Columbus leads 1-0 with 18:20 left in the first, but the model has the Blue Jackets at 41 percent at home, so the numbers still lean toward Colorado. No crowd picks are in yet to weigh against it.
NHL · · Nationwide Arena · every National Hockey League line
Colorado Avalanche vs Columbus Blue Jackets: final score and how the prediction did, November 3, 2026
- Final scoreAvalanche 2, Blue Jackets 7 the projected winner lost
- Pregame Projected winnerAvalanche 59%
- Pregame Projected scoreAvalanche 3.2, Blue Jackets 2.8
- Model spreadAvalanche −0.5 total 6
- Margin5 projected 0.4
- Total9 projected 6
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Colorado Avalanche or Columbus Blue Jackets: the bandwagon
Axle 59–41Market 53–47
FinalPregame: CBJ 41%Baseline: CBJ 84.1% (+42.9)Big swing: 18.0 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| CBJ | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Shots
COL 29CBJ 24
Colorado Avalanche at Columbus Blue Jackets win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for CBJ over the last 5:00
Big swing18.0 ptstoward CBJ at 0:33 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 1 goals in the final period
BaselineCBJ 84.1%game average, +42.9 points from the pregame 41.2%
Colorado Avalanche vs Columbus Blue Jackets live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | COL | CBJ |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | COL29 | CBJ24 |
| Hits | COL11 | CBJ15 |
| Blocked shots | COL13 | CBJ15 |
| Power play | COL1/3 | CBJ1/4 |
| Faceoff win | COL49.1% | CBJ50.9% |
| Takeaways | COL4 | CBJ6 |
| Giveaways | COL18 | CBJ15 |
| Penalty minutes | COL8 | CBJ6 |
Colorado Avalanche vs Columbus Blue Jackets team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | COL | CBJ |
|---|---|---|
| Score | COL2 | CBJ7 |
| Average win probability | COL16% | CBJ84% |
| Longest scoring run | COL+1 | CBJ+4 |
| Time leading | COL0:00 | CBJ59:27 |
Colorado Avalanche vs Columbus Blue Jackets model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET
Avalanche59%
Win chanceBlue Jackets41%
SpreadCOL −0.5closing model spread
Total6
Moneyline−142away / +142homeaway / home
Line movementCBJ win chance, 21 stored lines
−3 pts for CBJ between Oct 28 and Nov 3
49%36%
Oct 28Oct 31Nov 3
Every stored line
| Stored | CBJ win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET | 41% | −1 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 10:45 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:44 AM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:41 PM ET | 42% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 9:56 PM ET | 43% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 9:46 PM ET | 43% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 43% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 43% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 43% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 43% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:48 AM ET | 43% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET | 43% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:44 PM ET | 43% | −1 |
| Oct 28, 11:14 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 44% | — |
- Ratings
- CBJ 1488 · COL 1574
- Home spread
- +0.5
- Stored
- Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-03 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Colorado Avalanche 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 7. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · The injury list is older than three daysplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
AvalancheBlue Jackets
Neutrals only–
AvalancheBlue Jackets
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Blue Jackets–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Avalanche vs Blue Jackets odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NHL marketKalshi had the Avalanche at 53% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 53% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 59% when last read, .
| Source | COL | CBJ | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 53% | 47% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 53% | 47% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 59% | 41% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, CBJ: +6Polymarket minus model, CBJ: +6
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Colorado Avalanche vs Columbus Blue Jackets prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Avalanche a 0.5-point favorite, with a 59% chance to win. The model total is 6. Ratings: Blue Jackets 1497 (17th of 32), Avalanche 1566 (2nd). The Blue Jackets are 6-7 in the Metropolitan Division; the Avalanche are 9-6-1 in the Central Division. The Blue Jackets have won 3 of their last 5; the Avalanche 3 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Blue Jackets won 2, the Avalanche 4.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Colorado Avalanche
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Columbus Blue Jackets | L 2–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Chicago Blackhawks | W 5–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Calgary Flames | W 5–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New Jersey Devils | W 5–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Nashville Predators | L 2–6 | – | – | matchup |
Columbus Blue Jackets
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Colorado Avalanche | W 7–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Dallas Stars | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Carolina Hurricanes | L 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Philadelphia Flyers | W 4–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Vegas Golden Knights | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Blue Jackets at Colorado Avalanche | 0–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Colorado Avalanche at Columbus Blue Jackets | 4–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Colorado Avalanche at Columbus Blue Jackets | 7–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Columbus Blue Jackets at Colorado Avalanche | 6–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Colorado Avalanche at Columbus Blue Jackets | 1–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Columbus Blue Jackets at Colorado Avalanche | 1–6 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Colorado Avalanche: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Columbus Blue Jackets: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Avalanche9-6-1 Central Division, 4th · L1
- Avalanche rating1566 2nd of 32, 16 games
- Blue Jackets6-7 Metropolitan Division, 6th · W1
- Blue Jackets rating1497 17th of 32, 13 games
Colorado Avalanche 9-6-1
National Hockey League · Central Division · 4th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $AVALANCHE
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▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $AVALANCHE: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Colorado Avalanche bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
National Hockey League · Metropolitan Division · 6th · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $BLUEJACKETS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $BLUEJACKETS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $BLUEJACKETS
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No stances yet today on $BLUEJACKETS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Columbus Blue Jackets bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Colorado Avalanche at Columbus Blue Jackets
Sign in to post a take on $AVALANCHEBLUEJACKE261104: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Avalanche 2, Blue Jackets 7. Bandwagon's model had the Avalanche at 59% and projected Avalanche 3.2, Blue Jackets 2.8; spread Avalanche −0.5, total 6. Last read: Kalshi 53%, Polymarket 53% for the Avalanche.