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Markets · NHL

NHL prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model

Games with a market price, beside the model. Futures · model lines

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works

NHL prediction market odds Wednesday, November 4

4 games
GameKick (ET)Kalshi
away · home
Polymarket
away · home
Bandwagon model
away · home
Bandwagon
away · home
Gap
market − model
SJ at LA
San Jose Sharks at Los Angeles Kings
40 · 61
Kalshi ·
41 · 60
Polymarket ·
43 · 57
model 2.0
–+4
LA, Kalshi
Matchup
CHI at FLA
Chicago Blackhawks at Florida Panthers
30 · 71
Kalshi ·
30 · 71
Polymarket ·
33 · 67
model 2.0
–+3
FLA, Kalshi
Matchup
OTT at BUF
Ottawa Senators at Buffalo Sabres
46 · 54
Kalshi ·
46 · 55
Polymarket ·
45 · 55
model 2.0
–−1
BUF, Kalshi
Matchup
CGY at SEA
Calgary Flames at Seattle Kraken
45 · 56
Kalshi ·
46 · 55
Polymarket ·
46 · 54
model 2.0
–+1
SEA, Kalshi
Matchup

NHL prediction market odds Thursday, November 5

11 games
GameKick (ET)Kalshi
away · home
Polymarket
away · home
Bandwagon model
away · home
Bandwagon
away · home
Gap
market − model
UTAH at MTL
Utah Mammoth at Montreal Canadiens
52 · 48
Kalshi ·
53 · 48
Polymarket ·
43 · 57
model 2.0
–−10
MTL, Polymarket
Matchup
STL at NJ
St. Louis Blues at New Jersey Devils
37 · 63
Kalshi ·
37 · 64
Polymarket ·
45 · 55
model 2.0
–+9
NJ, Polymarket
Matchup
CHI at TB
Chicago Blackhawks at Tampa Bay Lightning
23 · 77
Kalshi ·
25 · 76
Polymarket ·
27 · 73
model 2.0
–+4
TB, Kalshi
Matchup
VAN at WPG
Vancouver Canucks at Winnipeg Jets
34 · 66
Kalshi ·
33 · 68
Polymarket ·
36 · 64
model 2.0
–+3
WPG, Polymarket
Matchup
PHI at NYR
Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers
41 · 59
Kalshi ·
42 · 59
Polymarket ·
44 · 56
model 2.0
–+3
NYR, Kalshi
Matchup
BOS at PIT
Boston Bruins at Pittsburgh Penguins
52 · 49
Kalshi ·
51 · 50
Polymarket ·
53 · 47
model 2.0
–+2
PIT, Polymarket
Matchup
DAL at CBJ
Dallas Stars at Columbus Blue Jackets
55 · 45
Kalshi ·
55 · 46
Polymarket ·
53 · 47
model 2.0
–−2
CBJ, Kalshi
Matchup
VGK at DET
Vegas Golden Knights at Detroit Red Wings
56 · 44
Kalshi ·
56 · 44
Polymarket ·
54 · 46
model 2.0
–−2
DET, Kalshi
Matchup
NSH at COL
Nashville Predators at Colorado Avalanche
33 · 67
Kalshi ·
34 · 67
Polymarket ·
35 · 65
model 2.0
–+2
COL, Kalshi
Matchup
CAR at NYI
Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders
63 · 38
Kalshi ·
62 · 39
Polymarket ·
63 · 37
model 2.0
–+1
NYI, Polymarket
Matchup
ANA at EDM
Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers
37 · 63
Kalshi ·
37 · 63
Polymarket ·
38 · 62
model 2.0
–+1
EDM, Kalshi
Matchup

NHL prediction market odds Friday, November 6

3 games
GameKick (ET)Kalshi
away · home
Polymarket
away · home
Bandwagon model
away · home
Bandwagon
away · home
Gap
market − model
CBJ at BUF
Columbus Blue Jackets at Buffalo Sabres
37 · 63
Kalshi ·
39 · 61
Polymarket ·
41 · 59
model 2.0
–+4
BUF, Kalshi
Matchup
SJ at MIN
San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild
29 · 71
Kalshi ·
32 · 68
Polymarket ·
31 · 69
model 2.0
–+2
MIN, Kalshi
Matchup
ANA at CGY
Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames
48 · 52
Kalshi ·
47 · 54
Polymarket ·
49 · 51
model 2.0
–+2
CGY, Polymarket
Matchup

