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Axle 2.078% straight up509 games
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Chace Athletic Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Marist Red Foxes vs Bryant Bulldogs prediction, odds and picks, November 5, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Marist Red Foxes or Bryant Bulldogs: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 22–78Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: BRY 78%
Record 0-1
––
Record 1-0
Game clock
KickoffThursday, November 5 at 6:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
–

Marist Red Foxes at Bryant Bulldogs win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Marist Red Foxes vs Bryant Bulldogs live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Marist Red Foxes vs Bryant Bulldogs team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatMRSTBRY
ScoreMRST–BRY–
Average win probabilityMRST–BRY–
Longest scoring runMRST–BRY–
Time leadingMRST–BRY–

Marist Red Foxes vs Bryant Bulldogs odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 5:04 AM ET
Red Foxes22%
Win chance
Bulldogs78%
SpreadBRY −11
Total130.5
Moneyline+346away / −346homeaway / home
Line movementBRY win chance, 39 stored lines
+15 pts for BRY since Oct 29
85%58%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: BRY 63%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: BRY 80%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: BRY 80%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: BRY 80%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: BRY 76%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: BRY 76%Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET: BRY 76%Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET: BRY 76%Nov 2, 4:27 PM ET: BRY 76%Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET: BRY 76%Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET: BRY 76%Nov 2, 7:46 PM ET: BRY 77%Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET: BRY 77%Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET: BRY 77%Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET: BRY 77%Nov 2, 8:26 PM ET: BRY 77%Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET: BRY 77%Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET: BRY 77%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: BRY 77%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: BRY 77%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: BRY 77%Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET: BRY 77%Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET: BRY 77%Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET: BRY 77%Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET: BRY 77%Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET: BRY 78%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: BRY 78%Nov 3, 1:03 PM ET: BRY 78%Nov 3, 7:58 PM ET: BRY 78%Nov 3, 8:48 PM ET: BRY 78%Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET: BRY 78%Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET: BRY 78%Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET: BRY 78%Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET: BRY 78%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: BRY 78%Nov 4, 8:05 PM ET: BRY 78%Nov 4, 10:00 PM ET: BRY 78%Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET: BRY 78%Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET: BRY 78%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredBRY winMove
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET78%0
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET78%0
Nov 4, 10:00 PM ET78%0
Nov 4, 8:05 PM ET78%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET78%0
Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET78%0
Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET78%0
Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET78%0
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET78%0
Nov 3, 8:48 PM ET78%0
Nov 3, 7:58 PM ET78%0
Nov 3, 1:03 PM ET78%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET78%0
Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET78%+1
Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 8:26 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 7:46 PM ET77%+1
Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 4:27 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET76%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET76%−4
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET80%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET80%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET80%+17
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET63%—
Ratings
BRY 1490 · MRST 1389
Home spread
−11
Stored
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET · 2026-11-05 10:04 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

Red FoxesBulldogs
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Bulldogs–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Marist Red Foxes vs Bryant Bulldogs prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Bulldogs a 11-point favorite at home, with a 78% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Bulldogs 1490 (185th of 356), Red Foxes 1389 (288th). The Bulldogs are 1-0; the Red Foxes are 0-1. The Bulldogs have won 1 of their last 5; the Red Foxes 1 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Bulldogs won 1, the Red Foxes 1.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Marist Red Foxes

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Drexel DragonsL 47–62––matchup
at Manhattan JaspersL 55–64––matchup
at Siena SaintsL 57–67––matchup
at Saint Peter's PeacocksW 48–45––matchup
vs Manhattan JaspersL 61–66––matchup

Bryant Bulldogs

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Binghamton BearcatsL 44–45––matchup
at NJIT HighlandersL 42–75––matchup
vs UMBC RetrieversL 59–65––matchup
at Binghamton BearcatsW 63–60––matchup
vs Vermont CatamountsL 45–52––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Bryant Bulldogs at Marist Red Foxes66–56––matchup
Marist Red Foxes at Bryant Bulldogs63–52––matchup

Injuries

Marist Red Foxes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Bryant Bulldogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Red Foxes0-1 5th · L1
  • Red Foxes rating1389 288th of 356, 1 games
  • Bulldogs1-0 1st · W1
  • Bulldogs rating1490 185th of 356, 0 games

Marist Red Foxes 0-1

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MRSTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MRSTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MRSTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $MRSTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Marist Red Foxes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Red Foxes roster, schedule and more

Bryant Bulldogs 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $BRYWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $BRYWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $BRYWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $BRYWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Bryant Bulldogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bulldogs roster, schedule and more

Takes on Marist Red Foxes at Bryant Bulldogs

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Model: Bryant 78% to win. Projected score Bryant 71, Marist 60; spread Bryant −11, total 130.5. Marist Red Foxes at Bryant Bulldogs, Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM ET.