Buffalo 3, Los Angeles 2, final. The model gave the Kings 44 percent at home, so the Sabres' one-goal road win matches the side the numbers were leaning toward.
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Buffalo Sabres vs Los Angeles Kings: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final scoreSabres 3, Kings 2 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerSabres 56%
- Pregame Projected scoreSabres 3.3, Kings 2.8
- Model spreadSabres −0.5 total 6
- Margin1 projected 0.5
- Total5 projected 6
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Buffalo Sabres or Los Angeles Kings: the bandwagon
Axle 56–44Market 56–45
FinalPregame: LA 44%Baseline: LA 28.8% (−15.5)Big swing: 39.0 ptsClutch window: 20:00
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| LA | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Shots
BUF 31LA 29
Buffalo Sabres at Los Angeles Kings win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to BUF−7.9 points for LA over the last 5:00
Big swing39.0 ptstoward BUF at 53:40 of game time
Clutch window20:00within 1 goals in the final period
BaselineLA 28.8%game average, −15.5 points from the pregame 44.3%
Buffalo Sabres vs Los Angeles Kings live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | BUF | LA |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | BUF31 | LA29 |
| Hits | BUF15 | LA28 |
| Blocked shots | BUF30 | LA19 |
| Power play | BUF2/3 | LA1/5 |
| Faceoff win | BUF35.8% | LA64.2% |
| Takeaways | BUF4 | LA2 |
| Giveaways | BUF8 | LA14 |
| Penalty minutes | BUF14 | LA8 |
Buffalo Sabres vs Los Angeles Kings team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | BUF | LA |
|---|---|---|
| Score | BUF3 | LA2 |
| Average win probability | BUF71% | LA29% |
| Longest scoring run | BUF+2 | LA+3 |
| Time leading | BUF40:36 | LA0:00 |
Buffalo Sabres vs Los Angeles Kings model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET
Sabres56%
Win chanceKings44%
SpreadBUF −0.5closing model spread
Total6
Moneyline−126away / +126homeaway / home
Line movementLA win chance, 12 stored lines
+2 pts for LA between Oct 28 and Oct 31
50%36%
Oct 28Oct 30Oct 31
Every stored line
| Stored | LA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 1:00 AM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 12:50 AM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 44% | +2 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:48 AM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:44 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:14 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 42% | — |
- Ratings
- LA 1466 · BUF 1531
- Home spread
- +0.5
- Stored
- Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET · 2026-10-31 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Buffalo Sabres 3, Los Angeles Kings 2. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Oct 29, 10:43 PM UTC
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
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SabresKings
Neutrals only–
SabresKings
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Kings–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Sabres vs Kings odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NHL marketKalshi had the Sabres at 56% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 56% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 56% when last read, .
| Source | BUF | LA | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 56% | 45% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 56% | 45% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 56% | 44% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, LA: 0Polymarket minus model, LA: 0
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Buffalo Sabres vs Los Angeles Kings prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Sabres a 0.5-point favorite, with a 56% chance to win. The model total is 6. Ratings: Kings 1463 (27th of 32), Sabres 1534 (10th). The Kings are 4-7-2 in the Pacific Division; the Sabres are 7-4-3 in the Atlantic Division. The Kings have won 2 of their last 5; the Sabres 3 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Kings won 1, the Sabres 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Buffalo Sabres
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Los Angeles Kings | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Anaheim Ducks | W 7–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| at San Jose Sharks | W 2–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Washington Capitals | L 3–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Philadelphia Flyers | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup |
Los Angeles Kings
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Buffalo Sabres | L 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Ottawa Senators | W 6–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Chicago Blackhawks | L 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New York Rangers | W 6–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New Jersey Devils | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Sabres at Los Angeles Kings | 4–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Los Angeles Kings at Buffalo Sabres | 1–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Buffalo Sabres at Los Angeles Kings | 1–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| Los Angeles Kings at Buffalo Sabres | 3–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Los Angeles Kings at Buffalo Sabres | 0–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| Buffalo Sabres at Los Angeles Kings | 5–3 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Buffalo Sabres: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Los Angeles Kings: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Sabres7-4-3 Atlantic Division, 7th · W3
- Sabres rating1534 10th of 32, 14 games
- Kings4-7-2 Pacific Division, 7th · L1
- Kings rating1463 27th of 32, 13 games
Buffalo Sabres 7-4-3
National Hockey League · Atlantic Division · 7th · streak W3
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SABRES
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SABRES
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SABRES
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $SABRES: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Buffalo Sabres bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Los Angeles Kings 4-7-2
National Hockey League · Pacific Division · 7th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $KINGSLA
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $KINGSLA
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $KINGSLA
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $KINGSLA: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Los Angeles Kings bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Buffalo Sabres at Los Angeles Kings
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Final: Sabres 3, Kings 2. Bandwagon's model had the Sabres at 56% and projected Sabres 3.3, Kings 2.8; spread Sabres −0.5, total 6. Last read: Kalshi 56%, Polymarket 56% for the Sabres.