NHL prediction market odds Saturday, November 7

12 games
GameKick (ET)Kalshi
away · home
Polymarket
away · home
Bandwagon model
away · home
Bandwagon
away · home
Gap
market − model
TB at MIN
Tampa Bay Lightning at Minnesota Wild
53 · 47
Kalshi ·
55 · 45
Polymarket ·
46 · 54
model 2.0
–−9
MIN, Polymarket
Matchup
UTAH at OTT
Utah Mammoth at Ottawa Senators
52 · 48
Kalshi ·
52 · 48
Polymarket ·
46 · 54
model 2.0
–−6
OTT, Kalshi
Matchup
SJ at DAL
San Jose Sharks at Dallas Stars
28 · 73
Kalshi ·
27 · 74
Polymarket ·
33 · 67
model 2.0
–+6
DAL, Polymarket
Matchup
NJ at NYI
New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders
56 · 44
Kalshi ·
54 · 47
Polymarket ·
51 · 50
model 2.0
–−6
NYI, Kalshi
Matchup
MTL at TOR
Montreal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs
51 · 49
Kalshi ·
52 · 48
Polymarket ·
56 · 44
model 2.0
–+5
TOR, Kalshi
Matchup
NYR at SEA
New York Rangers at Seattle Kraken
54 · 46
Kalshi ·
54 · 46
Polymarket ·
49 · 51
model 2.0
–−5
SEA, Kalshi
Matchup
FLA at WSH
Florida Panthers at Washington Capitals
48 · 52
Kalshi ·
47 · 54
Polymarket ·
44 · 56
model 2.0
–−4
WSH, Kalshi
Matchup
DET at COL
Detroit Red Wings at Colorado Avalanche
32 · 68
Kalshi ·
33 · 68
Polymarket ·
35 · 65
model 2.0
–+2
COL, Kalshi
Matchup
PIT at LA
Pittsburgh Penguins at Los Angeles Kings
48 · 52
Kalshi ·
50 · 50
Polymarket ·
50 · 50
model 2.0
–+2
LA, Kalshi
Matchup
CHI at CAR
Chicago Blackhawks at Carolina Hurricanes
22 · 78
Kalshi ·
22 · 78
Polymarket ·
22 · 78
model 2.0
–−1
CAR, Kalshi
Matchup
STL at NSH
St. Louis Blues at Nashville Predators
50 · 50
Kalshi ·
50 · 51
Polymarket ·
50 · 50
model 2.0
–0
NSH, Kalshi
Matchup
VAN at EDM
Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers
27 · 73
Kalshi ·
27 · 73
Polymarket ·
27 · 73
model 2.0
–0
EDM, Kalshi
Matchup

NHL prediction market odds Sunday, November 8

6 games
GameKick (ET)Kalshi
away · home
Polymarket
away · home
Bandwagon model
away · home
Bandwagon
away · home
Gap
market − model
NJ at TOR
New Jersey Devils at Toronto Maple Leafs
57 · 43
Kalshi ·
55 · 46
Polymarket ·
52 · 48
model 2.0
–−4
TOR, Kalshi
Matchup
PHI at CGY
Philadelphia Flyers at Calgary Flames
51 · 49
Kalshi ·
49 · 52
Polymarket ·
48 · 52
model 2.0
–−3
CGY, Kalshi
Matchup
PIT at ANA
Pittsburgh Penguins at Anaheim Ducks
47 · 53
Kalshi ·
46 · 55
Polymarket ·
48 · 52
model 2.0
–+3
ANA, Polymarket
Matchup
VGK at BUF
Vegas Golden Knights at Buffalo Sabres
49 · 51
Kalshi ·
49 · 51
Polymarket ·
47 · 53
model 2.0
–−3
BUF, Kalshi
Matchup
TB at WPG
Tampa Bay Lightning at Winnipeg Jets
58 · 42
Kalshi ·
57 · 43
Polymarket ·
60 · 40
model 2.0
–+2
WPG, Kalshi
Matchup
FLA at BOS
Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins
45 · 56
Kalshi ·
43 · 57
Polymarket ·
43 · 57
model 2.0
–−2
BOS, Kalshi
Matchup

NHL prediction market odds Monday, November 9

3 games
GameKick (ET)Kalshi
away · home
Polymarket
away · home
Bandwagon model
away · home
Bandwagon
away · home
Gap
market − model
PHI at VAN
Philadelphia Flyers at Vancouver Canucks
54 · 46
Kalshi ·
49 · 52
Polymarket ·
59 · 41
model 2.0
–+10
VAN, Polymarket
Matchup
NYI at SJ
New York Islanders at San Jose Sharks
52 · 48
Kalshi ·
57 · 43
Polymarket ·
53 · 47
model 2.0
–−4
SJ, Polymarket
Matchup
NYR at EDM
New York Rangers at Edmonton Oilers
43 · 57
Kalshi ·
39 · 61
Polymarket ·
40 · 60
model 2.0
–−3
EDM, Kalshi
Matchup

