East Tennessee State leads West Florida 5-2 early in the first period, a 3-point margin at the 8:09 mark. The model gives the Buccaneers a 64% chance at home, and no crowd picks are in yet.
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Brooks Gym · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
West Florida Argonauts vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers: final score and how the prediction did, November 3, 2026
- Final scoreWest Florida 51, East Tennessee State 73 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerEast Tennessee State 64%
- Pregame Projected scoreEast Tennessee State 69, West Florida 62
- Model spreadEast Tennessee State −6.5 total 130.5
- Margin22 projected 6.7
- Total124 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
West Florida Argonauts or East Tennessee State Buccaneers: the bandwagon
Axle 36–64Market –
FinalPregame: ETSU 64%Baseline: ETSU 88.2% (+23.8)Big swing: 11.8 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UWF | 13 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 51 |
| ETSU | 18 | 15 | 28 | 12 | 73 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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West Florida Argonauts at East Tennessee State Buccaneers win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for ETSU over the last 5:00
Big swing11.8 ptstoward UWF at 11:48 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineETSU 88.2%game average, +23.8 points from the pregame 64.4%
West Florida Argonauts vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | UWF | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | UWF20/63 | ETSU30/73 |
| 3-pointers | UWF3/16 | ETSU4/28 |
| Free throws | UWF8/9 | ETSU9/14 |
| Rebounds | UWF41 | ETSU48 |
| Assists | UWF7 | ETSU11 |
| Turnovers | UWF16 | ETSU10 |
| Steals | UWF6 | ETSU10 |
| Blocks | UWF3 | ETSU10 |
| Points in the paint | UWF34 | ETSU40 |
| Fast-break points | UWF0 | ETSU18 |
| Fouls | UWF14 | ETSU13 |
| Largest lead | UWF2 | ETSU24 |
West Florida Argonauts vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | UWF | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | UWF51 | ETSU73 |
| Average win probability | UWF12% | ETSU88% |
| Longest scoring run | UWF+4 | ETSU+8 |
| Time leading | UWF0:00 | ETSU37:18 |
West Florida Argonauts vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET
Argonauts36%
Win chanceBuccaneers64%
SpreadETSU −6.5closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+181away / −181homeaway / home
Line movementETSU win chance, 32 stored lines
+1 pts for ETSU between Oct 29 and Nov 3
70%58%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 3
Every stored line
| Stored | ETSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 64% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 65% | +2 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- ETSU 1512 · UWF 1500
- Home spread
- −6.5
- Stored
- Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-03 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: West Florida Argonauts 51, East Tennessee State Buccaneers 73. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
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ArgonautsBuccaneers
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
West Florida Argonauts vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Buccaneers a 6.5-point favorite at home, with a 64% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Buccaneers 1530 (140th of 356), Argonauts 1482 (198th). The Buccaneers are 0-0; the Argonauts are 0-0. The Buccaneers have won 4 of their last 5; the Argonauts 0 of their last 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
West Florida Argonauts
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at East Tennessee State Buccaneers | L 51–73 | – | – | matchup |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs West Florida Argonauts | W 73–51 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Samford Bulldogs | L 48–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UNC Greensboro Spartans | W 62–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Samford Bulldogs | W 46–39 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Mercer Bears | W 58–51 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
West Florida Argonauts: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
East Tennessee State Buccaneers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Argonauts0-0 7th · -
- Argonauts rating1482 198th of 356, 1 games
- Buccaneers0-0 5th · -
- Buccaneers rating1530 140th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak -
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UWFWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UWFWBB
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No stances yet today on $UWFWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the West Florida Argonauts bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak -
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $ETSUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $ETSUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $ETSUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $ETSUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the East Tennessee State Buccaneers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on West Florida Argonauts at East Tennessee State Buccaneers
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Final: West Florida 51, East Tennessee State 73. Bandwagon's model had the East Tennessee State at 64% and projected East Tennessee State 69, West Florida 62; spread East Tennessee State −6.5, total 130.5.