Cleveland State Vikings vs Bowling Green Falcons prediction, odds and picks, November 5, 2026
- Projected winnerBowling Green 53%
- Projected scoreBowling Green 67, Cleveland State 64
- Model spreadBowling Green −3.5 total 130.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Cleveland State Vikings or Bowling Green Falcons: the bandwagon
Axle 47–53Market –
Cleveland State Vikings at Bowling Green Falcons win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Cleveland State Vikings vs Bowling Green Falcons live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Cleveland State Vikings vs Bowling Green Falcons team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | CLE | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CLE– | BGSU– |
| Average win probability | CLE– | BGSU– |
| Longest scoring run | CLE– | BGSU– |
| Time leading | CLE– | BGSU– |
Cleveland State Vikings vs Bowling Green Falcons odds
Every stored line
| Stored | BGSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 53% | +5 |
| Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 48% | −1 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:58 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 49% | +4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 45% | −18 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- BGSU 1521 · CLE 1574
- Home spread
- −3.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET · 2026-11-05 02:15 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Cleveland State Vikings vs Bowling Green Falcons prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Falcons a 3.5-point favorite at home, with a 53% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Falcons 1521 (147th of 356), Vikings 1574 (99th). The Falcons are 1-0; the Vikings are 1-0. The Falcons have won 3 of their last 5; the Vikings 3 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Falcons won 1, the Vikings 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Cleveland State Vikings
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Penn State Lady Lions | W 62–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arkansas State Red Wolves | L 53–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | W 66–56 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Monmouth Hawks | W 74–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Youngstown State Penguins | L 55–60 | – | – | matchup |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Georgia Southern Eagles | W 82–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Ball State Cardinals | L 63–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northern Illinois Huskies | W 77–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Central Michigan Chippewas | L 65–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Ohio Bobcats | W 60–56 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Green Falcons at Cleveland State Vikings | 68–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| Cleveland State Vikings at Bowling Green Falcons | 86–89 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Cleveland State Vikings: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Bowling Green Falcons: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Vikings1-0 1st · W1
- Vikings rating1574 99th of 356, 1 games
- Falcons1-0 2nd · W1
- Falcons rating1521 147th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W1
No stances yet today on $CLEWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Cleveland State Vikings bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 2nd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $BGSUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Bowling Green Falcons bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Model: Bowling Green 53% to win. Projected score Bowling Green 67, Cleveland State 64; spread Bowling Green −3.5, total 130.5. Cleveland State Vikings at Bowling Green Falcons, Thu, Nov 5, 7:00 PM ET.