NHL prediction market odds Tuesday, November 10

7 games
GameKick (ET)Kalshi
away · home
Polymarket
away · home
Bandwagon model
away · home
Bandwagon
away · home
Gap
market − model
NJ at WPG
New Jersey Devils at Winnipeg Jets
59 · 41
Kalshi ·
60 · 41
Polymarket ·
54 · 46
model 2.0
–−6
WPG, Polymarket
Matchup
NSH at LA
Nashville Predators at Los Angeles Kings
45 · 55
Kalshi ·
47 · 53
Polymarket ·
49 · 51
model 2.0
–+4
LA, Kalshi
Matchup
FLA at CBJ
Florida Panthers at Columbus Blue Jackets
51 · 49
Kalshi ·
52 · 49
Polymarket ·
48 · 52
model 2.0
–−4
CBJ, Polymarket
Matchup
MIN at MTL
Minnesota Wild at Montreal Canadiens
52 · 48
Kalshi ·
51 · 49
Polymarket ·
49 · 51
model 2.0
–−3
MTL, Kalshi
Matchup
WSH at OTT
Washington Capitals at Ottawa Senators
49 · 51
Kalshi ·
47 · 53
Polymarket ·
47 · 53
model 2.0
–−2
OTT, Kalshi
Matchup
COL at TOR
Colorado Avalanche at Toronto Maple Leafs
60 · 40
Kalshi ·
58 · 42
Polymarket ·
60 · 40
model 2.0
–+2
TOR, Polymarket
Matchup
DET at STL
Detroit Red Wings at St. Louis Blues
43 · 57
Kalshi ·
44 · 56
Polymarket ·
43 · 57
model 2.0
–−1
STL, Polymarket
Matchup

NHL prediction market odds Wednesday, November 11

6 games
GameKick (ET)Kalshi
away · home
Polymarket
away · home
Bandwagon model
away · home
Bandwagon
away · home
Gap
market − model
NYR at CGY
New York Rangers at Calgary Flames
no market57 · 43
Polymarket ·
50 · 50
model 2.0
–−7
CGY, Polymarket
Matchup
NSH at ANA
Nashville Predators at Anaheim Ducks
no market42 · 59
Polymarket ·
47 · 53
model 2.0
–+6
ANA, Polymarket
Matchup
TB at BUF
Tampa Bay Lightning at Buffalo Sabres
no market55 · 45
Polymarket ·
50 · 50
model 2.0
–−5
BUF, Polymarket
Matchup
PHI at EDM
Philadelphia Flyers at Edmonton Oilers
no market33 · 68
Polymarket ·
38 · 62
model 2.0
–+5
EDM, Polymarket
Matchup
UTAH at VGK
Utah Mammoth at Vegas Golden Knights
no market46 · 55
Polymarket ·
44 · 56
model 2.0
–−2
VGK, Polymarket
Matchup
PIT at SJ
Pittsburgh Penguins at San Jose Sharks
no market55 · 45
Polymarket ·
53 · 47
model 2.0
–−2
SJ, Polymarket
Matchup

NHL prediction market odds Thursday, November 12

11 games
GameKick (ET)Kalshi
away · home
Polymarket
away · home
Bandwagon model
away · home
Bandwagon
away · home
Gap
market − model
BUF at CHI
Buffalo Sabres at Chicago Blackhawks
no market56 · 45
Polymarket ·
65 · 35
model 2.0
–+9
CHI, Polymarket
Matchup
WPG at DAL
Winnipeg Jets at Dallas Stars
no market31 · 69
Polymarket ·
36 · 64
model 2.0
–+5
DAL, Polymarket
Matchup
CAR at SEA
Carolina Hurricanes at Seattle Kraken
no market66 · 35
Polymarket ·
69 · 31
model 2.0
–+4
SEA, Polymarket
Matchup
NYI at LA
New York Islanders at Los Angeles Kings
no market54 · 47
Polymarket ·
50 · 50
model 2.0
–−4
LA, Polymarket
Matchup
WSH at NJ
Washington Capitals at New Jersey Devils
no market45 · 55
Polymarket ·
48 · 52
model 2.0
–+3
NJ, Polymarket
Matchup
TB at CBJ
Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets
no market57 · 43
Polymarket ·
55 · 45
model 2.0
–−3
CBJ, Polymarket
Matchup
MIN at TOR
Minnesota Wild at Toronto Maple Leafs
no market61 · 39
Polymarket ·
58 · 42
model 2.0
–−3
TOR, Polymarket
Matchup
MTL at BOS
Montreal Canadiens at Boston Bruins
no market50 · 51
Polymarket ·
48 · 53
model 2.0
–−2
BOS, Polymarket
Matchup
DET at FLA
Detroit Red Wings at Florida Panthers
no market41 · 59
Polymarket ·
43 · 57
model 2.0
–+2
FLA, Polymarket
Matchup
COL at OTT
Colorado Avalanche at Ottawa Senators
no market52 · 48
Polymarket ·
53 · 47
model 2.0
–+1
OTT, Polymarket
Matchup
STL at UTAH
St. Louis Blues at Utah Mammoth
no market45 · 55
Polymarket ·
45 · 55
model 2.0
–0
UTAH, Polymarket
Matchup

