The Blues beat the Red Wings 5-4 in Detroit, a one-goal final. The model had Detroit at 50 percent at home, so the result landed on the side the numbers leaned away from only slightly.
NHL · · Little Caesars Arena · every National Hockey League line
St. Louis Blues vs Detroit Red Wings: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final scoreBlues 5, Red Wings 4
- Pregame Projected winnereven
- Pregame Projected scoreRed Wings 3.0, Blues 3.0
- Model spreadeven total 6
- Margin1 projected 0
- Total9 projected 6
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
St. Louis Blues or Detroit Red Wings: the bandwagon
Axle 50–50Market 48–52
FinalPregame: DET 50%Baseline: DET 61.8% (+12.0)Big swing: 39.6 ptsClutch window: 14:52
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 |
| DET | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Shots
STL 15DET 28
St. Louis Blues at Detroit Red Wings win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to STL−8.9 points for DET over the last 5:00
Big swing39.6 ptstoward STL at 53:15 of game time
Clutch window14:52within 1 goals in the final period
BaselineDET 61.8%game average, +12.0 points from the pregame 49.8%
St. Louis Blues vs Detroit Red Wings live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | STL | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | STL15 | DET28 |
| Hits | STL21 | DET30 |
| Blocked shots | STL12 | DET18 |
| Power play | STL0/3 | DET1/2 |
| Faceoff win | STL54.7% | DET45.3% |
| Takeaways | STL4 | DET4 |
| Giveaways | STL20 | DET16 |
| Penalty minutes | STL4 | DET6 |
St. Louis Blues vs Detroit Red Wings team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | STL | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Score | STL5 | DET4 |
| Average win probability | STL38% | DET62% |
| Longest scoring run | STL+3 | DET+4 |
| Time leading | STL11:19 | DET32:17 |
St. Louis Blues vs Detroit Red Wings model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET
Blues50%
Win chanceRed Wings50%
SpreadPKclosing model spread
Total6
Moneyline−101away / +101homeaway / home
Line movementDET win chance, 11 stored lines
No move
56%44%
Oct 28Oct 30Oct 31
Every stored line
| Stored | DET win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:42 PM ET | 50% | −1 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 51% | +1 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:48 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:44 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:14 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 50% | — |
- Ratings
- DET 1481 · STL 1507
- Home spread
- PK
- Stored
- Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET · 2026-10-31 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: St. Louis Blues 5, Detroit Red Wings 4. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Oct 29, 10:43 PM UTC
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
BluesRed Wings
Neutrals only–
BluesRed Wings
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Red Wings–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Blues vs Red Wings odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NHL marketKalshi had the Red Wings at 52% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 52% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 50% when last read, .
| Source | STL | DET | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 48% | 52% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 48% | 52% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 50% | 50% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, DET: +2Polymarket minus model, DET: +2
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
St. Louis Blues vs Detroit Red Wings prediction
Bandwagon's model has this one even: 50% for the Red Wings. The model total is 6. Ratings: Red Wings 1480 (22nd of 32), Blues 1505 (16th). The Red Wings are 7-6-3 in the Atlantic Division; the Blues are 7-7-1 in the Central Division. The Red Wings have won 3 of their last 5; the Blues 2 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Red Wings won 4, the Blues 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
St. Louis Blues
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at New York Rangers | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Detroit Red Wings | W 5–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Boston Bruins | W 4–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Montreal Canadiens | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Carolina Hurricanes | L 0–4 | – | – | matchup |
Detroit Red Wings
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Tampa Bay Lightning | L 2–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Florida Panthers | W 5–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs St. Louis Blues | L 4–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Chicago Blackhawks | W 4–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Edmonton Oilers | W 4–3 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Red Wings at St. Louis Blues | 5–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| St. Louis Blues at Detroit Red Wings | 4–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| Detroit Red Wings at St. Louis Blues | 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| St. Louis Blues at Detroit Red Wings | 4–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| St. Louis Blues at Detroit Red Wings | 1–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| Detroit Red Wings at St. Louis Blues | 6–4 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
St. Louis Blues: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Detroit Red Wings: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Blues7-7-1 Central Division, 6th · L1
- Blues rating1505 16th of 32, 15 games
- Red Wings7-6-3 Atlantic Division, 8th · L1
- Red Wings rating1480 22nd of 32, 16 games
St. Louis Blues 7-7-1
National Hockey League · Central Division · 6th · streak L1
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $BLUES
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $BLUES
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $BLUES
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $BLUES: the share of the crowd ▲ on the St. Louis Blues bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Detroit Red Wings 7-6-3
National Hockey League · Atlantic Division · 8th · streak L1
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $REDWINGS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $REDWINGS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $REDWINGS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $REDWINGS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Detroit Red Wings bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on St. Louis Blues at Detroit Red Wings
Sign in to post a take on $BLUESREDWINGS261031: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Blues 5, Red Wings 4. Bandwagon's model had it even and projected Red Wings 3.0, Blues 3.0; spread even, total 6. Last read: Kalshi 52%, Polymarket 52% for the Red Wings.