blue Devils	1766	1
3	Arizona Wildcats	1723	1
4	Florida Gators	1723	1
5	Houston Cougars	1703	1
6	UConn Huskies	1703	1
7	St. John's Red Storm	1702	1
8	Gonzaga Bulldogs	1702	1
9	Illinois Fighting Illini	1699	1
10	Michigan State Spartans	1684	1
11	Alabama Crimson Tide	1677	1
12	Purdue Boilermakers	1672	1

Top 12 of 361; every team's rating is on its page.

NCAA Division I men's basketball model record

Over 17026 NCAA Division I men's basketball games in 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, scored before each result was known: the favored side won 72% of the time, Brier score 0.186, mean spread error 9.723 points, mean total error 13.897. Calibration and method.

Bandwagon's model lines for NCAA Division I men's basketball games Monday, November 2: win probability, spread, total and moneyline for each game, movement since the last line, and the team ratings behind them. Not a sportsbook.