Alcorn State Braves vs Ole Miss Rebels: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreAlcorn State 58, Ole Miss 99 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerOle Miss 81%
- Pregame Projected scoreOle Miss 78, Alcorn State 67
- Model spreadOle Miss −10.5 total 145.5
- Margin41 projected 10.7
- Total157 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Alcorn State Braves or Ole Miss Rebels: the bandwagon
Axle 19–81Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALCN | 31 | 27 | 58 |
| MISS | 52 | 47 | 99 |
Alcorn State Braves at Ole Miss Rebels win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Alcorn State Braves vs Ole Miss Rebels live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | ALCN | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | ALCN19/52 | MISS35/61 |
| 3-pointers | ALCN10/25 | MISS6/18 |
| Free throws | ALCN10/18 | MISS23/37 |
| Rebounds | ALCN31 | MISS38 |
| Assists | ALCN14 | MISS25 |
| Turnovers | ALCN26 | MISS11 |
| Steals | ALCN8 | MISS14 |
| Blocks | ALCN3 | MISS5 |
| Points in the paint | ALCN10 | MISS56 |
| Fast-break points | ALCN11 | MISS27 |
| Fouls | ALCN27 | MISS18 |
| Largest lead | ALCN0 | MISS46 |
Alcorn State Braves vs Ole Miss Rebels team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | ALCN | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Score | ALCN58 | MISS99 |
| Average win probability | ALCN5% | MISS95% |
| Longest scoring run | ALCN+3 | MISS+6 |
| Time leading | ALCN0:00 | MISS17:35 |
Alcorn State Braves vs Ole Miss Rebels odds
Every stored line
| Stored | MISS win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 81% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 85% | +20 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- MISS 1510 · ALCN 1373
- Home spread
- −10.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET · 2026-11-03 03:51 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Alcorn State Braves 58, Ole Miss Rebels 99. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Alcorn State Braves vs Ole Miss Rebels prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Rebels a 10.5-point favorite at home, with a 81% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Rebels 1522 (138th of 361), Braves 1361 (346th). The Rebels are 0-0; the Braves are 0-0. The Rebels have won 4 of their last 5; the Braves 2 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Rebels won 2, the Braves 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Alcorn State Braves
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Ole Miss Rebels | L 58–99 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Prairie View A&M Panthers | L 56–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Alabama State Hornets | W 77–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | L 48–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | W 67–64 | – | – | matchup |
Ole Miss Rebels
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Alcorn State Braves | W 99–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arkansas Razorbacks | L 90–93 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Alabama Crimson Tide | W 80–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Georgia Bulldogs | W 76–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Texas Longhorns | W 76–66 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcorn State Braves at Ole Miss Rebels | 43–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| Alcorn State Braves at Ole Miss Rebels | 58–73 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Alcorn State Braves: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Ole Miss Rebels: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Braves0-0 4th · -
- Braves rating1361 346th of 361, 1 games
- Rebels0-0 11th · -
- Rebels rating1522 138th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak -
No stances yet today on $ALCNMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Alcorn State Braves bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Ole Miss Rebels 0-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 11th · streak -
No stances yet today on $MISSMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Ole Miss Rebels bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Final: Alcorn State 58, Ole Miss 99. Bandwagon's model had the Ole Miss at 81% and projected Ole Miss 78, Alcorn State 67; spread Ole Miss −10.5, total 145.5.