NCAA Women's Basketball · Wednesday, November 4 at 7:00 PM ET · Coleman Coliseum · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

LSU New Orleans Privateers vs Alabama Crimson Tide prediction, odds and picks, November 4, 2026

Projected winnerAlabama 96%
Projected scoreAlabama 78, LSU New Orleans 53
Model spreadAlabama −24.5 total 130.5
Crowd's pickno picks yet

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET

LSU New Orleans Privateers or Alabama Crimson Tide: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Privateers▲ Hop on ▼ Jump off

Crimson Tide▲ Hop on ▼ Jump off

Axle 4–96Market –

Scheduled · Wednesday, November 4 at 7:00 PM ETPregame: ALA 96%

LSU New Orleans Privateers

Record 0-0

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Alabama Crimson Tide

Record 0-0

Game clock

KickoffWednesday, November 4 at 7:00 PM ET

Situation

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Possession

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LSU New Orleans Privateers at Alabama Crimson Tide win probability

Bandwagon's model

No read of the live source is stored for this game.

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.

Big swing–Starts with the game.

Clutch window–Starts with the game.

Baseline–Starts with the game.

Box scoreTeam breakdown

LSU New Orleans Privateers vs Alabama Crimson Tide live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

LSU New Orleans Privateers vs Alabama Crimson Tide team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)

Team breakdown
Stat	NOLA	ALA
Score	NOLA–	ALA–
Average win probability	NOLA–	ALA–
Longest scoring run	NOLA–	ALA–
Time leading	NOLA–	ALA–

LSU New Orleans Privateers vs Alabama Crimson Tide odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 7 h ago

Privateers4%

Win chance

Crimson Tide96%

SpreadALA −24.5

Total130.5

Moneyline+2488away / −2488homeaway / home

Line movementALA win chance, 68 stored lines

+33 pts for ALA since Oct 29

100%58%

Oct 29Nov 1Now

Every stored line

Stored	ALA win	Move
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET	96%	0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET	96%	0
Nov 3, 11:06 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 3, 7:58 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 3, 1:03 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET	96%	0
Nov 3, 12:34 AM ET	96%	0
Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 10:41 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 10:33 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 10:13 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 8:26 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 7:46 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 6:58 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 4:27 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 1:06 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET	96%	0
Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET	96%	0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET	96%	−2
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET	98%	0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET	98%	0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET	98%	+35
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET	63%	—

Ratings: ALA 1663 · NOLA 1289
Home spread: −24.5
Stored: Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
Version: Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

PrivateersCrimson Tide

Neutrals only–

Privateers Crimson Tide

Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.

Bandwagon minus model, Crimson Tide–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

LSU New Orleans Privateers vs Alabama Crimson Tide prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Crimson Tide a 24.5-point favorite at home, with a 96% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Crimson Tide 1663 (31st of 356), Privateers 1289 (349th). The Crimson Tide are 0-0; the Privateers are 0-0. The Crimson Tide have won 3 of their last 5; the Privateers 0 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Crimson Tide won 1, the Privateers 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

LSU New Orleans Privateers

Opponent	Kick (ET)	Result	Picks	Axle
at Arkansas Razorbacks	Mon, Nov 2, 7:30 PM ET	L 48–127	–	–	matchup
at Northwestern State Lady Demons	Tue, Mar 3, 7:30 PM ET	L 65–81	–	–	matchup
vs McNeese Cowgirls	Sat, Feb 28, 3:00 PM ET	L 49–73	–	–	matchup
vs SE Louisiana Lady Lions	Thu, Feb 26, 7:30 PM ET	L 64–74	–	–	matchup
at Lamar Cardinals	Sat, Feb 21, 4:00 PM ET	L 54–84	–	–	matchup

Alabama Crimson Tide

Opponent	Kick (ET)	Result	Picks	Axle
at Louisville Cardinals	Mon, Mar 23, 12:00 PM ET	L 68–69	–	–	matchup
vs Rhode Island Rams	Sat, Mar 21, 2:30 PM ET	W 68–55	–	–	matchup
at Texas Longhorns	Fri, Mar 6, 8:30 PM ET	L 60–83	–	–	matchup
at Tennessee Lady Volunteers	Thu, Mar 5, 8:30 PM ET	W 76–64	–	–	matchup
vs Missouri Tigers	Wed, Mar 4, 8:30 PM ET	W 65–48	–	–	matchup

Head-to-head

Game	Kick (ET)	Result	Picks	Axle
LSU New Orleans Privateers at Alabama Crimson Tide	Mon, Nov 4, 6:00 PM ET	53–115	–	–	matchup

Injuries

LSU New Orleans Privateers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Alabama Crimson Tide: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings

Privateers0-0 5th · -
Privateers rating1289 349th of 356, 1 games
Crimson Tide0-0 5th · -
Crimson Tide rating1663 31st of 356, 0 games

LSU New Orleans Privateers 0-0

EveryoneFansNeutrals

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $NOLAWBB

▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $NOLAWBB

▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $NOLAWBB

▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $NOLAWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the LSU New Orleans Privateers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

▲ Hop on ▼ Jump off

Privateers roster, schedule and more

Alabama Crimson Tide 0-0

EveryoneFansNeutrals

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $ALAWBB

▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

–

Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $ALAWBB

▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

–

Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $ALAWBB

▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $ALAWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Alabama Crimson Tide bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

▲ Hop on ▼ Jump off

Crimson Tide roster, schedule and more

Takes on LSU New Orleans Privateers at Alabama Crimson Tide

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

Model: Alabama 96% to win. Projected score Alabama 78, LSU New Orleans 53; spread Alabama −24.5, total 130.5. LSU New Orleans Privateers at Alabama Crimson Tide, Wed, Nov 4, 7:00 PM ET.