NHL · Final: Ottawa Senators 5, Los Angeles Kings 6 · Crypto.com Arena · every National Hockey League line

Ottawa Senators vs Los Angeles Kings: final score and how the prediction did, October 29, 2026

Final scoreSenators 5, Kings 6 the projected winner lost
Pregame Projected winnerSenators 55%
Model spreadeven total 6
Margin1
Total11 projected 6

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET

Ottawa Senators or Los Angeles Kings: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Senators▲ Hop on ▼ Jump off

Kings▲ Hop on ▼ Jump off

Axle 55–45Market 54–46

Final · OTPregame: LA 43%Baseline: LA 68.0% (+25.2)Big swing: 50.6 ptsClutch window: 12:26

Ottawa Senators

Record 9-6-1

5+06+1

Los Angeles Kings

Record 4-7-2

Score by period
Team	1	2	3	OT	T
OTT	1	0	4	0	5
LA	1	4	0	1	6

Game clock

Final

Situation

Final

Shots

OTT 23LA 38

Ottawa Senators at Los Angeles Kings win probability

Bandwagon's model

Last update: OTFetched at 12:59:11 AM ET

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

MomentumSwinging to LA+50.2 points for LA over the last 5:00

Big swing50.6 ptstoward LA at 63:36 of game time

Clutch window12:26within 1 goals in the final period

BaselineLA 68.0%game average, +25.2 points from the pregame 42.8%

Box scoreTeam breakdown

Ottawa Senators vs Los Angeles Kings live stats

Team totals read from the league's public game summary 12:59:11 AM ET

Live team statistics
Stat	OTT	LA
Shots	OTT23	LA38
Hits	OTT37	LA27
Blocked shots	OTT19	LA11
Power play	OTT1/4	LA2/7
Faceoff win	OTT46.8%	LA53.2%
Takeaways	OTT5	LA2
Giveaways	OTT11	LA10
Penalty minutes	OTT35	LA18

Ottawa Senators vs Los Angeles Kings team breakdown

From the stored in-game series

Team breakdown
Stat	OTT	LA
Score	OTT5	LA6
Average win probability	OTT32%	LA68%
Longest scoring run	OTT+4	LA+5
Time leading	OTT3:57	LA31:29

Ottawa Senators vs Los Angeles Kings model odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET

Senators55%

Win chance

Kings45%

SpreadPKclosing model spread

Total6

Moneyline−123away / +123homeaway / home

Line movementLA win chance, 8 stored lines

+2 pts for LA between Oct 28 and Oct 29

50%37%

Oct 28Oct 29

Every stored line

Stored	LA win	Move
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET	45%	0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET	45%	+2
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET	43%	0
Oct 29, 12:48 AM ET	43%	0
Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET	43%	0
Oct 28, 11:44 PM ET	43%	0
Oct 28, 11:14 PM ET	43%	0
Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET	43%	—

Ratings: LA 1463 · OTT 1524
Home spread: PK
Stored: Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET · 2026-10-30 02:27 UTC
Version: Axle 2.0
Last move: spread +0.5 → PK, home 43% → 45%

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Result: Ottawa Senators 5, Los Angeles Kings 6. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.

How this line is made

In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Oct 29, 10:43 PM UTC
Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

SenatorsKings

Neutrals only–

SenatorsKings

Picks locked at kickoff.

Bandwagon minus model, Kings–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Senators vs Kings odds on Kalshi and Polymarket

Every NHL market

Kalshi had the Senators at 54% when last read, Oct 29, 9:53 PM ET; Polymarket had them at 54% when last read, Oct 29, 8:56 PM ET; and Axle 1.1 had them at 57% when last read, Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET.

Source	OTT	LA	Price read
Kalshi	54%	46%	Oct 29, 9:53 PM ET · closing price
Polymarket	54%	46%	Oct 29, 8:56 PM ET · closing price
Bandwagon model	55%	45%	Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET · model 2.0

Kalshi minus model, LA: +2Polymarket minus model, LA: +2

Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works

Ottawa Senators vs Los Angeles Kings prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Senators the favorite, with a 55% chance to win; its spread rounds to even. The model total is 6. Ratings: Kings 1463 (27th of 32), Senators 1520 (12th). The Kings are 4-7-2 in the Pacific Division; the Senators are 9-6-1 in the Atlantic Division. The Kings have won 2 of their last 5; the Senators 2 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Kings won 5, the Senators 1.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Ottawa Senators

Opponent	Kick (ET)	Result	Picks	Axle
at Anaheim Ducks	Sun, Nov 1, 8:00 PM ET	L 3–6	–	–	matchup
at San Jose Sharks	Sat, Oct 31, 4:00 PM ET	W 5–1	–	–	matchup
at Los Angeles Kings	Thu, Oct 29, 10:00 PM ET	L 5–6	–	–	matchup
at Vegas Golden Knights	Tue, Oct 27, 10:00 PM ET	L 1–4	–	–	matchup
vs New York Rangers	Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET	W 7–4	–	–	matchup

Los Angeles Kings

Opponent	Kick (ET)	Result	Picks	Axle
vs Buffalo Sabres	Sat, Oct 31, 4:00 PM ET	L 2–3	–	–	matchup
vs Ottawa Senators	Thu, Oct 29, 10:00 PM ET	W 6–5	–	–	matchup
at Chicago Blackhawks	Tue, Oct 27, 8:00 PM ET	L 1–2	–	–	matchup
at New York Rangers	Mon, Oct 26, 7:00 PM ET	W 6–3	–	–	matchup
at New Jersey Devils	Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET	L 1–3	–	–	matchup

Head-to-head

Game	Kick (ET)	Result	Picks	Axle
Ottawa Senators at Los Angeles Kings	Mon, Nov 24, 9:00 PM ET	1–2	–	–	matchup
Los Angeles Kings at Ottawa Senators	Sat, Nov 15, 7:00 PM ET	1–0	–	–	matchup
Ottawa Senators at Los Angeles Kings	Sat, Nov 30, 7:00 PM ET	2–5	–	–	matchup
Los Angeles Kings at Ottawa Senators	Mon, Oct 14, 1:00 PM ET	7–8	–	–	matchup
Ottawa Senators at Los Angeles Kings	Thu, Mar 7, 10:30 PM ET	3–4	–	–	matchup
Los Angeles Kings at Ottawa Senators	Thu, Nov 2, 7:00 PM ET	3–2	–	–	matchup