Fordham Rams lead Niagara Purple Eagles 38-19 with 9:44 left in the 3rd, a 19-point margin. The model has the home side at 82%, and no crowd picks are logged on this game yet.
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Rose Hill Gymnasium · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
Niagara Purple Eagles vs Fordham Rams: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreNiagara 40, Fordham 70 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerFordham 82%
- Pregame Projected scoreFordham 72, Niagara 59
- Model spreadFordham −13 total 130.5
- Margin30 projected 13
- Total110 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Niagara Purple Eagles or Fordham Rams: the bandwagon
Axle 18–82Market –
FinalPregame: FOR 82%Baseline: FOR 96.9% (+14.9)Big swing: 8.0 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIA | 7 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 |
| FOR | 20 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 70 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Niagara Purple Eagles at Fordham Rams win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for FOR over the last 5:00
Big swing8.0 ptstoward FOR at 4:47 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineFOR 96.9%game average, +14.9 points from the pregame 82.0%
Niagara Purple Eagles vs Fordham Rams live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | NIA | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | NIA16/55 | FOR27/57 |
| 3-pointers | NIA2/17 | FOR3/19 |
| Free throws | NIA6/14 | FOR13/20 |
| Rebounds | NIA28 | FOR34 |
| Assists | NIA9 | FOR14 |
| Turnovers | NIA23 | FOR21 |
| Steals | NIA10 | FOR11 |
| Blocks | NIA4 | FOR2 |
| Points in the paint | NIA26 | FOR48 |
| Fast-break points | NIA13 | FOR10 |
| Fouls | NIA21 | FOR14 |
| Largest lead | NIA1 | FOR31 |
Niagara Purple Eagles vs Fordham Rams team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | NIA | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NIA40 | FOR70 |
| Average win probability | NIA3% | FOR97% |
| Longest scoring run | NIA+4 | FOR+10 |
| Time leading | NIA0:00 | FOR39:11 |
Niagara Purple Eagles vs Fordham Rams odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET
Purple Eagles18%
Win chanceRams82%
SpreadFOR −13closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+455away / −455homeaway / home
Line movementFOR win chance, 15 stored lines
+19 pts for FOR between Oct 29 and Nov 2
92%58%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | FOR win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:58 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:06 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 82% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 86% | +23 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- FOR 1396 · NIA 1256
- Home spread
- −13
- Stored
- Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET · 2026-11-03 00:51 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Niagara Purple Eagles 40, Fordham Rams 70. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
Purple EaglesRams
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Purple EaglesRams
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Rams–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Niagara Purple Eagles vs Fordham Rams prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Rams a 13-point favorite at home, with a 82% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Rams 1408 (267th of 356), Purple Eagles 1245 (352nd). The Rams are 1-0; the Purple Eagles are 0-1. The Rams have won 1 of their last 5; the Purple Eagles 1 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Rams won 1, the Purple Eagles 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Fordham Rams | L 40–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Merrimack Warriors | L 44–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Quinnipiac Bobcats | L 38–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Rider Broncs | W 56–52 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | L 57–76 | – | – | matchup |
Fordham Rams
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Niagara Purple Eagles | W 70–40 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Saint Louis Billikens | L 60–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| at St. Bonaventure Bonnies | L 69–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Davidson Wildcats | L 49–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Rhode Island Rams | L 39–69 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fordham Rams at Niagara Purple Eagles | 70–47 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Niagara Purple Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Fordham Rams: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Purple Eagles0-1 8th · L1
- Purple Eagles rating1245 352nd of 356, 1 games
- Rams1-0 1st · W1
- Rams rating1408 267th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 8th · streak L1
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Fordham Rams 1-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W1
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