NHL prediction market odds Friday, November 13

2 games
GameKick (ET)Kalshi
away · home
Polymarket
away · home
Bandwagon model
away · home
Bandwagon
away · home
Gap
market − model
NYR at VAN
New York Rangers at Vancouver Canucks
no market57 · 43
Polymarket ·
61 · 39
model 2.0
–+3
VAN, Polymarket
Matchup
NSH at VGK
Nashville Predators at Vegas Golden Knights
no market41 · 60
Polymarket ·
39 · 61
model 2.0
–−1
VGK, Polymarket
Matchup

NHL prediction market odds Saturday, November 14

14 games
GameKick (ET)Kalshi
away · home
Polymarket
away · home
Bandwagon model
away · home
Bandwagon
away · home
Gap
market − model
WPG at CHI
Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks
no market47 · 53
Polymarket ·
55 · 45
model 2.0
–+8
CHI, Polymarket
Matchup
CGY at LA
Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings
no market40 · 61
Polymarket ·
46 · 54
model 2.0
–+7
LA, Polymarket
Matchup
BUF at DAL
Buffalo Sabres at Dallas Stars
no market40 · 60
Polymarket ·
45 · 55
model 2.0
–+5
DAL, Polymarket
Matchup
NJ at WSH
New Jersey Devils at Washington Capitals
no market51 · 50
Polymarket ·
45 · 55
model 2.0
–−5
WSH, Polymarket
Matchup
MIN at BOS
Minnesota Wild at Boston Bruins
no market54 · 47
Polymarket ·
50 · 50
model 2.0
–−4
BOS, Polymarket
Matchup
SEA at CAR
Seattle Kraken at Carolina Hurricanes
no market29 · 71
Polymarket ·
33 · 67
model 2.0
–+4
CAR, Polymarket
Matchup
FLA at STL
Florida Panthers at St. Louis Blues
no market49 · 51
Polymarket ·
47 · 53
model 2.0
–−2
STL, Polymarket
Matchup
EDM at TOR
Edmonton Oilers at Toronto Maple Leafs
no market53 · 47
Polymarket ·
55 · 45
model 2.0
–+2
TOR, Polymarket
Matchup
DET at TB
Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning
no market39 · 62
Polymarket ·
36 · 64
model 2.0
–−2
TB, Polymarket
Matchup
NYI at ANA
New York Islanders at Anaheim Ducks
no market50 · 50
Polymarket ·
48 · 52
model 2.0
–−2
ANA, Polymarket
Matchup
COL at MTL
Colorado Avalanche at Montreal Canadiens
no market48 · 52
Polymarket ·
50 · 50
model 2.0
–+2
MTL, Polymarket
Matchup
OTT at PIT
Ottawa Senators at Pittsburgh Penguins
no market49 · 51
Polymarket ·
51 · 49
model 2.0
–+2
PIT, Polymarket
Matchup
SJ at UTAH
San Jose Sharks at Utah Mammoth
no market36 · 65
Polymarket ·
36 · 64
model 2.0
–+1
UTAH, Polymarket
Matchup
PHI at CBJ
Philadelphia Flyers at Columbus Blue Jackets
no market43 · 57
Polymarket ·
43 · 57
model 2.0
–0
CBJ, Polymarket
Matchup

