Colorado Avalanche vs Chicago Blackhawks: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreAvalanche 5, Blackhawks 2 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerAvalanche 69%
- Pregame Projected scoreAvalanche 3.8, Blackhawks 2.7
- Model spreadAvalanche −1 total 6.5
- Margin3 projected 1
- Total7 projected 6.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Colorado Avalanche or Chicago Blackhawks: the bandwagon
Be the first on the bandwagon
Axle 69–31Market 68–32
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| CHI | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Colorado Avalanche vs Chicago Blackhawks live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | COL | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | COL29 | CHI23 |
| Hits | COL11 | CHI15 |
| Blocked shots | COL15 | CHI11 |
| Power play | COL1/5 | CHI0/4 |
| Faceoff win | COL56.3% | CHI43.8% |
| Takeaways | COL6 | CHI4 |
| Giveaways | COL24 | CHI12 |
| Penalty minutes | COL10 | CHI12 |
Colorado Avalanche vs Chicago Blackhawks team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | COL | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Score | COL5 | CHI2 |
| Average win probability | COL71% | CHI29% |
| Longest scoring run | COL+6 | CHI+2 |
| Time leading | COL25:05 | CHI14:55 |
Colorado Avalanche vs Chicago Blackhawks model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | CHI win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 10:45 PM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:44 AM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 9:56 PM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 9:46 PM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:56 PM ET | 31% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 32% | −1 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:48 AM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:44 PM ET | 33% | −1 |
| Oct 28, 11:14 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 34% | — |
- Ratings
- CHI 1406 · COL 1571
- Home spread
- +1
- Stored
- Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:31 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Colorado Avalanche 5, Chicago Blackhawks 2. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Nov 1, 2:58 PM UTC
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
1 pick so far; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Avalanche vs Blackhawks odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NHL marketKalshi had the Avalanche at 68% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 69% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 69% when last read, ; the two venues were 1 point apart at those reads.
| Source | COL | CHI | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 68% | 32% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 69% | 31% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 69% | 31% | · model 2.0 |
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Colorado Avalanche vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Avalanche a 1-point favorite, with a 69% chance to win. The model total is 6.5. Ratings: Blackhawks 1403 (31st of 32), Avalanche 1566 (2nd). The Blackhawks are 4-10-1 in the Central Division; the Avalanche are 9-6-1 in the Central Division. The Blackhawks have won 1 of their last 5; the Avalanche 3 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Blackhawks won 1, the Avalanche 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Colorado Avalanche
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Columbus Blue Jackets | L 2–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Chicago Blackhawks | W 5–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Calgary Flames | W 5–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New Jersey Devils | W 5–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Nashville Predators | L 2–6 | – | – | matchup |
Chicago Blackhawks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Florida Panthers | L 3–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Colorado Avalanche | L 2–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Boston Bruins | L 4–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Detroit Red Wings | L 1–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Los Angeles Kings | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks | 4–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Chicago Blackhawks at Colorado Avalanche | 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks | 1–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks | 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Chicago Blackhawks at Colorado Avalanche | 0–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks | 1–3 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Colorado Avalanche: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Chicago Blackhawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Avalanche9-6-1 Central Division, 4th · L1
- Avalanche rating1566 2nd of 32, 16 games
- Blackhawks4-10-1 Central Division, 8th · L3
- Blackhawks rating1403 31st of 32, 15 games
Colorado Avalanche 9-6-1
National Hockey League · Central Division · 4th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $AVALANCHE: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Colorado Avalanche bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Chicago Blackhawks 4-10-1
National Hockey League · Central Division · 8th · streak L3
1 stance today on $BLACKHAWKS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Chicago Blackhawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks
Sign in to post a take on $AVALANCHEBLACKHAWK261103: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
Final: Avalanche 5, Blackhawks 2. Bandwagon's model had the Avalanche at 69% and projected Avalanche 3.8, Blackhawks 2.7; spread Avalanche −1, total 6.5. Last read: Kalshi 68%, Polymarket 69% for the Avalanche.