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NCAA Women's Basketball · · The Jungle · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

SIU Edwardsville Cougars vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars prediction, odds and picks, November 5, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

SIU Edwardsville Cougars or IU Indianapolis Jaguars: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 44–56Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: IUIN 56%
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Game clock
KickoffThursday, November 5 at 6:30 PM ET
Situation
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Possession
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SIU Edwardsville Cougars at IU Indianapolis Jaguars win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

SIU Edwardsville Cougars vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

SIU Edwardsville Cougars vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatSIUEIUIN
ScoreSIUE–IUIN–
Average win probabilitySIUE–IUIN–
Longest scoring runSIUE–IUIN–
Time leadingSIUE–IUIN–

SIU Edwardsville Cougars vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 4 h ago
Cougars44%
Win chance
Jaguars56%
SpreadIUIN −4
Total130.5
Moneyline+125away / −125homeaway / home
Line movementIUIN win chance, 36 stored lines
−7 pts for IUIN since Oct 29
69%50%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: IUIN 63%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: IUIN 55%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: IUIN 55%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: IUIN 55%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: IUIN 57%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: IUIN 57%Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET: IUIN 57%Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET: IUIN 57%Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET: IUIN 57%Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET: IUIN 57%Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET: IUIN 57%Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET: IUIN 57%Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET: IUIN 57%Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET: IUIN 57%Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET: IUIN 57%Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET: IUIN 57%Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET: IUIN 57%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: IUIN 57%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: IUIN 57%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: IUIN 57%Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET: IUIN 56%Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET: IUIN 56%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: IUIN 56%Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET: IUIN 56%Nov 2, 10:33 PM ET: IUIN 56%Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET: IUIN 56%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: IUIN 56%Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET: IUIN 56%Nov 3, 8:28 PM ET: IUIN 56%Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET: IUIN 56%Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET: IUIN 56%Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET: IUIN 56%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: IUIN 56%Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET: IUIN 56%Nov 4, 9:45 PM ET: IUIN 56%Nov 4, 9:45 PM ET: IUIN 56%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredIUIN winMove
Nov 4, 9:45 PM ET56%0
Nov 4, 9:45 PM ET56%0
Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET56%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET56%0
Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET56%0
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET56%0
Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET56%0
Nov 3, 8:28 PM ET56%0
Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET56%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET56%0
Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET56%0
Nov 2, 10:33 PM ET56%0
Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET56%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET56%0
Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET56%0
Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET56%−1
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET57%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET57%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET57%0
Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET57%0
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET57%0
Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET57%0
Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET57%0
Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET57%0
Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET57%0
Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET57%0
Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET57%0
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET57%0
Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET57%0
Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET57%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET57%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET57%+2
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET55%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET55%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET55%−8
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET63%—
Ratings
IUIN 1427 · SIUE 1466
Home spread
−4
Stored
Nov 4, 9:45 PM ET · 2026-11-05 02:45 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

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CougarsJaguars
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Jaguars–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

SIU Edwardsville Cougars vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Jaguars a 4-point favorite at home, with a 56% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Jaguars 1427 (248th of 356), Cougars 1466 (210th). The Jaguars are 0-1; the Cougars are 1-0. The Jaguars have won 2 of their last 5; the Cougars 4 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

SIU Edwardsville Cougars

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at UT Martin SkyhawksW 63–49––matchup
vs Eastern Illinois PanthersW 70–43––matchup
vs Western Illinois LeathernecksL 61–79––matchup
at Tennessee State Lady TigersW 67–52––matchup
at Tennessee Tech Golden EaglesW 76–60––matchup

IU Indianapolis Jaguars

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Purdue BoilermakersL 73–81––matchup
at Purdue Fort Wayne MastodonsL 49–85––matchup
at Northern Kentucky NorseW 74–72––matchup
at Milwaukee PanthersW 80–77––matchup
at Green Bay PhoenixL 61–72––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

SIU Edwardsville Cougars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

IU Indianapolis Jaguars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Cougars1-0 1st · W1
  • Cougars rating1466 210th of 356, 0 games
  • Jaguars0-1 8th · L1
  • Jaguars rating1427 248th of 356, 1 games

SIU Edwardsville Cougars 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SIUEWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SIUEWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SIUEWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $SIUEWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the SIU Edwardsville Cougars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Cougars roster, schedule and more

IU Indianapolis Jaguars 0-1

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 8th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $IUINWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $IUINWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $IUINWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $IUINWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the IU Indianapolis Jaguars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Jaguars roster, schedule and more

Takes on SIU Edwardsville Cougars at IU Indianapolis Jaguars

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Model: IU Indianapolis 56% to win. Projected score IU Indianapolis 67, SIU Edwardsville 63; spread IU Indianapolis −4, total 130.5. SIU Edwardsville Cougars at IU Indianapolis Jaguars, Thu, Nov 5, 6:30 PM ET.