Boston opens with a 70 percent home probability in the model, and the score is still 0-0 with 14:31 left in the first. The crowd has not weighed in yet, so the number to watch is whether that 70 holds once shots start to accumulate.
NHL · · TD Garden · every National Hockey League line
Chicago Blackhawks vs Boston Bruins: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final scoreBlackhawks 4, Bruins 5 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerBruins 70%
- Pregame Projected scoreBruins 3.5, Blackhawks 2.5
- Model spreadBruins −1 total 6
- Margin1 projected 1
- Total9 projected 6
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Chicago Blackhawks or Boston Bruins: the bandwagon
Axle 30–70Market 32–68
Final · OTPregame: BOS 70%Baseline: BOS 49.9% (−19.8)Big swing: 51.1 ptsClutch window: 24:32
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| BOS | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Shots
CHI 41BOS 32
Chicago Blackhawks at Boston Bruins win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to BOS+94.4 points for BOS over the last 5:00
Big swing51.1 ptstoward BOS at 59:48 of game time
Clutch window24:32within 1 goals in the final period
BaselineBOS 49.9%game average, −19.8 points from the pregame 69.7%
Chicago Blackhawks vs Boston Bruins live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | CHI | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | CHI41 | BOS32 |
| Hits | CHI16 | BOS22 |
| Blocked shots | CHI11 | BOS16 |
| Power play | CHI1/3 | BOS0/3 |
| Faceoff win | CHI32.3% | BOS67.7% |
| Takeaways | CHI5 | BOS4 |
| Giveaways | CHI10 | BOS18 |
| Penalty minutes | CHI14 | BOS24 |
Chicago Blackhawks vs Boston Bruins team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | CHI | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CHI4 | BOS5 |
| Average win probability | CHI50% | BOS50% |
| Longest scoring run | CHI+2 | BOS+3 |
| Time leading | CHI26:15 | BOS0:00 |
Chicago Blackhawks vs Boston Bruins model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET
Blackhawks30%
Win chanceBruins70%
SpreadBOS −1closing model spread
Total6
Moneyline+230away / −230homeaway / home
Line movementBOS win chance, 11 stored lines
+1 pts for BOS between Oct 28 and Oct 31
76%63%
Oct 28Oct 30Oct 31
Every stored line
| Stored | BOS win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:42 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 70% | +1 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:48 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:44 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:14 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 69% | — |
- Ratings
- BOS 1529 · CHI 1408
- Home spread
- −1
- Stored
- Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET · 2026-10-31 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Chicago Blackhawks 4, Boston Bruins 5. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · The injury list is older than three daysplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
BlackhawksBruins
Neutrals only–
BlackhawksBruins
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Bruins–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Blackhawks vs Bruins odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NHL marketKalshi had the Bruins at 68% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 68% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 70% when last read, .
| Source | CHI | BOS | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 32% | 68% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 33% | 68% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 30% | 70% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, BOS: −1Polymarket minus model, BOS: −2
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Chicago Blackhawks vs Boston Bruins prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bruins a 1-point favorite at home, with a 70% chance to win. The model total is 6. Ratings: Bruins 1534 (9th of 32), Blackhawks 1403 (31st). The Bruins are 10-4-1 in the Atlantic Division; the Blackhawks are 4-9-1 in the Central Division. The Bruins have won 3 of their last 5; the Blackhawks 1 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Bruins won 5, the Blackhawks 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Chicago Blackhawks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Colorado Avalanche | L 2–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Boston Bruins | L 4–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Detroit Red Wings | L 1–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Los Angeles Kings | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Florida Panthers | L 2–3 | – | – | matchup |
Boston Bruins
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Vegas Golden Knights | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Chicago Blackhawks | W 5–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at St. Louis Blues | L 1–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Carolina Hurricanes | L 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs San Jose Sharks | W 6–4 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Bruins at Chicago Blackhawks | 5–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Chicago Blackhawks at Boston Bruins | 3–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Chicago Blackhawks at Boston Bruins | 5–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Boston Bruins at Chicago Blackhawks | 4–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Boston Bruins at Chicago Blackhawks | 3–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| Chicago Blackhawks at Boston Bruins | 1–3 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Chicago Blackhawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Boston Bruins: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Blackhawks4-9-1 Central Division, 8th · L2
- Blackhawks rating1403 31st of 32, 15 games
- Bruins10-4-1 Atlantic Division, 1st · W1
- Bruins rating1534 9th of 32, 16 games
Chicago Blackhawks 4-9-1
National Hockey League · Central Division · 8th · streak L2
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No stances yet today on $BLACKHAWKS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Chicago Blackhawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Boston Bruins 10-4-1
National Hockey League · Atlantic Division · 1st · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $BRUINS
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No stances yet today on $BRUINS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Boston Bruins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Chicago Blackhawks at Boston Bruins
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Final: Blackhawks 4, Bruins 5. Bandwagon's model had the Bruins at 70% and projected Bruins 3.5, Blackhawks 2.5; spread Bruins −1, total 6. Last read: Kalshi 68%, Polymarket 68% for the Bruins.