The Flyers beat the Mammoth 6-3 at home. The model had Philadelphia at 47 percent going in, so the result ran against it, by a three-goal margin on the scoreboard.
NHL · · every National Hockey League line
Utah Mammoth vs Philadelphia Flyers: final score and how the prediction did, November 1, 2026
- Final scoreMammoth 3, Flyers 6 the projected winner lost
- Pregame Projected winnerMammoth 53%
- Model spreadeven total 6.5
- Margin3
- Total9 projected 6.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Utah Mammoth or Philadelphia Flyers: the bandwagon
Axle 53–47Market 62–38
FinalPregame: PHI 47%Baseline: PHI 76.3% (+29.8)Big swing: 21.7 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| PHI | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Shots
UTAH 22PHI 21
Utah Mammoth at Philadelphia Flyers win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for PHI over the last 5:00
Big swing21.7 ptstoward PHI at 21:38 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 1 goals in the final period
BaselinePHI 76.3%game average, +29.8 points from the pregame 46.6%
Utah Mammoth vs Philadelphia Flyers live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | UTAH | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | UTAH22 | PHI21 |
| Hits | UTAH26 | PHI30 |
| Blocked shots | UTAH12 | PHI16 |
| Power play | UTAH2/5 | PHI0/2 |
| Faceoff win | UTAH48.1% | PHI51.9% |
| Takeaways | UTAH4 | PHI2 |
| Giveaways | UTAH18 | PHI21 |
| Penalty minutes | UTAH13 | PHI19 |
Utah Mammoth vs Philadelphia Flyers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | UTAH | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Score | UTAH3 | PHI6 |
| Average win probability | UTAH24% | PHI76% |
| Longest scoring run | UTAH+2 | PHI+4 |
| Time leading | UTAH0:00 | PHI38:58 |
Utah Mammoth vs Philadelphia Flyers model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET
Mammoth53%
Win chanceFlyers47%
SpreadPKclosing model spread
Total6.5
Moneyline−115away / +115homeaway / home
Line movementPHI win chance, 13 stored lines
No move
52%41%
Oct 28Oct 30Nov 1
Every stored line
| Stored | PHI win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:44 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 9:56 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 9:46 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:48 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:44 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 47% | — |
- Ratings
- PHI 1469 · UTAH 1517
- Home spread
- PK
- Stored
- Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET · 2026-11-01 10:02 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Utah Mammoth 3, Philadelphia Flyers 6. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Oct 29, 10:43 PM UTC
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · 1 pick
Be the first on the bandwagon
MammothFlyers
Neutrals only–
MammothFlyers
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Flyers–
1 pick so far; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Mammoth vs Flyers odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NHL marketKalshi had the Mammoth at 62% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 62% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 53% when last read, .
| Source | UTAH | PHI | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 62% | 38% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 62% | 38% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 53% | 47% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, PHI: −8Polymarket minus model, PHI: −8
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Utah Mammoth vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Mammoth the favorite, with a 53% chance to win; its spread rounds to even. The model total is 6.5. Ratings: Flyers 1471 (25th of 32), Mammoth 1515 (13th). The Flyers are 4-9-4 in the Metropolitan Division; the Mammoth are 10-6 in the Central Division. The Flyers have won 1 of their last 5; the Mammoth 3 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Flyers won 0, the Mammoth 4.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Utah Mammoth
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Toronto Maple Leafs | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Philadelphia Flyers | L 3–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Pittsburgh Penguins | W 4–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Minnesota Wild | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tampa Bay Lightning | W 5–4 | – | – | matchup |
Philadelphia Flyers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Minnesota Wild | L 2–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Utah Mammoth | W 6–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Washington Capitals | L 2–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Columbus Blue Jackets | L 3–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Anaheim Ducks | L 4–5 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Mammoth at Philadelphia Flyers | 3–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| Philadelphia Flyers at Utah Mammoth | 4–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| Philadelphia Flyers at Utah Mammoth | 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Utah Mammoth at Philadelphia Flyers | 4–2 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Utah Mammoth: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Philadelphia Flyers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Mammoth10-6 Central Division, 2nd · W1
- Mammoth rating1515 13th of 32, 16 games
- Flyers4-9-4 Metropolitan Division, 8th · L1
- Flyers rating1471 25th of 32, 17 games
Utah Mammoth 10-6
National Hockey League · Central Division · 2nd · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MAMMOTH
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MAMMOTH
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MAMMOTH
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $MAMMOTH: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Utah Mammoth bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Philadelphia Flyers 4-9-4
National Hockey League · Metropolitan Division · 8th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $FLYERS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $FLYERS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $FLYERS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $FLYERS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Philadelphia Flyers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Utah Mammoth at Philadelphia Flyers
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