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NCAA Women's Basketball · · Pizzitola Sports Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Army Black Knights vs Brown Bears prediction, odds and picks, November 5, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Army Black Knights or Brown Bears: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 49–51Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: BRWN 51%
Record 1-0
––
Record 0-1
Game clock
KickoffThursday, November 5 at 7:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
–

Army Black Knights at Brown Bears win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Army Black Knights vs Brown Bears live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Army Black Knights vs Brown Bears team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatARMYBRWN
ScoreARMY–BRWN–
Average win probabilityARMY–BRWN–
Longest scoring runARMY–BRWN–
Time leadingARMY–BRWN–

Army Black Knights vs Brown Bears odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 11:01 PM ET
Black Knights49%
Win chance
Bears51%
SpreadBRWN −3
Total130.5
Moneyline+103away / −103homeaway / home
Line movementBRWN win chance, 34 stored lines
−12 pts for BRWN since Oct 29
69%45%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: BRWN 63%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: BRWN 51%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: BRWN 51%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: BRWN 51%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: BRWN 54%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: BRWN 54%Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET: BRWN 54%Nov 2, 1:46 PM ET: BRWN 54%Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET: BRWN 54%Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET: BRWN 54%Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET: BRWN 54%Nov 2, 4:27 PM ET: BRWN 54%Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET: BRWN 54%Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET: BRWN 51%Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET: BRWN 51%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: BRWN 51%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: BRWN 51%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: BRWN 51%Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET: BRWN 51%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: BRWN 51%Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET: BRWN 51%Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET: BRWN 51%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: BRWN 51%Nov 3, 8:48 PM ET: BRWN 51%Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET: BRWN 51%Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET: BRWN 51%Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET: BRWN 51%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: BRWN 51%Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET: BRWN 51%Nov 4, 7:49 PM ET: BRWN 51%Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET: BRWN 51%Nov 4, 9:45 PM ET: BRWN 51%Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET: BRWN 51%Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET: BRWN 51%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredBRWN winMove
Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET51%0
Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET51%0
Nov 4, 9:45 PM ET51%0
Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET51%0
Nov 4, 7:49 PM ET51%0
Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET51%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET51%0
Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET51%0
Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET51%0
Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET51%0
Nov 3, 8:48 PM ET51%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET51%0
Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET51%−3
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET54%0
Nov 2, 4:27 PM ET54%0
Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET54%0
Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET54%0
Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET54%0
Nov 2, 1:46 PM ET54%0
Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET54%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET54%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET54%+3
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET51%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET51%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET51%−12
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET63%—
Ratings
BRWN 1513 · ARMY 1580
Home spread
−3
Stored
Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET · 2026-11-05 04:01 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

Black KnightsBears
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Bears–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Army Black Knights vs Brown Bears prediction

Bandwagon's model has this one even: 51% for the Bears. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Bears 1513 (157th of 356), Black Knights 1580 (93rd). The Bears are 0-1; the Black Knights are 1-0. The Bears have won 1 of their last 5; the Black Knights 3 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Army Black Knights

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Marshall Thundering HerdL 65–82––matchup
vs La Salle ExplorersW 74–63––matchup
vs NJIT HighlandersW 59–52––matchup
at Holy Cross CrusadersL 55–61––matchup
vs Lafayette LeopardsW 65–57––matchup

Brown Bears

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Siena SaintsL 71–82––matchup
at Princeton TigersL 51–65––matchup
at Pennsylvania QuakersL 56–69––matchup
vs Columbia LionsL 56–59––matchup
vs Cornell Big RedW 62–47––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Army Black Knights: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Brown Bears: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Black Knights1-0 1st · W1
  • Black Knights rating1580 93rd of 356, 0 games
  • Bears0-1 6th · L1
  • Bears rating1513 157th of 356, 1 games

Army Black Knights 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $ARMYWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $ARMYWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $ARMYWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $ARMYWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Army Black Knights bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Black Knights roster, schedule and more

Brown Bears 0-1

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 6th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $BRWNWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $BRWNWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $BRWNWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $BRWNWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Brown Bears bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bears roster, schedule and more

Takes on Army Black Knights at Brown Bears

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