Siena Saints lead the Brown Bears 47-32 at halftime, a 15-point margin in the Brown Bears at Siena Saints game. The house model has Siena at 52 percent, and no crowd picks are recorded yet.
NCAA Women's Basketball · · MVP Arena · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
Brown Bears vs Siena Saints: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreBrown 71, Siena 82 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerSiena 52%
- Pregame Projected scoreSiena 67, Brown 64
- Model spreadSiena −3 total 130.5
- Margin11 projected 3.1
- Total153 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Brown Bears or Siena Saints: the bandwagon
Axle 48–52Market –
FinalPregame: SIE 52%Baseline: SIE 82.3% (+30.8)Big swing: 20.8 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRWN | 20 | 12 | 23 | 16 | 71 |
| SIE | 24 | 23 | 16 | 19 | 82 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Brown Bears at Siena Saints win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.8 points for SIE over the last 5:00
Big swing20.8 ptstoward SIE at 2:36 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineSIE 82.3%game average, +30.8 points from the pregame 51.5%
Brown Bears vs Siena Saints live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | BRWN | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | BRWN28/71 | SIE29/74 |
| 3-pointers | BRWN9/29 | SIE10/30 |
| Free throws | BRWN6/11 | SIE14/20 |
| Rebounds | BRWN47 | SIE46 |
| Assists | BRWN15 | SIE16 |
| Turnovers | BRWN24 | SIE17 |
| Steals | BRWN10 | SIE11 |
| Blocks | BRWN7 | SIE3 |
| Points in the paint | BRWN32 | SIE34 |
| Fast-break points | BRWN5 | SIE13 |
| Fouls | BRWN17 | SIE16 |
| Largest lead | BRWN1 | SIE17 |
Brown Bears vs Siena Saints team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | BRWN | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Score | BRWN71 | SIE82 |
| Average win probability | BRWN18% | SIE82% |
| Longest scoring run | BRWN+5 | SIE+7 |
| Time leading | BRWN0:49 | SIE33:43 |
Brown Bears vs Siena Saints odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET
Bears48%
Win chanceSaints52%
SpreadSIE −3closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+106away / −106homeaway / home
Line movementSIE win chance, 14 stored lines
−11 pts for SIE between Oct 29 and Nov 2
69%43%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | SIE win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 52% | +4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 48% | −15 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- SIE 1469 · BRWN 1530
- Home spread
- −3
- Stored
- Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET · 2026-11-03 01:01 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Brown Bears 71, Siena Saints 82. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
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BearsSaints
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BearsSaints
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Saints–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Brown Bears vs Siena Saints prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Saints a 3-point favorite at home, with a 52% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Saints 1485 (195th of 356), Bears 1513 (155th). The Saints are 1-0; the Bears are 0-1. The Saints have won 3 of their last 5; the Bears 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Brown Bears
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Siena Saints | L 71–82 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Princeton Tigers | L 51–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Pennsylvania Quakers | L 56–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Columbia Lions | L 56–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Cornell Big Red | W 62–47 | – | – | matchup |
Siena Saints
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Brown Bears | W 82–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Iona Gaels | L 50–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Marist Red Foxes | W 67–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Rider Broncs | W 67–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Fairfield Stags | L 51–81 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Brown Bears: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Siena Saints: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bears0-1 6th · L1
- Bears rating1513 155th of 356, 1 games
- Saints1-0 4th · W1
- Saints rating1485 195th of 356, 1 games
Brown Bears 0-1
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 6th · streak L1
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Siena Saints 1-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak W1
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