Tampa Bay has the only goal so far, 1-0 early in the first period, and the model puts the Lightning at 63 percent at home. Crowd picks have not come in yet, so the model is the only number on the board.

annikalund is ▲ on the Detroit Red Wings @ Tampa Bay Lightning ($REDWINGSLIGHTNING261104) bandwagon: Tampa Bay has the only goal so far, 1-0 early in the first period, and the model puts the Lightning at 63 percent at home. Crowd picks have not come in yet, so