Boston Bruins vs St. Louis Blues: final score and how the prediction did, October 29, 2026
- Final scoreBruins 1, Blues 4 the projected winner lost
- Pregame Projected winnerBruins 51%
- Model spreadeven total 6
- Margin3
- Total5 projected 6
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Boston Bruins or St. Louis Blues: the bandwagon
Axle 51–49Market 49–52
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| STL | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Boston Bruins at St. Louis Blues win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Boston Bruins vs St. Louis Blues live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | BOS | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | BOS32 | STL18 |
| Hits | BOS29 | STL15 |
| Blocked shots | BOS6 | STL15 |
| Power play | BOS0/2 | STL2/3 |
| Faceoff win | BOS55.6% | STL44.4% |
| Takeaways | BOS3 | STL5 |
| Giveaways | BOS13 | STL16 |
| Penalty minutes | BOS6 | STL4 |
Boston Bruins vs St. Louis Blues team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | BOS | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Score | BOS1 | STL4 |
| Average win probability | BOS31% | STL69% |
| Longest scoring run | BOS+1 | STL+4 |
| Time leading | BOS10:15 | STL34:01 |
Boston Bruins vs St. Louis Blues model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | STL win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 49% | +3 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:48 AM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:44 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 46% | — |
- Ratings
- STL 1501 · BOS 1535
- Home spread
- PK
- Stored
- Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET · 2026-10-30 02:27 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
- Last move
- home 46% → 49%
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Boston Bruins 1, St. Louis Blues 4. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · The injury list is older than three daysplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
4 picks so far; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Bruins vs Blues odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NHL marketKalshi had the Bruins at 49% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 49% when last read, ; and Axle 1.1 had them at 54% when last read, .
| Source | BOS | STL | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 49% | 52% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 49% | 52% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 51% | 49% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Boston Bruins vs St. Louis Blues prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bruins the favorite, with a 51% chance to win; its spread rounds to even. The model total is 6. Ratings: Blues 1505 (16th of 32), Bruins 1534 (9th). The Blues are 7-7-1 in the Central Division; the Bruins are 11-4-1 in the Atlantic Division. The Blues have won 2 of their last 5; the Bruins 3 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Blues won 2, the Bruins 4.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Boston Bruins
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Vegas Golden Knights | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Chicago Blackhawks | W 5–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at St. Louis Blues | L 1–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Carolina Hurricanes | L 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs San Jose Sharks | W 6–4 | – | – | matchup |
St. Louis Blues
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at New York Rangers | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Detroit Red Wings | W 5–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Boston Bruins | W 4–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Montreal Canadiens | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Carolina Hurricanes | L 0–4 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Bruins at St. Louis Blues | 5–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| St. Louis Blues at Boston Bruins | 2–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| St. Louis Blues at Boston Bruins | 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Boston Bruins at St. Louis Blues | 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| St. Louis Blues at Boston Bruins | 5–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Boston Bruins at St. Louis Blues | 4–3 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Boston Bruins: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
St. Louis Blues: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bruins11-4-1 Atlantic Division, 1st · W2
- Bruins rating1534 9th of 32, 16 games
- Blues7-7-1 Central Division, 6th · L1
- Blues rating1505 16th of 32, 15 games
Boston Bruins 11-4-1
National Hockey League · Atlantic Division · 1st · streak W2
No stances yet today on $BRUINS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Boston Bruins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
St. Louis Blues 7-7-1
National Hockey League · Central Division · 6th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $BLUES: the share of the crowd ▲ on the St. Louis Blues bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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