McNeese Cowboys vs North Texas Mean Green prediction, odds and picks, November 5, 2026
- Projected winnerMcNeese 52%
- Model spreadNorth Texas −1 total 145.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
McNeese Cowboys or North Texas Mean Green: the bandwagon
Axle 52–48Market –
McNeese Cowboys at North Texas Mean Green win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
McNeese Cowboys vs North Texas Mean Green live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
McNeese Cowboys vs North Texas Mean Green team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | MCN | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| Score | MCN– | UNT– |
| Average win probability | MCN– | UNT– |
| Longest scoring run | MCN– | UNT– |
| Time leading | MCN– | UNT– |
McNeese Cowboys vs North Texas Mean Green odds
Every stored line
| Stored | UNT win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:46 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 48% | −3 |
| Nov 2, 5:58 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 51% | +4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 47% | −18 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- UNT 1532 · MCN 1651
- Home spread
- −1
- Stored
- Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET · 2026-11-05 03:16 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
McNeese Cowboys vs North Texas Mean Green prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Cowboys the favorite, with a 52% chance to win; its spread is Mean Green −1. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Mean Green 1532 (123rd of 361), Cowboys 1651 (20th). The Mean Green are 1-0; the Cowboys are 1-0. The Mean Green have won 3 of their last 5; the Cowboys 4 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Mean Green won 0, the Cowboys 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
McNeese Cowboys
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs UAB Blazers | W 99–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Vanderbilt Commodores | L 68–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | W 76–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | W 84–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Nicholls Colonels | W 75–65 | – | – | matchup |
North Texas Mean Green
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Tulsa Golden Hurricane | L 84–90 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Florida Atlantic Owls | W 74–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Rice Owls | W 62–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UAB Blazers | W 62–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Charlotte 49ers | L 79–80 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Texas Mean Green at McNeese Cowboys | 61–68 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
McNeese Cowboys: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
North Texas Mean Green: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Cowboys1-0 4th · W1
- Cowboys rating1651 20th of 361, 1 games
- Mean Green1-0 5th · W1
- Mean Green rating1532 123rd of 361, 0 games
McNeese Cowboys 1-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $MCNMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the McNeese Cowboys bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $UNTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the North Texas Mean Green bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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