Mississippi Valley State Devilettes vs Chicago State Cougars prediction, odds and picks, November 5, 2026
- Projected winnerChicago State 58%
- Projected scoreChicago State 69, Mississippi Valley State 64
- Model spreadChicago State −4.5 total 133.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Mississippi Valley State Devilettes or Chicago State Cougars: the bandwagon
Axle 42–58Market –
Mississippi Valley State Devilettes at Chicago State Cougars win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Mississippi Valley State Devilettes vs Chicago State Cougars live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Mississippi Valley State Devilettes vs Chicago State Cougars team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | MVSU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Score | MVSU– | CHST– |
| Average win probability | MVSU– | CHST– |
| Longest scoring run | MVSU– | CHST– |
| Time leading | MVSU– | CHST– |
Mississippi Valley State Devilettes vs Chicago State Cougars odds
Every stored line
| Stored | CHST win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 10:06 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 10:00 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET | 58% | +2 |
| Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:48 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 56% | −2 |
| Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 58% | +1 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 57% | −6 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- CHST 1309 · MVSU 1333
- Home spread
- −4.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET · 2026-11-05 04:01 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
- Last move
- spread −5 → −4.5
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Mississippi Valley State Devilettes vs Chicago State Cougars prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Cougars a 4.5-point favorite at home, with a 58% chance to win. The model total is 133.5. Ratings: Cougars 1309 (343rd of 356), Devilettes 1333 (327th). The Cougars are 0-1; the Devilettes are 0-1. The Cougars have won 1 of their last 5; the Devilettes 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Mississippi Valley State Devilettes
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Marquette Golden Eagles | L 42–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | L 74–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Prairie View A&M Lady Panthers | W 63–49 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Jackson State Lady Tigers | W 66–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Alcorn State Lady Braves | L 56–67 | – | – | matchup |
Chicago State Cougars
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Illinois State Redbirds | L 69–106 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Long Island University Sharks | L 77–99 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Wagner Seahawks | W 84–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Long Island University Sharks | L 68–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Central Connecticut Blue Devils | L 75–86 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Mississippi Valley State Devilettes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Chicago State Cougars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Devilettes0-1 8th · L1
- Devilettes rating1333 327th of 356, 1 games
- Cougars0-1 4th · L1
- Cougars rating1309 343rd of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 8th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $MVSUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Mississippi Valley State Devilettes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $CHSTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Chicago State Cougars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Mississippi Valley State Devilettes at Chicago State Cougars
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Model: Chicago State 58% to win. Projected score Chicago State 69, Mississippi Valley State 64; spread Chicago State −4.5, total 133.5. Mississippi Valley State Devilettes at Chicago State Cougars, Thu, Nov 5, 7:00 PM ET.