Early in the 1st at Purdue, the model still has the Purdue Boilermakers at 74 percent at home, even though IU Indianapolis leads 3-2 with 7:39 left. No crowd picks are on record yet.
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Mackey Arena · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
IU Indianapolis Jaguars vs Purdue Boilermakers: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreIU Indianapolis 73, Purdue 81 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerPurdue 74%
- Pregame Projected scorePurdue 70, IU Indianapolis 60
- Model spreadPurdue −9.5 total 130.5
- Margin8 projected 9.8
- Total154 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
IU Indianapolis Jaguars or Purdue Boilermakers: the bandwagon
Axle 26–74Market –
FinalPregame: PUR 74%Baseline: PUR 46.9% (−26.9)Big swing: 53.9 ptsClutch window: 5:39
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IUIN | 24 | 14 | 19 | 16 | 73 |
| PUR | 15 | 18 | 19 | 29 | 81 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–
IU Indianapolis Jaguars at Purdue Boilermakers win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to PUR+83.1 points for PUR over the last 5:00
Big swing53.9 ptstoward PUR at 36:32 of game time
Clutch window5:39within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselinePUR 46.9%game average, −26.9 points from the pregame 73.7%
IU Indianapolis Jaguars vs Purdue Boilermakers live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | IUIN | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | IUIN19/57 | PUR26/54 |
| 3-pointers | IUIN9/30 | PUR5/13 |
| Free throws | IUIN26/35 | PUR24/32 |
| Rebounds | IUIN30 | PUR43 |
| Assists | IUIN12 | PUR13 |
| Turnovers | IUIN18 | PUR23 |
| Steals | IUIN10 | PUR8 |
| Blocks | IUIN2 | PUR2 |
| Points in the paint | IUIN20 | PUR40 |
| Fast-break points | IUIN17 | PUR13 |
| Fouls | IUIN26 | PUR23 |
| Largest lead | IUIN11 | PUR9 |
IU Indianapolis Jaguars vs Purdue Boilermakers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | IUIN | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| Score | IUIN73 | PUR81 |
| Average win probability | IUIN53% | PUR47% |
| Longest scoring run | IUIN+7 | PUR+9 |
| Time leading | IUIN12:58 | PUR3:10 |
IU Indianapolis Jaguars vs Purdue Boilermakers odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET
Jaguars26%
Win chanceBoilermakers74%
SpreadPUR −9.5closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+281away / −281homeaway / home
Line movementPUR win chance, 18 stored lines
+11 pts for PUR between Oct 29 and Nov 2
82%58%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | PUR win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 74% | −3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 77% | +14 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- PUR 1508 · IUIN 1435
- Home spread
- −9.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:16 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: IU Indianapolis Jaguars 73, Purdue Boilermakers 81. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
JaguarsBoilermakers
Neutrals only–
JaguarsBoilermakers
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Boilermakers–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
IU Indianapolis Jaguars vs Purdue Boilermakers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Boilermakers a 9.5-point favorite at home, with a 74% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Boilermakers 1516 (154th of 356), Jaguars 1427 (248th). The Boilermakers are 1-0; the Jaguars are 0-1. The Boilermakers have won 2 of their last 5; the Jaguars 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Boilermakers won 1, the Jaguars 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
IU Indianapolis Jaguars
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Purdue Boilermakers | L 73–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | L 49–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Northern Kentucky Norse | W 74–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Milwaukee Panthers | W 80–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Green Bay Phoenix | L 61–72 | – | – | matchup |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars | W 81–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Oregon Ducks | L 64–82 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Northwestern Wildcats | W 67–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Oregon Ducks | L 65–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Maryland Terrapins | L 66–99 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IU Indianapolis Jaguars at Purdue Boilermakers | 64–83 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
IU Indianapolis Jaguars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Purdue Boilermakers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Jaguars0-1 8th · L1
- Jaguars rating1427 248th of 356, 1 games
- Boilermakers1-0 9th · W1
- Boilermakers rating1516 154th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 8th · streak L1
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $IUINWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $IUINWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $IUINWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $IUINWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the IU Indianapolis Jaguars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 9th · streak W1
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $PURWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $PURWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $PURWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $PURWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Purdue Boilermakers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on IU Indianapolis Jaguars at Purdue Boilermakers
Sign in to post a take on $IUINWBBPURWBB261103: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.