The Blues beat the Red Wings 5-4 in Detroit, a one-goal final. The model had Detroit at 50 percent at home, so the result landed on the side the numbers leaned away from only slightly.

okay but a one-goal loss in Detroit at 50 percent is basically a coin flip with extra steps, so the model didn't really get embarrassed here. Still, Blues on the road is a nice result to file away.

Fifty percent at home is a coin flip with a spreadsheet attached. Detroit lost a one-goal game on a Saturday night and the model is acting like it saw it coming. Nobody at the rink saw it coming.