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NCAA Women's Basketball · · Littlejohn Coliseum · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs Clemson Tigers prediction, odds and picks, November 5, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

East Tennessee State Buccaneers or Clemson Tigers: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 25–75Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: CLEM 75%
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Record 1-0
Game clock
KickoffThursday, November 5 at 7:00 PM ET
Situation
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Possession
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East Tennessee State Buccaneers at Clemson Tigers win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs Clemson Tigers live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs Clemson Tigers team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatETSUCLEM
ScoreETSU–CLEM–
Average win probabilityETSU–CLEM–
Longest scoring runETSU–CLEM–
Time leadingETSU–CLEM–

East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs Clemson Tigers odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 10 h ago
Buccaneers25%
Win chance
Tigers75%
SpreadCLEM −10.5
Total128.5
Moneyline+307away / −307homeaway / home
Line movementCLEM win chance, 39 stored lines
+12 pts for CLEM since Oct 29
85%58%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: CLEM 63%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: CLEM 80%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: CLEM 80%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: CLEM 80%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: CLEM 76%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: CLEM 76%Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET: CLEM 76%Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET: CLEM 76%Nov 2, 1:06 PM ET: CLEM 76%Nov 2, 1:46 PM ET: CLEM 78%Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET: CLEM 78%Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET: CLEM 78%Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET: CLEM 78%Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET: CLEM 78%Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET: CLEM 78%Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET: CLEM 78%Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET: CLEM 78%Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET: CLEM 78%Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET: CLEM 78%Nov 2, 8:26 PM ET: CLEM 78%Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET: CLEM 78%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: CLEM 78%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: CLEM 78%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: CLEM 78%Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET: CLEM 78%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: CLEM 78%Nov 2, 10:41 PM ET: CLEM 78%Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET: CLEM 78%Nov 3, 12:34 AM ET: CLEM 78%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: CLEM 78%Nov 3, 8:28 PM ET: CLEM 78%Nov 3, 8:48 PM ET: CLEM 75%Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET: CLEM 75%Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET: CLEM 75%Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET: CLEM 75%Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET: CLEM 75%Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET: CLEM 75%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: CLEM 75%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: CLEM 75%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredCLEM winMove
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET75%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET75%0
Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET75%0
Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET75%0
Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET75%0
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET75%0
Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET75%0
Nov 3, 8:48 PM ET75%−3
Nov 3, 8:28 PM ET78%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET78%0
Nov 3, 12:34 AM ET78%0
Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET78%0
Nov 2, 10:41 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 8:26 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 1:46 PM ET78%+2
Nov 2, 1:06 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET76%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET76%−4
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET80%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET80%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET80%+17
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET63%—
Ratings
CLEM 1617 · ETSU 1530
Home spread
−10.5
Stored
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

BuccaneersTigers
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Tigers–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs Clemson Tigers prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Tigers a 10.5-point favorite at home, with a 75% chance to win. The model total is 128.5. Ratings: Tigers 1617 (65th of 356), Buccaneers 1530 (140th). The Tigers are 1-0; the Buccaneers are 0-0. The Tigers have won 2 of their last 5; the Buccaneers 4 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Tigers won 1, the Buccaneers 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs West Florida ArgonautsW 73–51––matchup
vs Samford BulldogsL 48–57––matchup
vs UNC Greensboro SpartansW 62–50––matchup
at Samford BulldogsW 46–39––matchup
at Mercer BearsW 58–51––matchup

Clemson Tigers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Radford HighlandersW 68–47––matchup
vs USC TrojansL 67–71––matchup
at Duke Blue DevilsL 46–60––matchup
at Virginia CavaliersW 63–50––matchup
at Stanford CardinalL 50–85––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
East Tennessee State Buccaneers at Clemson Tigers50–73––matchup

Injuries

East Tennessee State Buccaneers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Clemson Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Buccaneers0-0 5th · -
  • Buccaneers rating1530 140th of 356, 1 games
  • Tigers1-0 1st · W1
  • Tigers rating1617 65th of 356, 1 games

East Tennessee State Buccaneers 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $ETSUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $ETSUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $ETSUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $ETSUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the East Tennessee State Buccaneers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Buccaneers roster, schedule and more

Clemson Tigers 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CLEMWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CLEMWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CLEMWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $CLEMWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Clemson Tigers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Tigers roster, schedule and more

Takes on East Tennessee State Buccaneers at Clemson Tigers

Sign in to post a take on $ETSUWBBCLEMWBB261106: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

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Model: Clemson 75% to win. Projected score Clemson 69, East Tennessee State 59; spread Clemson −10.5, total 128.5. East Tennessee State Buccaneers at Clemson Tigers, Thu, Nov 5, 7:00 PM ET.