NHL · Final: Buffalo Sabres 7, Anaheim Ducks 6 · Honda Center · every National Hockey League line

Buffalo Sabres vs Anaheim Ducks: final score and how the prediction did, October 29, 2026

Final scoreSabres 7, Ducks 6 the projected winner won
Pregame Projected winnerSabres 55%
Model spreadeven total 6.5
Margin1
Total13 projected 6.5

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET

Buffalo Sabres or Anaheim Ducks: the bandwagon

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Axle 55–45Market 59–41

FinalPregame: ANA 45%Baseline: ANA 36.4% (−8.1)Big swing: 26.1 ptsClutch window: 0:22

Buffalo Sabres

Record 7-4-3

7+26+3

Anaheim Ducks

Record 7-7-1

Score by period
Team	1	2	3	T
BUF	3	2	2	7
ANA	3	0	3	6

Game clock

Final

Situation

Final

Shots

BUF 30ANA 34

Buffalo Sabres at Anaheim Ducks win probability

Bandwagon's model

Last update: 3rdFetched at 12:49:11 AM ET

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

MomentumStable+0.0 points for ANA over the last 5:00

Big swing26.1 ptstoward BUF at 38:50 of game time

Clutch window0:22within 1 goals in the final period

BaselineANA 36.4%game average, −8.1 points from the pregame 44.5%

Box scoreTeam breakdown

Buffalo Sabres vs Anaheim Ducks live stats

Team totals read from the league's public game summary 12:49:11 AM ET

Live team statistics
Stat	BUF	ANA
Shots	BUF30	ANA34
Hits	BUF27	ANA27
Blocked shots	BUF10	ANA8
Power play	BUF2/3	ANA3/4
Faceoff win	BUF40.9%	ANA59.1%
Takeaways	BUF3	ANA5
Giveaways	BUF13	ANA21
Penalty minutes	BUF8	ANA6

Buffalo Sabres vs Anaheim Ducks team breakdown

From the stored in-game series

Team breakdown
Stat	BUF	ANA
Score	BUF7	ANA6
Average win probability	BUF64%	ANA36%
Longest scoring run	BUF+6	ANA+3
Time leading	BUF21:07	ANA13:35

Buffalo Sabres vs Anaheim Ducks model odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET

Sabres55%

Win chance

Ducks45%

SpreadPKclosing model spread

Total6.5

Moneyline−121away / +121homeaway / home

Line movementANA win chance, 8 stored lines

No move

51%39%

Oct 28Oct 29

Every stored line

Stored	ANA win	Move
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET	45%	0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET	45%	0
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET	45%	0
Oct 29, 12:48 AM ET	45%	0
Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET	45%	+1
Oct 28, 11:44 PM ET	44%	−1
Oct 28, 11:14 PM ET	45%	0
Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET	45%	—

Ratings: ANA 1470 · BUF 1528
Home spread: PK
Stored: Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET · 2026-10-30 02:27 UTC
Version: Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Result: Buffalo Sabres 7, Anaheim Ducks 6. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.

How this line is made

In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Oct 29, 10:43 PM UTC
Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · 1 pick

Be the first on the bandwagon

SabresDucks

Neutrals only–

SabresDucks

Picks locked at kickoff.

Bandwagon minus model, Ducks–

1 pick so far; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Sabres vs Ducks odds on Kalshi and Polymarket

Every NHL market

Kalshi had the Sabres at 59% when last read, Oct 29, 9:43 PM ET; Polymarket had them at 59% when last read, Oct 29, 9:43 PM ET; and Axle 1.1 had them at 55% when last read, Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET.

Source	BUF	ANA	Price read
Kalshi	59%	41%	Oct 29, 9:43 PM ET · closing price
Polymarket	59%	41%	Oct 29, 9:43 PM ET · closing price
Bandwagon model	55%	45%	Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET · model 2.0

Kalshi minus model, ANA: −4Polymarket minus model, ANA: −4

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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works

Buffalo Sabres vs Anaheim Ducks prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Sabres the favorite, with a 55% chance to win; its spread rounds to even. The model total is 6.5. Ratings: Ducks 1476 (23rd of 32), Sabres 1534 (10th). The Ducks are 7-7-1 in the Pacific Division; the Sabres are 7-4-3 in the Atlantic Division. The Ducks have won 3 of their last 5; the Sabres 3 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Ducks won 3, the Sabres 3.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Buffalo Sabres

Opponent	Kick (ET)	Result	Picks	Axle
vs Ottawa Senators	Wed, Nov 4, 7:30 PM ET	L 1–2	–	–	matchup
at Los Angeles Kings	Sat, Oct 31, 4:00 PM ET	W 3–2	–	–	matchup
at Anaheim Ducks	Thu, Oct 29, 10:00 PM ET	W 7–6	–	–	matchup
at San Jose Sharks	Tue, Oct 27, 10:30 PM ET	W 2–0	–	–	matchup
at Washington Capitals	Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET	L 3–4	–	–	matchup

Anaheim Ducks

Opponent	Kick (ET)	Result	Picks	Axle
at Vancouver Canucks	Tue, Nov 3, 9:00 PM ET	W 5–4	–	–	matchup
vs Ottawa Senators	Sun, Nov 1, 8:00 PM ET	W 6–3	–	–	matchup
vs Buffalo Sabres	Thu, Oct 29, 10:00 PM ET	L 6–7	–	–	matchup
vs Vancouver Canucks	Tue, Oct 27, 10:00 PM ET	L 5–6	–	–	matchup
at Philadelphia Flyers	Sat, Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET	W 5–4	–	–	matchup

Head-to-head

Game	Kick (ET)	Result	Picks	Axle
Buffalo Sabres at Anaheim Ducks	Sun, Mar 22, 8:00 PM ET	5–6	–	–	matchup
Anaheim Ducks at Buffalo Sabres	Sat, Jan 10, 7:00 PM ET	3–5	–	–	matchup
Anaheim Ducks at Buffalo Sabres	Tue, Feb 25, 7:00 PM ET	2–3	–	–	matchup
Buffalo Sabres at Anaheim Ducks	Fri, Nov 22, 10:00 PM ET	3–2	–	–	matchup
Anaheim Ducks at Buffalo Sabres	Mon, Feb 19, 12:30 PM ET	4–3	–	–	matchup
Buffalo Sabres at Anaheim Ducks	Tue, Jan 23, 10:00 PM ET	2–4	–	–	matchup