Drexel Dragons lead Marist Red Foxes 35-29 with 8:31 left in the 3rd, a 6-point margin. The model gives Drexel a 82% chance to win, and no crowd picks are in yet.
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Daskalakis Athletic Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
Marist Red Foxes vs Drexel Dragons: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreMarist 47, Drexel 62 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerDrexel 82%
- Pregame Projected scoreDrexel 72, Marist 59
- Model spreadDrexel −13 total 130.5
- Margin15 projected 13
- Total109 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Marist Red Foxes or Drexel Dragons: the bandwagon
Axle 18–82Market –
FinalPregame: DREX 82%Baseline: DREX 93.1% (+11.3)Big swing: 15.7 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRST | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 47 |
| DREX | 17 | 16 | 17 | 12 | 62 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Marist Red Foxes at Drexel Dragons win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for DREX over the last 5:00
Big swing15.7 ptstoward MRST at 7:53 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineDREX 93.1%game average, +11.3 points from the pregame 81.8%
Marist Red Foxes vs Drexel Dragons live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | MRST | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | MRST19/47 | DREX21/50 |
| 3-pointers | MRST4/14 | DREX3/14 |
| Free throws | MRST5/9 | DREX11/16 |
| Rebounds | MRST25 | DREX37 |
| Assists | MRST10 | DREX14 |
| Turnovers | MRST13 | DREX6 |
| Steals | MRST4 | DREX10 |
| Blocks | MRST3 | DREX1 |
| Points in the paint | MRST24 | DREX32 |
| Fast-break points | MRST2 | DREX6 |
| Fouls | MRST16 | DREX12 |
| Largest lead | MRST2 | DREX19 |
Marist Red Foxes vs Drexel Dragons team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | MRST | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Score | MRST47 | DREX62 |
| Average win probability | MRST7% | DREX93% |
| Longest scoring run | MRST+7 | DREX+9 |
| Time leading | MRST0:00 | DREX36:17 |
Marist Red Foxes vs Drexel Dragons odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET
Red Foxes18%
Win chanceDragons82%
SpreadDREX −13closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+450away / −450homeaway / home
Line movementDREX win chance, 16 stored lines
+19 pts for DREX between Oct 29 and Nov 2
91%58%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | DREX win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:46 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:06 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 82% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 86% | +23 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- DREX 1536 · MRST 1397
- Home spread
- −13
- Stored
- Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET · 2026-11-03 00:16 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Marist Red Foxes 47, Drexel Dragons 62. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
Red FoxesDragons
Neutrals only–
Red FoxesDragons
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Dragons–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Marist Red Foxes vs Drexel Dragons prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Dragons a 13-point favorite at home, with a 82% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Dragons 1545 (125th of 356), Red Foxes 1389 (289th). The Dragons are 1-0; the Red Foxes are 0-1. The Dragons have won 2 of their last 5; the Red Foxes 1 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Dragons won 3, the Red Foxes 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Marist Red Foxes
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Drexel Dragons | L 47–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Manhattan Jaspers | L 55–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Siena Saints | L 57–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Saint Peter's Peacocks | W 48–45 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Manhattan Jaspers | L 61–66 | – | – | matchup |
Drexel Dragons
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Marist Red Foxes | W 62–47 | – | – | matchup | |
| at St. Bonaventure Bonnies | L 67–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Hofstra Pride | L 49–53 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Elon Phoenix | W 68–53 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Towson Tigers | L 58–74 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drexel Dragons at Marist Red Foxes | 71–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| Marist Red Foxes at Drexel Dragons | 53–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| Drexel Dragons at Marist Red Foxes | 51–36 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Marist Red Foxes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Drexel Dragons: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Red Foxes0-1 5th · L1
- Red Foxes rating1389 289th of 356, 1 games
- Dragons1-0 2nd · W1
- Dragons rating1545 125th of 356, 1 games
Marist Red Foxes 0-1
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak L1
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No stances yet today on $MRSTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Marist Red Foxes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Drexel Dragons 1-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 2nd · streak W1
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Takes on Marist Red Foxes at Drexel Dragons
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