Howard Bison vs Alcorn State Braves prediction, odds and picks, November 5, 2026
- Projected winnerHoward 60%
- Projected scoreHoward 73, Alcorn State 72
- Model spreadHoward −1.5 total 145.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Howard Bison or Alcorn State Braves: the bandwagon
Axle 60–40Market –
Howard Bison at Alcorn State Braves win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Howard Bison vs Alcorn State Braves live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Howard Bison vs Alcorn State Braves team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | HOW | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Score | HOW– | ALCN– |
| Average win probability | HOW– | ALCN– |
| Longest scoring run | HOW– | ALCN– |
| Time leading | HOW– | ALCN– |
Howard Bison vs Alcorn State Braves odds
Every stored line
| Stored | ALCN win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:00 AM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:40 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET | 40% | −1 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 41% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:58 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 40% | +7 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 33% | −32 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- ALCN 1361 · HOW 1538
- Home spread
- +1.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET · 2026-11-05 03:16 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Howard Bison vs Alcorn State Braves prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bison a 1.5-point favorite, with a 60% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Braves 1361 (346th of 361), Bison 1538 (107th). The Braves are 0-1; the Bison are 0-1. The Braves have won 2 of their last 5; the Bison 3 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Braves won 0, the Bison 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Howard Bison
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Yale Bulldogs | L 62–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Michigan Wolverines | L 80–101 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UMBC Retrievers | W 86–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs North Carolina Central Eagles | W 70–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs South Carolina State Bulldogs | W 78–61 | – | – | matchup |
Alcorn State Braves
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Ole Miss Rebels | L 58–99 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Prairie View A&M Panthers | L 56–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Alabama State Hornets | W 77–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | L 48–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | W 67–64 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcorn State Braves at Howard Bison | 64–72 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Howard Bison: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Alcorn State Braves: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bison0-1 6th · L1
- Bison rating1538 107th of 361, 1 games
- Braves0-1 5th · L1
- Braves rating1361 346th of 361, 1 games
Howard Bison 0-1
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $HOWMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Howard Bison bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $ALCNMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Alcorn State Braves bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Howard Bison at Alcorn State Braves
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Model: Howard 60% to win. Projected score Howard 73, Alcorn State 72; spread Howard −1.5, total 145.5. Howard Bison at Alcorn State Braves, Thu, Nov 5, 7:00 PM ET.