Pittsburgh Penguins vs Anaheim Ducks prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerDucks 52%
- Projected scoreDucks 3.6, Penguins 3.4
- Model spreadeven total 7
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Pittsburgh Penguins or Anaheim Ducks: the bandwagon
Axle 48–52Market 46–54
Pittsburgh Penguins at Anaheim Ducks win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Anaheim Ducks live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Anaheim Ducks team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | PIT | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Score | PIT– | ANA– |
| Average win probability | PIT– | ANA– |
| Longest scoring run | PIT– | ANA– |
| Time leading | PIT– | ANA– |
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Anaheim Ducks model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | ANA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:46 PM ET | 52% | +1 |
| Nov 3, 10:46 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:53 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:43 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 10:45 PM ET | 51% | +1 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:44 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 9:56 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 9:46 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 12:50 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 50% | +1 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:48 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:14 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 49% | — |
- Ratings
- ANA 1476 · PIT 1489
- Home spread
- PK
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Penguins vs Ducks odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NHL marketKalshi prices the Ducks at 54%, Polymarket at 55% (1 point apart), and Axle 2.0 gives them 52%.
Prices read: Kalshi ; Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | PIT | ANA | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 46% | 54% | ||
| Polymarket | 45% | 55% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 48% | 52% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Anaheim Ducks prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Ducks the favorite, with a 52% chance to win; its spread rounds to even. The model total is 7. Ratings: Ducks 1476 (23rd of 32), Penguins 1489 (18th). The Ducks are 7-7-1 in the Pacific Division; the Penguins are 5-8-2 in the Metropolitan Division. The Ducks have won 3 of their last 5; the Penguins 2 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Ducks won 4, the Penguins 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Vegas Golden Knights | L 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Montreal Canadiens | L 4–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Utah Mammoth | L 3–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Nashville Predators | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Florida Panthers | W 4–0 | – | – | matchup |
Anaheim Ducks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Vancouver Canucks | W 5–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Ottawa Senators | W 6–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Buffalo Sabres | L 6–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Vancouver Canucks | L 5–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Philadelphia Flyers | W 5–4 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anaheim Ducks at Pittsburgh Penguins | 4–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Pittsburgh Penguins at Anaheim Ducks | 3–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Pittsburgh Penguins at Anaheim Ducks | 1–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| Anaheim Ducks at Pittsburgh Penguins | 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Pittsburgh Penguins at Anaheim Ducks | 2–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| Anaheim Ducks at Pittsburgh Penguins | 4–3 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Pittsburgh Penguins: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Anaheim Ducks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Penguins5-8-2 Metropolitan Division, 7th · L3
- Penguins rating1489 18th of 32, 15 games
- Ducks7-7-1 Pacific Division, 4th · W2
- Ducks rating1476 23rd of 32, 15 games
Pittsburgh Penguins 5-8-2
National Hockey League · Metropolitan Division · 7th · streak L3
No stances yet today on $PENGUINS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Pittsburgh Penguins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Anaheim Ducks 7-7-1
National Hockey League · Pacific Division · 4th · streak W2
No stances yet today on $DUCKS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Anaheim Ducks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Pittsburgh Penguins at Anaheim Ducks
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Model: Ducks 52% to win. Projected score Ducks 3.6, Penguins 3.4; spread even, total 7. Kalshi 54%, Polymarket 55% for the Ducks. Pittsburgh Penguins at Anaheim Ducks, Sun, Nov 8, 8:00 PM ET.