Howard Bison lead Yale Bulldogs 4-2 with 18:32 left in the 1st as the game opens in Major League Bandwagon. The model still puts Yale at 75 percent, so the numbers favor the home side despite the early deficit.
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Payne Whitney Gymnasium · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line
Howard Bison vs Yale Bulldogs: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreHoward 62, Yale 72 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerYale 75%
- Pregame Projected scoreYale 77, Howard 69
- Model spreadYale −8.5 total 145.5
- Margin10 projected 8.3
- Total134 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Howard Bison or Yale Bulldogs: the bandwagon
Axle 25–75Market –
FinalPregame: YALE 75%Baseline: YALE 91.1% (+16.4)Big swing: 23.0 ptsClutch window: 3:48
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOW | 28 | 34 | 62 |
| YALE | 40 | 32 | 72 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Howard Bison at Yale Bulldogs win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.2 points for YALE over the last 5:00
Big swing23.0 ptstoward YALE at 22:51 of game time
Clutch window3:48within 5 points in the final half
BaselineYALE 91.1%game average, +16.4 points from the pregame 74.7%
Howard Bison vs Yale Bulldogs live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | HOW | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | HOW24/68 | YALE23/64 |
| 3-pointers | HOW7/27 | YALE7/23 |
| Free throws | HOW7/16 | YALE19/22 |
| Rebounds | HOW41 | YALE51 |
| Assists | HOW10 | YALE13 |
| Turnovers | HOW11 | YALE14 |
| Steals | HOW12 | YALE3 |
| Blocks | HOW7 | YALE4 |
| Points in the paint | HOW32 | YALE28 |
| Fast-break points | HOW11 | YALE10 |
| Fouls | HOW22 | YALE17 |
| Largest lead | HOW5 | YALE15 |
Howard Bison vs Yale Bulldogs team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | HOW | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Score | HOW62 | YALE72 |
| Average win probability | HOW9% | YALE91% |
| Longest scoring run | HOW+7 | YALE+6 |
| Time leading | HOW0:00 | YALE17:09 |
Howard Bison vs Yale Bulldogs odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET
Bison25%
Win chanceBulldogs75%
SpreadYALE −8.5closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+296away / −296homeaway / home
Line movementYALE win chance, 10 stored lines
+10 pts for YALE between Oct 29 and Nov 2
83%60%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | YALE win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 75% | −3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 78% | +13 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- YALE 1622 · HOW 1547
- Home spread
- −8.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:06 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Howard Bison 62, Yale Bulldogs 72. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
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BisonBulldogs
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BisonBulldogs
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Bulldogs–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Howard Bison vs Yale Bulldogs prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bulldogs a 8.5-point favorite at home, with a 75% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Bulldogs 1630 (34th of 361), Bison 1538 (107th). The Bulldogs are 1-0; the Bison are 0-1. The Bulldogs have won 3 of their last 5; the Bison 3 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Bulldogs won 4, the Bison 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Howard Bison
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Yale Bulldogs | L 62–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Michigan Wolverines | L 80–101 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UMBC Retrievers | W 86–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs North Carolina Central Eagles | W 70–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs South Carolina State Bulldogs | W 78–61 | – | – | matchup |
Yale Bulldogs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Howard Bison | W 72–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks | L 67–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Pennsylvania Quakers | L 84–88 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Cornell Big Red | W 88–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Princeton Tigers | W 78–53 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yale Bulldogs at Howard Bison | 87–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| Howard Bison at Yale Bulldogs | 65–93 | – | – | matchup | |
| Yale Bulldogs at Howard Bison | 86–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| Howard Bison at Yale Bulldogs | 40–86 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Howard Bison: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Yale Bulldogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bison0-1 6th · L1
- Bison rating1538 107th of 361, 1 games
- Bulldogs1-0 5th · W1
- Bulldogs rating1630 34th of 361, 1 games
Howard Bison 0-1
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $HOWMBB
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No stances yet today on $HOWMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Howard Bison bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Yale Bulldogs 1-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $YALEMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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No stances yet today on $YALEMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Yale Bulldogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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