Oregon Ducks lead Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine 47-33 at halftime, a 14-point margin. The model has the Ducks at 71% to win, and the crowd has no picks logged yet.
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Matthew Knight Arena · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine vs Oregon Ducks: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreHawai'i 54, Oregon 87 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerOregon 71%
- Pregame Projected scoreOregon 70, Hawai'i 61
- Model spreadOregon −8.5 total 130.5
- Margin33 projected 8.7
- Total141 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine or Oregon Ducks: the bandwagon
Axle 29–71Market –
FinalPregame: ORE 71%Baseline: ORE 94.2% (+23.3)Big swing: 17.8 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAW | 10 | 23 | 10 | 11 | 54 |
| ORE | 28 | 19 | 24 | 16 | 87 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–
Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine at Oregon Ducks win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for ORE over the last 5:00
Big swing17.8 ptstoward ORE at 5:35 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineORE 94.2%game average, +23.3 points from the pregame 70.9%
Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine vs Oregon Ducks live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | HAW | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | HAW20/56 | ORE31/80 |
| 3-pointers | HAW3/17 | ORE11/32 |
| Free throws | HAW11/15 | ORE14/19 |
| Rebounds | HAW35 | ORE50 |
| Assists | HAW7 | ORE17 |
| Turnovers | HAW23 | ORE11 |
| Steals | HAW8 | ORE18 |
| Blocks | HAW12 | ORE7 |
| Points in the paint | HAW32 | ORE34 |
| Fast-break points | HAW13 | ORE18 |
| Fouls | HAW17 | ORE16 |
| Largest lead | HAW4 | ORE33 |
Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine vs Oregon Ducks team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | HAW | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Score | HAW54 | ORE87 |
| Average win probability | HAW6% | ORE94% |
| Longest scoring run | HAW+5 | ORE+13 |
| Time leading | HAW0:55 | ORE33:54 |
Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine vs Oregon Ducks odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 7:46 PM ET
Rainbow Wahine29%
Win chanceDucks71%
SpreadORE −8.5closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+244away / −244homeaway / home
Line movementORE win chance, 15 stored lines
+8 pts for ORE between Oct 29 and Nov 2
79%58%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | ORE win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 7:46 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:46 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:58 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:06 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 71% | −2 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 73% | +10 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- ORE 1634 · HAW 1580
- Home spread
- −8.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 7:46 PM ET · 2026-11-03 00:46 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine 54, Oregon Ducks 87. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
Rainbow WahineDucks
Neutrals only–
Rainbow WahineDucks
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Ducks–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine vs Oregon Ducks prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Ducks a 8.5-point favorite at home, with a 71% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Ducks 1651 (36th of 356), Rainbow Wahine 1563 (109th). The Ducks are 1-0; the Rainbow Wahine are 0-1. The Ducks have won 3 of their last 5; the Rainbow Wahine 3 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Oregon Ducks | L 54–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UC San Diego Tritons | L 48–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UC Irvine Anteaters | W 67–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Cal State Fullerton Titans | W 72–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Long Beach State Beach | W 74–39 | – | – | matchup |
Oregon Ducks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine | W 87–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Texas Longhorns | L 58–100 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Virginia Tech Hokies | W 70–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Michigan Wolverines | L 58–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Maryland Terrapins | W 73–68 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Oregon Ducks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Rainbow Wahine0-1 4th · L1
- Rainbow Wahine rating1563 109th of 356, 1 games
- Ducks1-0 8th · W1
- Ducks rating1651 36th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak L1
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $HAWWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $HAWWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $HAWWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $HAWWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Oregon Ducks 1-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 8th · streak W1
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $OREWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $OREWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $OREWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $OREWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Oregon Ducks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine at Oregon Ducks
Sign in to post a take on $HAWWBBOREWBB261102: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.