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Minnesota Wild vs Boston Bruins prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Minnesota Wild or Boston Bruins: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 50–50Market 53–47

Scheduled · Pregame: BOS 50%
Record 11-3-3
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Record 11-4-1
Game clock
KickoffSaturday, November 14 at 7:00 PM ET
Situation
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Shots
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Minnesota Wild at Boston Bruins win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:0060:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:0060:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Minnesota Wild vs Boston Bruins live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Minnesota Wild vs Boston Bruins team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatMINBOS
ScoreMIN–BOS–
Average win probabilityMIN–BOS–
Longest scoring runMIN–BOS–
Time leadingMIN–BOS–

Minnesota Wild vs Boston Bruins model odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 2 h ago
Wild50%
Win chance
Bruins50%
SpreadPK
Total6
Moneyline+101away / −101homeaway / home
Line movementBOS win chance, 18 stored lines
−1 pts for BOS since Nov 1
57%45%
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: BOS 51%Nov 1, 6:12 PM ET: BOS 50%Nov 1, 10:45 PM ET: BOS 50%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: BOS 50%Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET: BOS 50%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: BOS 50%Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET: BOS 51%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: BOS 51%Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET: BOS 50%Nov 3, 9:43 PM ET: BOS 50%Nov 3, 9:53 PM ET: BOS 50%Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET: BOS 50%Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET: BOS 50%Nov 3, 10:46 PM ET: BOS 50%Nov 3, 11:46 PM ET: BOS 50%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: BOS 50%Nov 4, 10:21 PM ET: BOS 50%Nov 4, 10:21 PM ET: BOS 50%
Nov 1Nov 3Now
Every stored line
StoredBOS winMove
Nov 4, 10:21 PM ET50%0
Nov 4, 10:21 PM ET50%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET50%0
Nov 3, 11:46 PM ET50%0
Nov 3, 10:46 PM ET50%0
Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET50%0
Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET50%0
Nov 3, 9:53 PM ET50%0
Nov 3, 9:43 PM ET50%0
Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET50%−1
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET51%0
Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET51%+1
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET50%0
Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET50%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET50%0
Nov 1, 10:45 PM ET50%0
Nov 1, 6:12 PM ET50%−1
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET51%—
Ratings
BOS 1534 · MIN 1557
Home spread
PK
Stored
Nov 4, 10:21 PM ET · 2026-11-05 03:21 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

WildBruins
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Bruins–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Wild vs Bruins odds on Polymarket

Every NHL market

Polymarket prices the Wild at 53%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 50%.

Prices read: Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .

SourceMINBOSPrice read
Polymarket53%47%
Bandwagon model50%50% · model 2.0
Polymarket minus model, BOS: −3

Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works

Minnesota Wild vs Boston Bruins prediction

Bandwagon's model has this one even: 50% for the Bruins. The model total is 6. Ratings: Bruins 1534 (9th of 32), Wild 1557 (3rd). The Bruins are 11-4-1 in the Atlantic Division; the Wild are 11-3-3 in the Central Division. The Bruins have won 3 of their last 5; the Wild 4 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Bruins won 2, the Wild 4.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Minnesota Wild

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Philadelphia FlyersW 4–2––matchup
at Washington CapitalsW 5–1––matchup
vs New York IslandersL 3–4––matchup
at Utah MammothW 3–1––matchup
at Vancouver CanucksW 4–2––matchup

Boston Bruins

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Vegas Golden KnightsW 3–2––matchup
vs Chicago BlackhawksW 5–4––matchup
at St. Louis BluesL 1–4––matchup
at Carolina HurricanesL 1–2––matchup
vs San Jose SharksW 6–4––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Boston Bruins at Minnesota Wild1–4––matchup
Minnesota Wild at Boston Bruins3–6––matchup
Boston Bruins at Minnesota Wild2–6––matchup
Boston Bruins at Minnesota Wild0–1––matchup
Minnesota Wild at Boston Bruins0–3––matchup
Boston Bruins at Minnesota Wild2–3––matchup

Injuries

Minnesota Wild: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Boston Bruins: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Wild11-3-3 Central Division, 1st · W2
  • Wild rating1557 3rd of 32, 17 games
  • Bruins11-4-1 Atlantic Division, 1st · W2
  • Bruins rating1534 9th of 32, 16 games

Minnesota Wild 11-3-3

National Hockey League · Central Division · 1st · streak W2

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $WILD
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $WILD
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $WILD
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $WILD: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Minnesota Wild bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Wild roster, schedule and more

Boston Bruins 11-4-1

National Hockey League · Atlantic Division · 1st · streak W2

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $BRUINS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $BRUINS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $BRUINS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $BRUINS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Boston Bruins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bruins roster, schedule and more

Takes on Minnesota Wild at Boston Bruins

Sign in to post a take on $WILDBRUINS261115: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

Model: even. Projected score Bruins 3.0, Wild 3.0; spread even, total 6. Polymarket 53% for the Wild. Minnesota Wild at Boston Bruins, Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET.