Utah Mammoth vs Pittsburgh Penguins: final score and how the prediction did, October 29, 2026
- Final scoreMammoth 4, Penguins 3
- Pregame Projected winnereven
- Pregame Projected scorePenguins 3.3, Mammoth 3.3
- Model spreadeven total 6.5
- Margin1 projected 0
- Total7 projected 6.5
Bandwagon Axle 1.1 · Updated
Utah Mammoth or Pittsburgh Penguins: the bandwagon
Axle 49–51Market 55–45
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| PIT | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Utah Mammoth at Pittsburgh Penguins win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Utah Mammoth vs Pittsburgh Penguins live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | UTAH | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | UTAH34 | PIT34 |
| Hits | UTAH25 | PIT7 |
| Blocked shots | UTAH20 | PIT12 |
| Power play | UTAH0/1 | PIT0/1 |
| Faceoff win | UTAH56.1% | PIT43.9% |
| Takeaways | UTAH6 | PIT4 |
| Giveaways | UTAH16 | PIT19 |
| Penalty minutes | UTAH2 | PIT2 |
Utah Mammoth vs Pittsburgh Penguins team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | UTAH | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Score | UTAH4 | PIT3 |
| Average win probability | UTAH70% | PIT30% |
| Longest scoring run | UTAH+3 | PIT+3 |
| Time leading | UTAH46:19 | PIT0:25 |
Utah Mammoth vs Pittsburgh Penguins model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | PIT win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:48 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:44 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:14 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 51% | — |
- Ratings
- PIT 1502 · UTAH 1514
- Home spread
- PK
- Stored
- Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET · 2026-10-29 10:01 UTC
- Version
- Axle 1.1
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Utah Mammoth 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 3. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
The inputs behind this line were not recorded (it was stored before model 2.0). Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
1 pick so far; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Mammoth vs Penguins odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NHL marketKalshi had the Mammoth at 55% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 55% when last read, ; and Axle 1.1 had them at 49% when last read, .
| Source | UTAH | PIT | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 55% | 45% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 55% | 46% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 49% | 51% | · model 1.1 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Utah Mammoth vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction
Bandwagon's model has this one even: 51% for the Penguins. The model total is 6.5. Ratings: Penguins 1489 (18th of 32), Mammoth 1515 (13th). The Penguins are 5-8-2 in the Metropolitan Division; the Mammoth are 10-6 in the Central Division. The Penguins have won 2 of their last 5; the Mammoth 3 of their last 5. The two have met 5 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Penguins won 2, the Mammoth 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Utah Mammoth
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Toronto Maple Leafs | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Philadelphia Flyers | L 3–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Pittsburgh Penguins | W 4–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Minnesota Wild | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tampa Bay Lightning | W 5–4 | – | – | matchup |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Vegas Golden Knights | L 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Montreal Canadiens | L 4–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Utah Mammoth | L 3–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Nashville Predators | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Florida Panthers | W 4–0 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Penguins at Utah Mammoth | 4–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| Pittsburgh Penguins at Utah Mammoth | 4–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Utah Mammoth at Pittsburgh Penguins | 5–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Pittsburgh Penguins at Utah Mammoth | 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Utah Mammoth at Pittsburgh Penguins | 6–1 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Utah Mammoth: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Pittsburgh Penguins: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Mammoth10-6 Central Division, 2nd · W1
- Mammoth rating1515 13th of 32, 16 games
- Penguins5-8-2 Metropolitan Division, 7th · L3
- Penguins rating1489 18th of 32, 15 games
Utah Mammoth 10-6
National Hockey League · Central Division · 2nd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $MAMMOTH: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Utah Mammoth bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Pittsburgh Penguins 5-8-2
National Hockey League · Metropolitan Division · 7th · streak L3
No stances yet today on $PENGUINS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Pittsburgh Penguins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Utah Mammoth at Pittsburgh Penguins
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Final: Mammoth 4, Penguins 3. Bandwagon's model had it even and projected Penguins 3.3, Mammoth 3.3; spread even, total 6.5. Last read: Kalshi 55%, Polymarket 55% for the Mammoth.