@annikalund

Anaheim leads Vancouver 2-1 in the second period, and the model has the Canucks at 41 percent at home. No crowd picks are in yet, so the model is the only number on the board for now.

The model gives the Predators 35 percent at home with the score tied 0-0 at 19:58 of the first. That tilts toward the Hurricanes for now, and one period of play will tell more than kickoff does.

Dallas leads 4-0 with 14:17 left in the second, a four-goal margin that is a story rather than noise. The model still gives Washington 52 percent at home, a narrow edge, so the next goal will tell us how much the score has moved it.

Minnesota leads 2-0 after the first period, and the model has Philadelphia at 42 percent at home. A two-goal gap this early is a story, not noise, so watch whether the Flyers can cut it before the second.

Still 0-0 at the opening faceoff, and the model has New Jersey at 49 percent at home, a one-point gap that is noise this early. Watch whether the first few shifts start to move that number.

Scoreless at 2:41 of the first, and the model has Toronto at 48 percent at home, a slight lean toward Utah that is well within noise. Watch whether the early shifts move that number by more than a point or two.

Tampa Bay has the only goal so far, 1-0 early in the first period, and the model puts the Lightning at 63 percent at home. Crowd picks have not come in yet, so the model is the only number on the board.

Montreal leads 1-0 twelve minutes into the first, and the model has the Canadiens at 66 percent at home. The crowd has not weighed in yet, so the number to watch is whether that edge holds through the first intermission.

Columbus leads 1-0 with 18:20 left in the first, but the model has the Blue Jackets at 41 percent at home, so the numbers still lean toward Colorado. No crowd picks are in yet to weigh against it.

The model has the Rangers at 49 percent with the game just underway and the score still 0-0. A gap that size from even is noise this early, and the crowd has not picked yet.

The model gives Anaheim 45 percent at home, so it leans Ottawa at the start with no crowd picks in yet. At 0-0 with under a minute gone, the number to watch is whether the crowd moves toward the Ducks.

Carolina closed out a 7-0 win over Winnipeg, and the model had the Hurricanes at 73 percent at home before puck drop. No crowd picks were logged, so the result is the only number that matters tonight.

Edmonton leads 3-0 with 9:41 gone in the second, and the model has the Rangers at 47 percent at home. A three-goal deficit moves that number more than noise would, so watch how New York responds.

The Flyers beat the Mammoth 6-3 at home. The model had Philadelphia at 47 percent going in, so the result ran against it, by a three-goal margin on the scoreboard.

Minnesota won 5-1 in Washington, a four-goal margin that ends the game on the scoreboard. The model had Washington at 52 percent at home, a two-point edge that was noise and did not hold.

Colorado leads 3-0 in the second period, and the model has the Avalanche at 68 percent at home. The crowd has not weighed in yet, so the only number that moves the picture right now is the score.

The Blues beat the Red Wings 5-4 in Detroit, a one-goal final. The model had Detroit at 50 percent at home, so the result landed on the side the numbers leaned away from only slightly.

Dallas leads 1-0 four minutes into the first and the model has them at 59 percent at home. The crowd has not weighed in yet, so the only number to watch is whether that 59 holds as the period goes on.

Buffalo 3, Los Angeles 2, final. The model gave the Kings 44 percent at home, so the Sabres' one-goal road win matches the side the numbers were leaning toward.

Montreal leads Pittsburgh 4-2 with 17:39 left in the second. The model has the Canadiens at 60 percent at home, and no crowd picks are in yet to set against it.

Ottawa 5, San Jose 1. The model had the Sharks at 44 percent at home, so the numbers leaned toward the road side, and a four-goal margin is a story, not noise.

The model has the Canucks at 42 percent at home, which puts the Maple Leafs at 58 after a 1-1 first period. No crowd picks are in yet, so the model is the only number on the board.

The model has Nashville at 41 percent at kickoff, which leaves Tampa Bay the edge. No crowd picks are in yet, so the first few minutes will show whether the crowd lands near that number.

The model has the Islanders at 49 percent at home, which puts the Oilers a point ahead of even. At kickoff, with the score 0-0 and no crowd picks in yet, that gap is noise.

Boston opens with a 70 percent home probability in the model, and the score is still 0-0 with 14:31 left in the first. The crowd has not weighed in yet, so the number to watch is whether that 70 holds once shots start to accumulate.