Chicago State Cougars vs Illinois State Redbirds: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreChicago State 69, Illinois State 106 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerIllinois State 89%
- Pregame Projected scoreIllinois State 74, Chicago State 57
- Model spreadIllinois State −17 total 130.5
- Margin37 projected 17.2
- Total175 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Chicago State Cougars or Illinois State Redbirds: the bandwagon
Axle 11–89Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHST | 20 | 12 | 16 | 21 | 69 |
| ILST | 28 | 25 | 34 | 19 | 106 |
Chicago State Cougars at Illinois State Redbirds win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Chicago State Cougars vs Illinois State Redbirds live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | CHST | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | CHST24/63 | ILST38/76 |
| 3-pointers | CHST6/24 | ILST11/19 |
| Free throws | CHST15/18 | ILST19/26 |
| Rebounds | CHST31 | ILST51 |
| Assists | CHST8 | ILST24 |
| Turnovers | CHST20 | ILST14 |
| Steals | CHST12 | ILST10 |
| Blocks | CHST8 | ILST5 |
| Points in the paint | CHST30 | ILST50 |
| Fast-break points | CHST13 | ILST15 |
| Fouls | CHST26 | ILST15 |
| Largest lead | CHST0 | ILST45 |
Chicago State Cougars vs Illinois State Redbirds team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | CHST | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CHST69 | ILST106 |
| Average win probability | CHST2% | ILST98% |
| Longest scoring run | CHST+7 | ILST+16 |
| Time leading | CHST0:00 | ILST36:51 |
Chicago State Cougars vs Illinois State Redbirds odds
Every stored line
| Stored | ILST win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:26 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:58 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:06 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 89% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 93% | +30 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- ILST 1540 · CHST 1316
- Home spread
- −17
- Stored
- Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:21 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Chicago State Cougars 69, Illinois State Redbirds 106. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Chicago State Cougars vs Illinois State Redbirds prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Redbirds a 17-point favorite at home, with a 89% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Redbirds 1547 (123rd of 356), Cougars 1309 (343rd). The Redbirds are 1-0; the Cougars are 0-1. The Redbirds have won 4 of their last 5; the Cougars 1 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Redbirds won 3, the Cougars 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Chicago State Cougars
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Illinois State Redbirds | L 69–106 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Long Island University Sharks | L 77–99 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Wagner Seahawks | W 84–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Long Island University Sharks | L 68–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Central Connecticut Blue Devils | L 75–86 | – | – | matchup |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Chicago State Cougars | W 106–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Marshall Thundering Herd | L 41–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Dakota Coyotes | W 67–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs George Washington Revolutionaries | W 61–53 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Abilene Christian Wildcats | W 59–55 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago State Cougars at Illinois State Redbirds | 52–101 | – | – | matchup | |
| Illinois State Redbirds at Chicago State Cougars | 79–52 | – | – | matchup | |
| Chicago State Cougars at Illinois State Redbirds | 47–102 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Chicago State Cougars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Illinois State Redbirds: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Cougars0-1 4th · L1
- Cougars rating1309 343rd of 356, 1 games
- Redbirds1-0 2nd · W1
- Redbirds rating1547 123rd of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $CHSTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Chicago State Cougars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 2nd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $ILSTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Illinois State Redbirds bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Chicago State Cougars at Illinois State Redbirds
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Final: Chicago State 69, Illinois State 106. Bandwagon's model had the Illinois State at 89% and projected Illinois State 74, Chicago State 57; spread Illinois State −17, total 130.5.