NHL prediction market odds Sunday, November 15

5 games
GameKick (ET)Kalshi
away · home
Polymarket
away · home
Bandwagon model
away · home
Bandwagon
away · home
Gap
market − model
CGY at ANA
Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks
no market34 · 66
Polymarket ·
44 · 56
model 2.0
–+10
ANA, Polymarket
Matchup
EDM at PHI
Edmonton Oilers at Philadelphia Flyers
no market59 · 42
Polymarket ·
56 · 44
model 2.0
–−3
PHI, Polymarket
Matchup
VAN at VGK
Vancouver Canucks at Vegas Golden Knights
no market29 · 71
Polymarket ·
27 · 73
model 2.0
–−2
VGK, Polymarket
Matchup
NSH at SJ
Nashville Predators at San Jose Sharks
no market51 · 49
Polymarket ·
52 · 48
model 2.0
–+1
SJ, Polymarket
Matchup
FLA at DAL
Florida Panthers at Dallas Stars
no market42 · 59
Polymarket ·
41 · 59
model 2.0
–0
DAL, Polymarket
Matchup

NHL prediction market odds Monday, November 16

2 games
GameKick (ET)Kalshi
away · home
Polymarket
away · home
Bandwagon model
away · home
Bandwagon
away · home
Gap
market − model
VAN at UTAH
Vancouver Canucks at Utah Mammoth
no market23 · 77
Polymarket ·
29 · 71
model 2.0
–+6
UTAH, Polymarket
Matchup
MTL at NYR
Montreal Canadiens at New York Rangers
no market54 · 47
Polymarket ·
54 · 46
model 2.0
–+1
NYR, Polymarket
Matchup

NHL prediction market odds Tuesday, November 17

11 games
GameKick (ET)Kalshi
away · home
Polymarket
away · home
Bandwagon model
away · home
Bandwagon
away · home
Gap
market − model
CGY at SJ
Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks
no market43 · 57
Polymarket ·
49 · 51
model 2.0
–+7
SJ, Polymarket
Matchup
EDM at FLA
Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers
no market45 · 56
Polymarket ·
51 · 49
model 2.0
–+6
FLA, Polymarket
Matchup
CBJ at NYI
Columbus Blue Jackets at New York Islanders
no market44 · 56
Polymarket ·
48 · 52
model 2.0
–+5
NYI, Polymarket
Matchup
TOR at CHI
Toronto Maple Leafs at Chicago Blackhawks
no market61 · 39
Polymarket ·
56 · 44
model 2.0
–−5
CHI, Polymarket
Matchup
WSH at TB
Washington Capitals at Tampa Bay Lightning
no market38 · 62
Polymarket ·
42 · 58
model 2.0
–+4
TB, Polymarket
Matchup
LA at BOS
Los Angeles Kings at Boston Bruins
no market41 · 60
Polymarket ·
37 · 63
model 2.0
–−4
BOS, Polymarket
Matchup
OTT at WPG
Ottawa Senators at Winnipeg Jets
no market59 · 42
Polymarket ·
55 · 45
model 2.0
–−4
WPG, Polymarket
Matchup
DAL at VGK
Dallas Stars at Vegas Golden Knights
no market50 · 50
Polymarket ·
47 · 53
model 2.0
–−3
VGK, Polymarket
Matchup
NSH at MIN
Nashville Predators at Minnesota Wild
no market34 · 66
Polymarket ·
36 · 64
model 2.0
–+2
MIN, Polymarket
Matchup
ANA at STL
Anaheim Ducks at St. Louis Blues
no market44 · 56
Polymarket ·
42 · 58
model 2.0
–−1
STL, Polymarket
Matchup
BUF at PHI
Buffalo Sabres at Philadelphia Flyers
no market55 · 45
Polymarket ·
55 · 45
model 2.0
–0
PHI, Polymarket
Matchup

NHL championship odds

All teams
TeamKalshiPolymarketAxle rating
Carolina Hurricanes11%12%#1
Edmonton Oilers9.5%12%#7
Colorado Avalanche11%9.5%#2
Minnesota Wild9.5%7.6%#3
Florida Panthers7.5%6.5%#15
New Jersey Devils7.5%6%#14
Vegas Golden Knights6.5%7.5%#8
Dallas Stars5.5%5.5%#5

NHL: market versus model record

  • Kalshi's closing price beat the model in NHL over 44 games (Brier 0.2225 against 0.2299, lower is better).
  • Polymarket's closing price beat the model in NHL over 44 games (Brier 0.2235 against 0.2299, lower is better).
LeagueGamesWhonBrierLog lossStraight-up
NHLKalshi gamesKalshi price440.22250.635358%
NHLKalshi gamesBandwagon model440.22990.651459%
NHLPolymarket gamesPolymarket price440.22350.637359%
NHLPolymarket gamesBandwagon model440.22990.651459%

The model's numbers are on the same games the market was scored on. 0.25 Brier and 0.693 log loss are a coin flip.

Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Kalshi and Polymarket prices for upcoming NHL games and the season, next to Bandwagon's model and the crowd's picks, with the record of who was right. Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers.