Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scorePistons 124, Hornets 91 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerPistons 67%
- Pregame Projected scorePistons 111, Hornets 107
- Model spreadPistons −3.5 total 217.5
- Margin33 projected 3.6
- Total215 projected 217.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Detroit Pistons or Charlotte Hornets: the bandwagon
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Axle 67–33Market 68–32
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 27 | 38 | 33 | 26 | 124 |
| CHA | 24 | 30 | 21 | 16 | 91 |
Detroit Pistons at Charlotte Hornets win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | DET | CHA |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | DET47/82 | CHA32/84 |
| 3-pointers | DET18/37 | CHA13/44 |
| Free throws | DET12/15 | CHA14/19 |
| Rebounds | DET37 | CHA44 |
| Assists | DET30 | CHA19 |
| Turnovers | DET15 | CHA27 |
| Steals | DET15 | CHA8 |
| Blocks | DET7 | CHA6 |
| Points in the paint | DET52 | CHA36 |
| Fast-break points | DET27 | CHA4 |
| Fouls | DET19 | CHA17 |
| Largest lead | DET33 | CHA3 |
Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | DET | CHA |
|---|---|---|
| Score | DET124 | CHA91 |
| Average win probability | DET88% | CHA12% |
| Longest scoring run | DET+8 | CHA+4 |
| Time leading | DET13:35 | CHA0:00 |
Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | CHA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 10:02 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:02 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 11:40 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 11:00 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 7:51 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 6:07 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 33% | −6 |
| Oct 31, 8:41 PM ET | 39% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 10:26 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 10:01 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 9:36 PM ET | 40% | −4 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 44% | +3 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 2:00 AM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:06 AM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:41 AM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:09 AM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:54 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 41% | — |
- Ratings
- CHA 1524 · DET 1676
- Home spread
- +3.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 10:02 PM ET · 2026-11-03 03:02 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Detroit Pistons 124, Charlotte Hornets 91. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Basketball Association a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past National Basketball Association seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Oct 31, 5:30 AM UTC
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Pistons vs Hornets odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NBA marketKalshi had the Pistons at 68% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 68% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 67% when last read, .
| Source | DET | CHA | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 68% | 32% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 68% | 32% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 67% | 33% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Pistons a 3.5-point favorite, with a 67% chance to win. The model total is 217.5. Ratings: Hornets 1503 (15th of 30), Pistons 1696 (4th). The Hornets are 3-5 in the Southeast; the Pistons are 6-1 in the Central. The Hornets have won 0 of their last 5; the Pistons 3 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Hornets won 0, the Pistons 6.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Detroit Pistons
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Philadelphia 76ers | L 106–112 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Charlotte Hornets | W 124–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Brooklyn Nets | W 110–94 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Charlotte Hornets | W 97–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New York Knicks | L 97–111 | – | – | matchup |
Charlotte Hornets
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Brooklyn Nets | L 104–114 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Detroit Pistons | L 91–124 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Philadelphia 76ers | L 104–109 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Washington Wizards | L 79–95 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Detroit Pistons | L 89–97 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Hornets at Detroit Pistons | 89–97 | – | – | matchup | |
| Detroit Pistons at Charlotte Hornets | 118–100 | – | – | matchup | |
| Detroit Pistons at Charlotte Hornets | 110–104 | – | – | matchup | |
| Charlotte Hornets at Detroit Pistons | 86–112 | – | – | matchup | |
| Charlotte Hornets at Detroit Pistons | 102–112 | – | – | matchup | |
| Charlotte Hornets at Detroit Pistons | 94–98 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Detroit Pistons: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Charlotte Hornets: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Pistons6-1 Central, 5th · W3
- Pistons rating1696 4th of 30, 7 games
- Hornets3-5 Southeast, 3rd · L4
- Hornets rating1503 15th of 30, 8 games
Detroit Pistons 6-1
National Basketball Association · Central · 5th · streak W3
1 stance today on $PISTONS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Detroit Pistons bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
National Basketball Association · Southeast · 3rd · streak L4
No stances yet today on $HORNETS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Charlotte Hornets bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Detroit Pistons at Charlotte Hornets
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Final: Pistons 124, Hornets 91. Bandwagon's model had the Pistons at 67% and projected Pistons 111, Hornets 107; spread Pistons −3.5, total 217.5. Last read: Kalshi 68%, Polymarket 68% for the Pistons.