Marquette Golden Eagles lead Mississippi Valley State Devilettes 10-2 early in the 1st period, with 2:13 left in the frame. Our model gives Marquette a 90% chance right now, though no crowd picks are in yet. Jordan Reyes
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Al McGuire Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
Mississippi Valley State Devilettes vs Marquette Golden Eagles: final score and how the prediction did, November 3, 2026
- Final scoreMississippi Valley State 42, Marquette 80 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerMarquette 90%
- Pregame Projected scoreMarquette 74, Mississippi Valley State 56
- Model spreadMarquette −17.5 total 130.5
- Margin38 projected 17.5
- Total122 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Mississippi Valley State Devilettes or Marquette Golden Eagles: the bandwagon
Axle 10–90Market –
FinalPregame: MARQ 90%Baseline: MARQ 98.4% (+8.6)Big swing: 3.0 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MVSU | 8 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 42 |
| MARQ | 17 | 22 | 19 | 22 | 80 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Mississippi Valley State Devilettes at Marquette Golden Eagles win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for MARQ over the last 5:00
Big swing3.0 ptstoward MARQ at 2:01 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineMARQ 98.4%game average, +8.6 points from the pregame 89.7%
Mississippi Valley State Devilettes vs Marquette Golden Eagles live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | MVSU | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | MVSU14/66 | MARQ27/60 |
| 3-pointers | MVSU2/20 | MARQ9/25 |
| Free throws | MVSU12/20 | MARQ17/20 |
| Rebounds | MVSU23 | MARQ61 |
| Assists | MVSU8 | MARQ21 |
| Turnovers | MVSU15 | MARQ25 |
| Steals | MVSU9 | MARQ8 |
| Blocks | MVSU2 | MARQ5 |
| Points in the paint | MVSU14 | MARQ32 |
| Fast-break points | MVSU2 | MARQ11 |
| Fouls | MVSU19 | MARQ16 |
| Largest lead | MVSU0 | MARQ38 |
Mississippi Valley State Devilettes vs Marquette Golden Eagles team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | MVSU | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| Score | MVSU42 | MARQ80 |
| Average win probability | MVSU2% | MARQ98% |
| Longest scoring run | MVSU+7 | MARQ+8 |
| Time leading | MVSU0:00 | MARQ37:59 |
Mississippi Valley State Devilettes vs Marquette Golden Eagles odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 23 h ago
Devilettes10%
Win chanceGolden Eagles90%
SpreadMARQ −17.5closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+874away / −874homeaway / home
Line movementMARQ win chance, 38 stored lines
+27 pts for MARQ between Oct 29 and Nov 3
99%58%
Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3
Every stored line
| Stored | MARQ win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:48 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:34 AM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:41 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:58 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 90% | −3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 93% | +30 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- MARQ 1571 · MVSU 1341
- Home spread
- −17.5
- Stored
- Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET · 2026-11-04 02:23 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Mississippi Valley State Devilettes 42, Marquette Golden Eagles 80. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
DevilettesGolden Eagles
Neutrals only–
DevilettesGolden Eagles
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Golden Eagles–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Mississippi Valley State Devilettes vs Marquette Golden Eagles prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Golden Eagles a 17.5-point favorite at home, with a 90% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Golden Eagles 1579 (95th of 356), Devilettes 1333 (327th). The Golden Eagles are 1-0; the Devilettes are 0-1. The Golden Eagles have won 3 of their last 5; the Devilettes 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Mississippi Valley State Devilettes
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Marquette Golden Eagles | L 42–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | L 74–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Prairie View A&M Lady Panthers | W 63–49 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Jackson State Lady Tigers | W 66–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Alcorn State Lady Braves | L 56–67 | – | – | matchup |
Marquette Golden Eagles
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Mississippi Valley State Devilettes | W 80–42 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Creighton Bluejays | L 44–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Providence Friars | W 69–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Xavier Musketeers | W 77–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Villanova Wildcats | L 39–64 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Mississippi Valley State Devilettes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Marquette Golden Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Devilettes0-1 8th · L1
- Devilettes rating1333 327th of 356, 1 games
- Golden Eagles1-0 5th · W1
- Golden Eagles rating1579 95th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 8th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MVSUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MVSUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MVSUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $MVSUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Mississippi Valley State Devilettes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MARQWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MARQWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MARQWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $MARQWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Marquette Golden Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Mississippi Valley State Devilettes at Marquette Golden Eagles
Sign in to post a take on $MVSUWBBMARQWBB261104: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Mississippi Valley State 42, Marquette 80. Bandwagon's model had the Marquette at 90% and projected Marquette 74, Mississippi Valley State 56; spread Marquette −17.5, total 130.5.