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NCAA Women's Basketball · · War Memorial Gymnasium · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine vs San Francisco Dons prediction, odds and picks, November 5, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine or San Francisco Dons: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 49–51Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: SF 51%
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Record 0-0
Game clock
KickoffThursday, November 5 at 3:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
–

Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine at San Francisco Dons win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine vs San Francisco Dons live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine vs San Francisco Dons team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatHAWSF
ScoreHAW–SF–
Average win probabilityHAW–SF–
Longest scoring runHAW–SF–
Time leadingHAW–SF–

Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine vs San Francisco Dons odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 10 h ago
Rainbow Wahine49%
Win chance
Dons51%
SpreadSF −3
Total130.5
Moneyline+103away / −103homeaway / home
Line movementSF win chance, 35 stored lines
−12 pts for SF since Oct 29
69%38%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: SF 63%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: SF 43%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: SF 43%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: SF 43%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: SF 48%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: SF 48%Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET: SF 48%Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET: SF 48%Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET: SF 48%Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET: SF 48%Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET: SF 48%Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET: SF 48%Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET: SF 51%Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET: SF 51%Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET: SF 51%Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET: SF 51%Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET: SF 51%Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET: SF 51%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: SF 51%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: SF 51%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: SF 51%Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET: SF 51%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: SF 51%Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET: SF 51%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: SF 51%Nov 3, 1:03 PM ET: SF 51%Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET: SF 51%Nov 3, 8:28 PM ET: SF 51%Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET: SF 51%Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET: SF 51%Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET: SF 51%Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET: SF 51%Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET: SF 51%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: SF 51%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: SF 51%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredSF winMove
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET51%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET51%0
Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET51%0
Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET51%0
Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET51%0
Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET51%0
Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET51%0
Nov 3, 8:28 PM ET51%0
Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET51%0
Nov 3, 1:03 PM ET51%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET51%0
Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET51%+3
Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET48%0
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET48%0
Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET48%0
Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET48%0
Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET48%0
Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET48%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET48%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET48%+5
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET43%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET43%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET43%−20
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET63%—
Ratings
SF 1496 · HAW 1563
Home spread
−3
Stored
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

Rainbow WahineDons
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Dons–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine vs San Francisco Dons prediction

Bandwagon's model has this one even: 51% for the Dons. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Dons 1496 (174th of 356), Rainbow Wahine 1563 (109th). The Dons are 0-0; the Rainbow Wahine are 0-0. The Dons have won 3 of their last 5; the Rainbow Wahine 3 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Dons won 0, the Rainbow Wahine 1.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Oregon DucksL 54–87––matchup
at UC San Diego TritonsL 48–60––matchup
at UC Irvine AnteatersW 67–63––matchup
vs Cal State Fullerton TitansW 72–61––matchup
at Long Beach State BeachW 74–39––matchup

San Francisco Dons

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Montana State BobcatsL 53–69––matchup
vs Utah Valley WolverinesW 80–50––matchup
at Santa Clara BroncosL 69–87––matchup
at Pepperdine WavesW 86–69––matchup
vs San Diego TorerosW 61–52––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
San Francisco Dons at Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine51–65––matchup

Injuries

Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

San Francisco Dons: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Rainbow Wahine0-0 6th · -
  • Rainbow Wahine rating1563 109th of 356, 1 games
  • Dons0-0 9th · -
  • Dons rating1496 174th of 356, 0 games

Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 6th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $HAWWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $HAWWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $HAWWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $HAWWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Rainbow Wahine roster, schedule and more

San Francisco Dons 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 9th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SFWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SFWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SFWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $SFWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the San Francisco Dons bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Dons roster, schedule and more

Takes on Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine at San Francisco Dons

Sign in to post a take on $HAWWBBSFWBB261105: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

Model: even. Projected score San Francisco 67, Hawai'i 64; spread San Francisco −3, total 130.5. Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine at San Francisco Dons, Thu, Nov 5, 3:00 PM ET.