Niagara Purple Eagles vs UMass Lowell River Hawks prediction, odds and picks, November 5, 2026
- Projected winnerUMass Lowell 76%
- Projected scoreUMass Lowell 70, Niagara 60
- Model spreadUMass Lowell −10.5 total 130.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Niagara Purple Eagles or UMass Lowell River Hawks: the bandwagon
Axle 24–76Market –
Niagara Purple Eagles at UMass Lowell River Hawks win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Niagara Purple Eagles vs UMass Lowell River Hawks live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Niagara Purple Eagles vs UMass Lowell River Hawks team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | NIA | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NIA– | UML– |
| Average win probability | NIA– | UML– |
| Longest scoring run | NIA– | UML– |
| Time leading | NIA– | UML– |
Niagara Purple Eagles vs UMass Lowell River Hawks odds
Every stored line
| Stored | UML win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 10:06 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 10:06 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 8:05 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:48 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 7:58 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:26 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET | 76% | +2 |
| Nov 2, 7:46 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 74% | −3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 77% | +14 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- UML 1332 · NIA 1245
- Home spread
- −10.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 10:06 PM ET · 2026-11-05 03:06 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Niagara Purple Eagles vs UMass Lowell River Hawks prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the River Hawks a 10.5-point favorite at home, with a 76% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: River Hawks 1332 (332nd of 356), Purple Eagles 1245 (352nd). The River Hawks are 1-0; the Purple Eagles are 0-1. The River Hawks have won 1 of their last 5; the Purple Eagles 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Fordham Rams | L 40–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Merrimack Warriors | L 44–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Quinnipiac Bobcats | L 38–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Rider Broncs | W 56–52 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | L 57–76 | – | – | matchup |
UMass Lowell River Hawks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at UMBC Retrievers | L 43–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Vermont Catamounts | L 37–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Binghamton Bearcats | L 44–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New Hampshire Wildcats | W 57–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Bryant Bulldogs | L 36–77 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Niagara Purple Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
UMass Lowell River Hawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Purple Eagles0-1 8th · L1
- Purple Eagles rating1245 352nd of 356, 1 games
- River Hawks1-0 6th · W1
- River Hawks rating1332 332nd of 356, 0 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 8th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $NIAWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Niagara Purple Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 6th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $UMLWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UMass Lowell River Hawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Niagara Purple Eagles at UMass Lowell River Hawks
Sign in to post a take on $NIAWBBUMLWBB261106: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
Model: UMass Lowell 76% to win. Projected score UMass Lowell 70, Niagara 60; spread UMass Lowell −10.5, total 130.5. Niagara Purple Eagles at UMass Lowell River Hawks, Thu, Nov 5, 7:00 PM ET.