The model has the Rangers at 49 percent with the game just underway and the score still 0-0. A gap that size from even is noise this early, and the crowd has not picked yet.
NHL · · Madison Square Garden · every National Hockey League line
St. Louis Blues vs New York Rangers: final score and how the prediction did, November 3, 2026
- Final scoreBlues 1, Rangers 3
- Pregame Projected winnereven
- Pregame Projected scoreRangers 3.3, Blues 3.2
- Model spreadeven total 6.5
- Margin2 projected 0
- Total4 projected 6.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
St. Louis Blues or New York Rangers: the bandwagon
Axle 51–49Market 47–54
FinalPregame: NYR 49%Baseline: NYR 70.6% (+21.3)Big swing: 21.4 ptsClutch window: 9:01
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| NYR | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Shots
STL 33NYR 31
St. Louis Blues at New York Rangers win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.6 points for NYR over the last 5:00
Big swing21.4 ptstoward NYR at 21:48 of game time
Clutch window9:01within 1 goals in the final period
BaselineNYR 70.6%game average, +21.3 points from the pregame 49.4%
St. Louis Blues vs New York Rangers live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | STL | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | STL33 | NYR31 |
| Hits | STL21 | NYR23 |
| Blocked shots | STL18 | NYR17 |
| Power play | STL0/6 | NYR0/3 |
| Faceoff win | STL49.3% | NYR50.7% |
| Takeaways | STL6 | NYR5 |
| Giveaways | STL19 | NYR18 |
| Penalty minutes | STL6 | NYR12 |
St. Louis Blues vs New York Rangers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | STL | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Score | STL1 | NYR3 |
| Average win probability | STL29% | NYR71% |
| Longest scoring run | STL+1 | NYR+4 |
| Time leading | STL0:00 | NYR38:02 |
St. Louis Blues vs New York Rangers model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 17 h ago
Blues51%
Win chanceRangers49%
SpreadPKclosing model spread
Total6.5
Moneyline−103away / +103homeaway / home
Line movementNYR win chance, 23 stored lines
−2 pts for NYR between Oct 28 and Nov 3
57%44%
Oct 28Oct 31Nov 3
Every stored line
| Stored | NYR win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 9:43 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:43 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 10:45 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 8:41 PM ET | 49% | −1 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:44 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 9:56 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 9:46 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:36 PM ET | 50% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:42 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:48 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:44 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:14 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 51% | — |
- Ratings
- NYR 1481 · STL 1510
- Home spread
- PK
- Stored
- Nov 3, 9:43 PM ET · 2026-11-04 02:43 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: St. Louis Blues 1, New York Rangers 3. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Nov 1, 2:58 PM UTC
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
BluesRangers
Neutrals only–
BluesRangers
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Rangers–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Blues vs Rangers odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NHL marketKalshi had the Rangers at 54% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 54% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 49% when last read, .
| Source | STL | NYR | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 47% | 54% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 47% | 54% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 51% | 49% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, NYR: +4Polymarket minus model, NYR: +4
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
St. Louis Blues vs New York Rangers prediction
Bandwagon's model has this one even: 49% for the Rangers. The model total is 6.5. Ratings: Rangers 1486 (19th of 32), Blues 1505 (16th). The Rangers are 7-7-1 in the Metropolitan Division; the Blues are 7-6-1 in the Central Division. The Rangers have won 1 of their last 5; the Blues 2 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Rangers won 3, the Blues 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
St. Louis Blues
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at New York Rangers | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Detroit Red Wings | W 5–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Boston Bruins | W 4–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Montreal Canadiens | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Carolina Hurricanes | L 0–4 | – | – | matchup |
New York Rangers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs St. Louis Blues | W 3–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Edmonton Oilers | L 1–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Los Angeles Kings | L 3–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Ottawa Senators | L 4–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Toronto Maple Leafs | L 4–5 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Rangers at St. Louis Blues | 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| St. Louis Blues at New York Rangers | 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| New York Rangers at St. Louis Blues | 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| St. Louis Blues at New York Rangers | 5–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| St. Louis Blues at New York Rangers | 0–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| New York Rangers at St. Louis Blues | 2–5 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
St. Louis Blues: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
New York Rangers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Blues7-6-1 Central Division, 5th · W2
- Blues rating1505 16th of 32, 15 games
- Rangers7-7-1 Metropolitan Division, 5th · L4
- Rangers rating1486 19th of 32, 16 games
St. Louis Blues 7-6-1
National Hockey League · Central Division · 5th · streak W2
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $BLUES
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $BLUES
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $BLUES
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $BLUES: the share of the crowd ▲ on the St. Louis Blues bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
New York Rangers 7-7-1
National Hockey League · Metropolitan Division · 5th · streak L4
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $RANGERSNYR
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $RANGERSNYR
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $RANGERSNYR
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $RANGERSNYR: the share of the crowd ▲ on the New York Rangers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on St. Louis Blues at New York Rangers
Sign in to post a take on $BLUESRANGERSNYR261104: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Blues 1, Rangers 3. Bandwagon's model had it even and projected Rangers 3.3, Blues 3.2; spread even, total 6.5. Last read: Kalshi 54%, Polymarket 54% for the Rangers.