Vegas Golden Knights vs Boston Bruins: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreGolden Knights 2, Bruins 3 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerBruins 53%
- Pregame Projected scoreBruins 3.4, Golden Knights 3.1
- Model spreadeven total 6.5
- Margin1 projected 0.2
- Total5 projected 6.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Vegas Golden Knights or Boston Bruins: the bandwagon
Axle 47–53Market 51–49
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | 2OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| BOS | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
Vegas Golden Knights at Boston Bruins win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Vegas Golden Knights vs Boston Bruins live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | VGK | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | VGK23 | BOS27 |
| Hits | VGK28 | BOS14 |
| Blocked shots | VGK15 | BOS13 |
| Power play | VGK1/3 | BOS1/4 |
| Faceoff win | VGK46.3% | BOS53.7% |
| Takeaways | VGK3 | BOS5 |
| Giveaways | VGK20 | BOS17 |
| Penalty minutes | VGK19 | BOS6 |
Vegas Golden Knights vs Boston Bruins team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | VGK | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Score | VGK2 | BOS3 |
| Average win probability | VGK32% | BOS68% |
| Longest scoring run | VGK+2 | BOS+2 |
| Time leading | VGK0:00 | BOS39:59 |
Vegas Golden Knights vs Boston Bruins model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | BOS win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 10:45 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:44 AM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 9:56 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 9:46 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:56 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 8:41 PM ET | 53% | +1 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:42 PM ET | 52% | −1 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:48 AM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:44 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:14 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 53% | — |
- Ratings
- BOS 1531 · VGK 1535
- Home spread
- PK
- Stored
- Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:31 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Vegas Golden Knights 2, Boston Bruins 3. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · The injury list is older than three daysplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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1 pick so far; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Golden Knights vs Bruins odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NHL marketKalshi had the Bruins at 49% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 49% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 53% when last read, .
| Source | VGK | BOS | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 51% | 49% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 51% | 49% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 47% | 53% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Vegas Golden Knights vs Boston Bruins prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bruins the favorite, with a 53% chance to win; its spread rounds to even. The model total is 6.5. Ratings: Bruins 1534 (9th of 32), Golden Knights 1535 (8th). The Bruins are 11-4-1 in the Atlantic Division; the Golden Knights are 10-5-2 in the Pacific Division. The Bruins have won 3 of their last 5; the Golden Knights 2 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Bruins won 2, the Golden Knights 4.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Vegas Golden Knights
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Pittsburgh Penguins | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Boston Bruins | L 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New Jersey Devils | L 2–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Ottawa Senators | W 4–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Columbus Blue Jackets | L 1–2 | – | – | matchup |
Boston Bruins
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Vegas Golden Knights | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Chicago Blackhawks | W 5–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at St. Louis Blues | L 1–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Carolina Hurricanes | L 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs San Jose Sharks | W 6–4 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights at Boston Bruins | 3–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Boston Bruins at Vegas Golden Knights | 5–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| Boston Bruins at Vegas Golden Knights | 1–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| Vegas Golden Knights at Boston Bruins | 4–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Vegas Golden Knights at Boston Bruins | 4–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| Boston Bruins at Vegas Golden Knights | 1–2 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Vegas Golden Knights: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Boston Bruins: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Golden Knights10-5-2 Pacific Division, 2nd · W1
- Golden Knights rating1535 8th of 32, 17 games
- Bruins11-4-1 Atlantic Division, 1st · W2
- Bruins rating1534 9th of 32, 16 games
Vegas Golden Knights 10-5-2
National Hockey League · Pacific Division · 2nd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $GOLDENKNIGHTS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Vegas Golden Knights bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Boston Bruins 11-4-1
National Hockey League · Atlantic Division · 1st · streak W2
No stances yet today on $BRUINS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Boston Bruins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Vegas Golden Knights at Boston Bruins
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Final: Golden Knights 2, Bruins 3. Bandwagon's model had the Bruins at 53% and projected Bruins 3.4, Golden Knights 3.1; spread even, total 6.5. Last read: Kalshi 49%, Polymarket 49% for the Bruins.