Philadelphia 109, Charlotte 104, and the final score is the number that counts now. The model had the Hornets at a slight 52 percent, which is close to a coin flip, so the result is the story.
NBA · · Spectrum Center · every National Basketball Association line
Philadelphia 76ers vs Charlotte Hornets: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final score76ers 109, Hornets 104 the projected winner lost
- Pregame Projected winnerHornets 52%
- Pregame Projected scoreHornets 110, 76ers 108
- Model spreadHornets −2 total 217.5
- Margin5 projected 2
- Total213 projected 217.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Philadelphia 76ers or Charlotte Hornets: the bandwagon
Bandwagon2 on the bandwagon so far
Be the first on the bandwagon
Axle 48–52Market 53–47
FinalPregame: CHA 52%Baseline: CHA 66.1% (+14.0)Big swing: 37.2 ptsClutch window: 3:33
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 27 | 30 | 20 | 32 | 109 |
| CHA | 37 | 17 | 29 | 21 | 104 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Philadelphia 76ers at Charlotte Hornets win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to PHI−88.7 points for CHA over the last 5:00
Big swing37.2 ptstoward PHI at 47:01 of game time
Clutch window3:33within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineCHA 66.1%game average, +14.0 points from the pregame 52.1%
Philadelphia 76ers vs Charlotte Hornets live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | PHI | CHA |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | PHI40/86 | CHA38/76 |
| 3-pointers | PHI14/35 | CHA14/39 |
| Free throws | PHI15/23 | CHA14/16 |
| Rebounds | PHI36 | CHA38 |
| Assists | PHI27 | CHA26 |
| Turnovers | PHI8 | CHA18 |
| Steals | PHI11 | CHA4 |
| Blocks | PHI3 | CHA8 |
| Points in the paint | PHI50 | CHA48 |
| Fast-break points | PHI9 | CHA10 |
| Fouls | PHI19 | CHA19 |
| Largest lead | PHI6 | CHA13 |
Philadelphia 76ers vs Charlotte Hornets team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | PHI | CHA |
|---|---|---|
| Score | PHI109 | CHA104 |
| Average win probability | PHI34% | CHA66% |
| Longest scoring run | PHI+13 | CHA+13 |
| Time leading | PHI11:32 | CHA32:21 |
Philadelphia 76ers vs Charlotte Hornets model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET
76ers48%
Win chanceHornets52%
SpreadCHA −2closing model spread
Total217.5
Moneyline+109away / −109homeaway / home
Line movementCHA win chance, 15 stored lines
−5 pts for CHA between Oct 28 and Oct 31
62%47%
Oct 28Oct 30Oct 31
Every stored line
| Stored | CHA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 10:26 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 10:11 PM ET | 52% | −1 |
| Oct 30, 9:36 PM ET | 53% | −4 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 2:00 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:06 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:41 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:09 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:54 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 57% | — |
- Ratings
- CHA 1536 · PHI 1572
- Home spread
- −2
- Stored
- Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET · 2026-10-31 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Philadelphia 76ers 109, Charlotte Hornets 104. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Basketball Association a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Oct 31, 5:30 AM UTC
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · 3 picks
Be the first on the bandwagon
76ersHornets
Neutrals only–
76ersHornets
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Hornets–
3 picks so far; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
76ers vs Hornets odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NBA marketKalshi had the Hornets at 47% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 48% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 52% when last read, ; the two venues were 1 point apart at those reads.
| Source | PHI | CHA | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 53% | 47% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 53% | 48% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 48% | 52% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, CHA: −5Polymarket minus model, CHA: −5
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Philadelphia 76ers vs Charlotte Hornets prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Hornets a 2-point favorite at home, with a 52% chance to win. The model total is 217.5. Ratings: Hornets 1503 (15th of 30), 76ers 1588 (9th). The Hornets are 3-4 in the Southeast; the 76ers are 6-1 in the Atlantic. The Hornets have won 1 of their last 5; the 76ers 4 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Hornets won 1, the 76ers 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Philadelphia 76ers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Chicago Bulls | W 126–107 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Charlotte Hornets | W 109–104 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New York Knicks | W 98–93 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Indiana Pacers | W 114–109 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Detroit Pistons | L 93–106 | – | – | matchup |
Charlotte Hornets
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Detroit Pistons | L 91–124 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Philadelphia 76ers | L 104–109 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Washington Wizards | L 79–95 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Detroit Pistons | L 89–97 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Washington Wizards | W 110–103 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia 76ers at Charlotte Hornets | 118–114 | – | – | matchup | |
| Philadelphia 76ers at Charlotte Hornets | 93–130 | – | – | matchup | |
| Charlotte Hornets at Philadelphia 76ers | 121–125 | – | – | matchup | |
| Charlotte Hornets at Philadelphia 76ers | 98–108 | – | – | matchup | |
| Philadelphia 76ers at Charlotte Hornets | 121–108 | – | – | matchup | |
| Philadelphia 76ers at Charlotte Hornets | 110–104 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Philadelphia 76ers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Charlotte Hornets: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- 76ers6-1 Atlantic, 5th · W3
- 76ers rating1588 9th of 30, 8 games
- Hornets3-4 Southeast, 4th · L3
- Hornets rating1503 15th of 30, 8 games
National Basketball Association · Atlantic · 5th · streak W3
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Be the first on the bandwagon2 stances so far today on $76ERS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagon1 stance so far today on $76ERS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $76ERS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
2 stances today on $76ERS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Philadelphia 76ers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
National Basketball Association · Southeast · 4th · streak L3
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $HORNETS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $HORNETS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $HORNETS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $HORNETS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Charlotte Hornets bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Philadelphia 76ers at Charlotte Hornets
Sign in to post a take on $76ERSHORNETS261031: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: 76ers 109, Hornets 104. Bandwagon's model had the Hornets at 52% and projected Hornets 110, 76ers 108; spread Hornets −2, total 217.5. Last read: Kalshi 47%, Polymarket 48% for the Hornets.