Vancouver Canucks vs Utah Mammoth prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerMammoth 71%
- Projected scoreMammoth 4.2, Canucks 2.9
- Model spreadMammoth −1.5 total 7
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Vancouver Canucks or Utah Mammoth: the bandwagon
Axle 29–71Market 23–77
Vancouver Canucks at Utah Mammoth win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Vancouver Canucks vs Utah Mammoth live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Vancouver Canucks vs Utah Mammoth team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | VAN | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Score | VAN– | UTAH– |
| Average win probability | VAN– | UTAH– |
| Longest scoring run | VAN– | UTAH– |
| Time leading | VAN– | UTAH– |
Vancouver Canucks vs Utah Mammoth model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | UTAH win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 10:21 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 10:21 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:46 PM ET | 71% | +1 |
| Nov 3, 10:46 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:53 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:43 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 70% | — |
- Ratings
- UTAH 1515 · VAN 1385
- Home spread
- −1.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 10:21 PM ET · 2026-11-05 03:21 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Canucks vs Mammoth odds on Polymarket
Every NHL marketPolymarket prices the Mammoth at 77%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 71%.
Prices read: Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | VAN | UTAH | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 23% | 77% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 29% | 71% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Vancouver Canucks vs Utah Mammoth prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Mammoth a 1.5-point favorite at home, with a 71% chance to win. The model total is 7. Ratings: Mammoth 1515 (13th of 32), Canucks 1385 (32nd). The Mammoth are 10-6 in the Central Division; the Canucks are 3-13-1 in the Pacific Division. The Mammoth have won 3 of their last 5; the Canucks 1 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Mammoth won 6, the Canucks 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Vancouver Canucks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Anaheim Ducks | L 4–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Toronto Maple Leafs | L 2–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at San Jose Sharks | L 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Anaheim Ducks | W 6–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Minnesota Wild | L 2–4 | – | – | matchup |
Utah Mammoth
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Toronto Maple Leafs | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Philadelphia Flyers | L 3–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Pittsburgh Penguins | W 4–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Minnesota Wild | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tampa Bay Lightning | W 5–4 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Mammoth at Vancouver Canucks | 7–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Vancouver Canucks at Utah Mammoth | 2–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| Utah Mammoth at Vancouver Canucks | 4–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Utah Mammoth at Vancouver Canucks | 3–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Vancouver Canucks at Utah Mammoth | 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Vancouver Canucks at Utah Mammoth | 2–3 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Vancouver Canucks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Utah Mammoth: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Canucks3-13-1 Pacific Division, 8th · L3
- Canucks rating1385 32nd of 32, 17 games
- Mammoth10-6 Central Division, 2nd · W1
- Mammoth rating1515 13th of 32, 16 games
Vancouver Canucks 3-13-1
National Hockey League · Pacific Division · 8th · streak L3
No stances yet today on $CANUCKS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Vancouver Canucks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Utah Mammoth 10-6
National Hockey League · Central Division · 2nd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $MAMMOTH: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Utah Mammoth bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Vancouver Canucks at Utah Mammoth
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Model: Mammoth 71% to win. Projected score Mammoth 4.2, Canucks 2.9; spread Mammoth −1.5, total 7. Polymarket 77% for the Mammoth. Vancouver Canucks at Utah Mammoth, Mon, Nov 16, 9:30 PM ET.