Los Angeles leads 1-0 early in the 1st, and the model has the Kings at 57 percent at home with no crowd picks in yet. That is a small edge this early, so watch whether the lead holds.
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San Jose Sharks vs Los Angeles Kings: final score and how the prediction did, November 4, 2026
- Final scoreSharks 2, Kings 7 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerKings 57%
- Pregame Projected scoreKings 3.2, Sharks 2.8
- Model spreadKings −0.5 total 6
- Margin5 projected 0.4
- Total9 projected 6
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
San Jose Sharks or Los Angeles Kings: the bandwagon
Axle 43–57Market 39–61
FinalPregame: LA 57%Baseline: LA 90.2% (+33.6)Big swing: 16.4 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJ | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| LA | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Shots
SJ 32LA 27
San Jose Sharks at Los Angeles Kings win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for LA over the last 5:00
Big swing16.4 ptstoward LA at 1:23 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 1 goals in the final period
BaselineLA 90.2%game average, +33.6 points from the pregame 56.6%
San Jose Sharks vs Los Angeles Kings live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | SJ | LA |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | SJ32 | LA27 |
| Hits | SJ20 | LA30 |
| Blocked shots | SJ12 | LA19 |
| Power play | SJ2/6 | LA3/5 |
| Faceoff win | SJ52.7% | LA47.3% |
| Takeaways | SJ2 | LA7 |
| Giveaways | SJ16 | LA14 |
| Penalty minutes | SJ10 | LA12 |
San Jose Sharks vs Los Angeles Kings team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | SJ | LA |
|---|---|---|
| Score | SJ2 | LA7 |
| Average win probability | SJ10% | LA90% |
| Longest scoring run | SJ+1 | LA+3 |
| Time leading | SJ0:00 | LA57:24 |
San Jose Sharks vs Los Angeles Kings model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 5 h ago
Sharks43%
Win chanceKings57%
SpreadLA −0.5closing model spread
Total6
Moneyline+131away / −131homeaway / home
Line movementLA win chance, 31 stored lines
+6 pts for LA between Oct 28 and Nov 4
62%45%
Oct 28Nov 1Nov 4
Every stored line
| Stored | LA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 10:21 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 10:21 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:46 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:46 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:53 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:43 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:45 PM ET | 57% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 10:45 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 9:56 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 9:46 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:51 PM ET | 56% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 6:42 PM ET | 57% | +1 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 1:00 AM ET | 56% | +1 |
| Oct 30, 12:29 AM ET | 55% | −1 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 56% | +5 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:48 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:44 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:14 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 51% | — |
- Ratings
- LA 1463 · SJ 1441
- Home spread
- −0.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 10:21 PM ET · 2026-11-05 03:21 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: San Jose Sharks 2, Los Angeles Kings 7. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Oct 29, 10:43 PM UTC
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
SharksKings
Neutrals only–
SharksKings
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Kings–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Sharks vs Kings odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NHL marketKalshi had the Kings at 61% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 62% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 57% when last read, ; the two venues were 1 point apart at those reads.
| Source | SJ | LA | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 39% | 61% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 38% | 62% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 43% | 57% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, LA: +4Polymarket minus model, LA: +5
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
San Jose Sharks vs Los Angeles Kings prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Kings a 0.5-point favorite at home, with a 57% chance to win. The model total is 6. Ratings: Kings 1463 (27th of 32), Sharks 1441 (30th). The Kings are 4-7-2 in the Pacific Division; the Sharks are 7-8-1 in the Pacific Division. The Kings have won 3 of their last 5; the Sharks 1 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Kings won 2, the Sharks 4.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
San Jose Sharks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Los Angeles Kings | L 2–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Calgary Flames | L 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Ottawa Senators | L 1–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Vancouver Canucks | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Buffalo Sabres | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup |
Los Angeles Kings
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs San Jose Sharks | W 7–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Buffalo Sabres | L 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Ottawa Senators | W 6–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Chicago Blackhawks | L 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New York Rangers | W 6–3 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks | 4–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| San Jose Sharks at Los Angeles Kings | 4–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks | 3–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks | 4–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| San Jose Sharks at Los Angeles Kings | 1–8 | – | – | matchup | |
| Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks | 2–7 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
San Jose Sharks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Los Angeles Kings: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Sharks7-8-1 Pacific Division, 5th · L2
- Sharks rating1441 30th of 32, 16 games
- Kings4-7-2 Pacific Division, 7th · L1
- Kings rating1463 27th of 32, 13 games
San Jose Sharks 7-8-1
National Hockey League · Pacific Division · 5th · streak L2
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SHARKS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SHARKS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SHARKS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $SHARKS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the San Jose Sharks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Los Angeles Kings 4-7-2
National Hockey League · Pacific Division · 7th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $KINGSLA
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $KINGSLA
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $KINGSLA
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $KINGSLA: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Los Angeles Kings bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on San Jose Sharks at Los Angeles Kings
Sign in to post a take on $SHARKSKINGSLA261105: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Sharks 2, Kings 7. Bandwagon's model had the Kings at 57% and projected Kings 3.2, Sharks 2.8; spread Kings −0.5, total 6. Last read: Kalshi 61%, Polymarket 62% for the Kings.