Anaheim leads Vancouver 2-1 in the second period, and the model has the Canucks at 41 percent at home. No crowd picks are in yet, so the model is the only number on the board for now.
NHL · · Rogers Arena · every National Hockey League line
Anaheim Ducks vs Vancouver Canucks: final score and how the prediction did, November 3, 2026
- Final scoreDucks 5, Canucks 4 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerDucks 59%
- Pregame Projected scoreDucks 3.7, Canucks 3.3
- Model spreadDucks −0.5 total 7
- Margin1 projected 0.4
- Total9 projected 7
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Anaheim Ducks or Vancouver Canucks: the bandwagon
Axle 59–41Market 63–37
FinalPregame: VAN 41%Baseline: VAN 20.4% (−21.0)Big swing: 18.7 ptsClutch window: 10:26
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| VAN | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Shots
ANA 22VAN 23
Anaheim Ducks at Vancouver Canucks win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to ANA−8.0 points for VAN over the last 5:00
Big swing18.7 ptstoward ANA at 17:07 of game time
Clutch window10:26within 1 goals in the final period
BaselineVAN 20.4%game average, −21.0 points from the pregame 41.4%
Anaheim Ducks vs Vancouver Canucks live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | ANA | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | ANA22 | VAN23 |
| Hits | ANA27 | VAN25 |
| Blocked shots | ANA12 | VAN13 |
| Power play | ANA3/3 | VAN2/4 |
| Faceoff win | ANA52.7% | VAN47.3% |
| Takeaways | ANA1 | VAN3 |
| Giveaways | ANA15 | VAN15 |
| Penalty minutes | ANA43 | VAN41 |
Anaheim Ducks vs Vancouver Canucks team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | ANA | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Score | ANA5 | VAN4 |
| Average win probability | ANA80% | VAN20% |
| Longest scoring run | ANA+2 | VAN+2 |
| Time leading | ANA43:53 | VAN0:00 |
Anaheim Ducks vs Vancouver Canucks model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 21 h ago
Ducks59%
Win chanceCanucks41%
SpreadANA −0.5closing model spread
Total7
Moneyline−141away / +141homeaway / home
Line movementVAN win chance, 26 stored lines
No move
48%35%
Oct 28Oct 31Nov 3
Every stored line
| Stored | VAN win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 10:46 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:46 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:53 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:43 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 10:45 PM ET | 41% | −1 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:44 AM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 9:56 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 9:46 PM ET | 42% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 43% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 43% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 12:50 AM ET | 43% | +1 |
| Oct 30, 12:29 AM ET | 42% | −1 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 43% | +2 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:48 AM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:44 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:14 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 41% | — |
- Ratings
- VAN 1388 · ANA 1473
- Home spread
- +0.5
- Stored
- Nov 3, 10:46 PM ET · 2026-11-04 03:46 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Anaheim Ducks 5, Vancouver Canucks 4. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Oct 31, 5:30 AM UTC
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
DucksCanucks
Neutrals only–
DucksCanucks
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Canucks–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Ducks vs Canucks odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NHL marketKalshi had the Ducks at 63% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 64% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 59% when last read, ; the two venues were 1 point apart at those reads.
| Source | ANA | VAN | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 63% | 37% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 64% | 36% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 59% | 41% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, VAN: −4Polymarket minus model, VAN: −5
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Anaheim Ducks vs Vancouver Canucks prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Ducks a 0.5-point favorite, with a 59% chance to win. The model total is 7. Ratings: Canucks 1385 (32nd of 32), Ducks 1476 (23rd). The Canucks are 3-13-1 in the Pacific Division; the Ducks are 7-7-1 in the Pacific Division. The Canucks have won 1 of their last 5; the Ducks 3 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Canucks won 5, the Ducks 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Anaheim Ducks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Vancouver Canucks | W 5–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Ottawa Senators | W 6–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Buffalo Sabres | L 6–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Vancouver Canucks | L 5–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Philadelphia Flyers | W 5–4 | – | – | matchup |
Vancouver Canucks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Anaheim Ducks | L 4–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Toronto Maple Leafs | L 2–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at San Jose Sharks | L 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Anaheim Ducks | W 6–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Minnesota Wild | L 2–4 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Canucks at Anaheim Ducks | 6–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| Vancouver Canucks at Anaheim Ducks | 4–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Anaheim Ducks at Vancouver Canucks | 5–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Anaheim Ducks at Vancouver Canucks | 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Vancouver Canucks at Anaheim Ducks | 5–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Anaheim Ducks at Vancouver Canucks | 2–6 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Anaheim Ducks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Vancouver Canucks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Ducks7-7-1 Pacific Division, 4th · W2
- Ducks rating1476 23rd of 32, 15 games
- Canucks3-13-1 Pacific Division, 8th · L3
- Canucks rating1385 32nd of 32, 17 games
Anaheim Ducks 7-7-1
National Hockey League · Pacific Division · 4th · streak W2
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $DUCKS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $DUCKS
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $DUCKS
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No stances yet today on $DUCKS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Anaheim Ducks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Vancouver Canucks 3-13-1
National Hockey League · Pacific Division · 8th · streak L3
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CANUCKS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CANUCKS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CANUCKS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $CANUCKS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Vancouver Canucks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Anaheim Ducks at Vancouver Canucks
Sign in to post a take on $DUCKSCANUCKS261104: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Ducks 5, Canucks 4. Bandwagon's model had the Ducks at 59% and projected Ducks 3.7, Canucks 3.3; spread Ducks −0.5, total 7. Last read: Kalshi 63%, Polymarket 64% for the Ducks.