LSU New Orleans Privateers vs Arkansas Razorbacks: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreLSU New Orleans 48, Arkansas 127 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerArkansas 85%
- Pregame Projected scoreArkansas 72, LSU New Orleans 58
- Model spreadArkansas −14.5 total 130.5
- Margin79 projected 14.4
- Total175 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
LSU New Orleans Privateers or Arkansas Razorbacks: the bandwagon
Axle 15–85Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOLA | 14 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 48 |
| ARK | 34 | 30 | 34 | 29 | 127 |
LSU New Orleans Privateers at Arkansas Razorbacks win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
LSU New Orleans Privateers vs Arkansas Razorbacks live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | NOLA | ARK |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | NOLA14/44 | ARK47/95 |
| 3-pointers | NOLA0/7 | ARK12/37 |
| Free throws | NOLA20/31 | ARK21/28 |
| Rebounds | NOLA34 | ARK53 |
| Assists | NOLA6 | ARK28 |
| Turnovers | NOLA51 | ARK18 |
| Steals | NOLA10 | ARK27 |
| Blocks | NOLA4 | ARK3 |
| Points in the paint | NOLA24 | ARK64 |
| Fast-break points | NOLA13 | ARK46 |
| Fouls | NOLA26 | ARK29 |
| Largest lead | NOLA2 | ARK81 |
LSU New Orleans Privateers vs Arkansas Razorbacks team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | NOLA | ARK |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NOLA48 | ARK127 |
| Average win probability | NOLA2% | ARK98% |
| Longest scoring run | NOLA+4 | ARK+12 |
| Time leading | NOLA0:22 | ARK38:05 |
LSU New Orleans Privateers vs Arkansas Razorbacks odds
Every stored line
| Stored | ARK win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:26 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:58 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 85% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 89% | +26 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- ARK 1469 · NOLA 1303
- Home spread
- −14.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:41 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: LSU New Orleans Privateers 48, Arkansas Razorbacks 127. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
LSU New Orleans Privateers vs Arkansas Razorbacks prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Razorbacks a 14.5-point favorite at home, with a 85% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Razorbacks 1483 (197th of 356), Privateers 1289 (349th). The Razorbacks are 0-0; the Privateers are 0-0. The Razorbacks have won 2 of their last 5; the Privateers 0 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
LSU New Orleans Privateers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Arkansas Razorbacks | L 48–127 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Northwestern State Lady Demons | L 65–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs McNeese Cowgirls | L 49–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs SE Louisiana Lady Lions | L 64–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Lamar Cardinals | L 54–84 | – | – | matchup |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LSU New Orleans Privateers | W 127–48 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kentucky Wildcats | L 64–94 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Auburn Tigers | W 70–41 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Oklahoma Sooners | L 44–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Texas A&M Aggies | L 57–78 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
LSU New Orleans Privateers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Arkansas Razorbacks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Privateers0-0 5th · -
- Privateers rating1289 349th of 356, 1 games
- Razorbacks0-0 6th · -
- Razorbacks rating1483 197th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak -
No stances yet today on $NOLAWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the LSU New Orleans Privateers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 6th · streak -
No stances yet today on $ARKWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Arkansas Razorbacks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Final: LSU New Orleans 48, Arkansas 127. Bandwagon's model had the Arkansas at 85% and projected Arkansas 72, LSU New Orleans 58; spread Arkansas −14.5, total 130.5.