Utah Tech Trailblazers vs New Mexico Lobos: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreUtah Tech 60, New Mexico 100 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerNew Mexico 81%
- Pregame Projected scoreNew Mexico 78, Utah Tech 67
- Model spreadNew Mexico −10.5 total 145.5
- Margin40 projected 10.6
- Total160 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Utah Tech Trailblazers or New Mexico Lobos: the bandwagon
Axle 19–81Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTU | 33 | 27 | 60 |
| UNM | 38 | 62 | 100 |
Utah Tech Trailblazers at New Mexico Lobos win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Utah Tech Trailblazers vs New Mexico Lobos live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | UTU | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | UTU22/61 | UNM35/60 |
| 3-pointers | UTU7/33 | UNM11/25 |
| Free throws | UTU9/14 | UNM19/24 |
| Rebounds | UTU26 | UNM42 |
| Assists | UTU11 | UNM19 |
| Turnovers | UTU15 | UNM14 |
| Steals | UTU7 | UNM10 |
| Blocks | UTU4 | UNM2 |
| Points in the paint | UTU18 | UNM42 |
| Fast-break points | UTU5 | UNM16 |
| Fouls | UTU17 | UNM14 |
| Largest lead | UTU0 | UNM40 |
Utah Tech Trailblazers vs New Mexico Lobos team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | UTU | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| Score | UTU60 | UNM100 |
| Average win probability | UTU7% | UNM93% |
| Longest scoring run | UTU+4 | UNM+7 |
| Time leading | UTU0:00 | UNM15:40 |
Utah Tech Trailblazers vs New Mexico Lobos odds
Every stored line
| Stored | UNM win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 81% | −3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 84% | +19 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- UNM 1614 · UTU 1480
- Home spread
- −10.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET · 2026-11-03 03:56 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Utah Tech Trailblazers 60, New Mexico Lobos 100. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Utah Tech Trailblazers vs New Mexico Lobos prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Lobos a 10.5-point favorite at home, with a 81% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Lobos 1626 (35th of 361), Trailblazers 1468 (228th). The Lobos are 1-0; the Trailblazers are 0-1. The Lobos have won 4 of their last 5; the Trailblazers 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Utah Tech Trailblazers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at New Mexico Lobos | L 60–100 | – | – | matchup | |
| at California Baptist Lancers | L 72–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Abilene Christian Wildcats | W 80–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Utah Valley Wolverines | L 101–104 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Southern Utah Thunderbirds | L 67–81 | – | – | matchup |
New Mexico Lobos
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Utah Tech Trailblazers | W 100–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane | L 69–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Saint Joseph's Hawks | W 84–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs George Washington Revolutionaries | W 86–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Sam Houston Bearkats | W 107–83 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Utah Tech Trailblazers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
New Mexico Lobos: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Trailblazers0-1 10th · L1
- Trailblazers rating1468 228th of 361, 1 games
- Lobos1-0 4th · W1
- Lobos rating1626 35th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 10th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $UTUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Utah Tech Trailblazers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
New Mexico Lobos 1-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $UNMMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the New Mexico Lobos bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Utah Tech Trailblazers at New Mexico Lobos
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Final: Utah Tech 60, New Mexico 100. Bandwagon's model had the New Mexico at 81% and projected New Mexico 78, Utah Tech 67; spread New Mexico −10.5, total 145.5.