Charlotte Hornets vs Brooklyn Nets prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerHornets 68%
- Projected scoreHornets 112, Nets 108
- Model spreadHornets −3.5 total 219.5
- Crowd's pick1 pick so far
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Charlotte Hornets or Brooklyn Nets: the bandwagon
Axle 68–32Market 61–40
Charlotte Hornets at Brooklyn Nets win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Charlotte Hornets vs Brooklyn Nets live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Charlotte Hornets vs Brooklyn Nets team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | CHA | BKN |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CHA– | BKN– |
| Average win probability | CHA– | BKN– |
| Longest scoring run | CHA– | BKN– |
| Time leading | CHA– | BKN– |
Charlotte Hornets vs Brooklyn Nets model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | BKN win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:59 AM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:54 AM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:41 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:32 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 32% | −1 |
| Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET | 33% | +3 |
| Nov 2, 10:02 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 11:40 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 11:00 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 7:51 PM ET | 30% | +3 |
| Nov 1, 6:07 PM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 27% | +1 |
| Oct 31, 8:41 PM ET | 26% | +1 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 25% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 10:26 PM ET | 25% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 10:01 PM ET | 25% | −1 |
| Oct 30, 9:36 PM ET | 26% | +3 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 23% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 23% | +6 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 2:00 AM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:06 AM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:41 AM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:09 AM ET | 17% | +1 |
| Oct 28, 11:54 PM ET | 16% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 16% | — |
- Ratings
- BKN 1271 · CHA 1503
- Home spread
- +3.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In National Basketball Association a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past National Basketball Association seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Nov 3, 10:02 AM UTC
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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1 pick so far; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Hornets vs Nets odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NBA marketKalshi prices the Hornets at 61%, Polymarket at 61%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 68%.
Prices read: Kalshi ; Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | CHA | BKN | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 61% | 40% | ||
| Polymarket | 61% | 40% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 68% | 32% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Charlotte Hornets vs Brooklyn Nets prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Hornets a 3.5-point favorite, with a 68% chance to win. The model total is 219.5. Ratings: Nets 1271 (29th of 30), Hornets 1503 (15th). The Nets are 1-5 in the Atlantic; the Hornets are 3-4 in the Southeast. The Nets have won 1 of their last 5; the Hornets 1 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Nets won 2, the Hornets 4.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Charlotte Hornets
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Detroit Pistons | L 91–124 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Philadelphia 76ers | L 104–109 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Washington Wizards | L 79–95 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Detroit Pistons | L 89–97 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Washington Wizards | W 110–103 | – | – | matchup |
Brooklyn Nets
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at New York Knicks | L 90–103 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Indiana Pacers | W 98–90 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Detroit Pistons | L 94–110 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Boston Celtics | L 124–125 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Indiana Pacers | L 109–136 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Hornets at Brooklyn Nets | 110–103 | – | – | matchup | |
| Brooklyn Nets at Charlotte Hornets | 124–90 | – | – | matchup | |
| Charlotte Hornets at Brooklyn Nets | 117–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| Charlotte Hornets at Brooklyn Nets | 103–116 | – | – | matchup | |
| Brooklyn Nets at Charlotte Hornets | 117–136 | – | – | matchup | |
| Brooklyn Nets at Charlotte Hornets | 102–105 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Charlotte Hornets: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Brooklyn Nets: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Hornets3-4 Southeast, 4th · L3
- Hornets rating1503 15th of 30, 8 games
- Nets1-5 Atlantic, 1st · W1
- Nets rating1271 29th of 30, 7 games
National Basketball Association · Southeast · 4th · streak L3
No stances yet today on $HORNETS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Charlotte Hornets bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Brooklyn Nets 1-5
National Basketball Association · Atlantic · 1st · streak W1
No stances yet today on $NETS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Brooklyn Nets bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Charlotte Hornets at Brooklyn Nets
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Model: Hornets 68% to win. Projected score Hornets 112, Nets 108; spread Hornets −3.5, total 219.5. Kalshi 61%, Polymarket 61% for the Hornets. Charlotte Hornets at Brooklyn Nets, Wed, Nov 4, 7:30 PM ET.