New York Islanders vs Minnesota Wild: final score and how the prediction did, October 29, 2026
- Final scoreIslanders 4, Wild 3 the projected winner lost
- Pregame Projected winnerWild 62%
- Pregame Projected scoreWild 3.5, Islanders 2.5
- Model spreadWild −1 total 6
- Margin1 projected 1
- Total7 projected 6
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
New York Islanders or Minnesota Wild: the bandwagon
Axle 38–62Market 36–64
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYI | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| MIN | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
New York Islanders at Minnesota Wild win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
New York Islanders vs Minnesota Wild live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | NYI | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | NYI26 | MIN25 |
| Hits | NYI30 | MIN31 |
| Blocked shots | NYI15 | MIN12 |
| Power play | NYI1/2 | MIN0/3 |
| Faceoff win | NYI55.2% | MIN44.8% |
| Takeaways | NYI4 | MIN6 |
| Giveaways | NYI16 | MIN23 |
| Penalty minutes | NYI6 | MIN4 |
New York Islanders vs Minnesota Wild team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | NYI | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NYI4 | MIN3 |
| Average win probability | NYI50% | MIN50% |
| Longest scoring run | NYI+2 | MIN+1 |
| Time leading | NYI24:34 | MIN15:25 |
New York Islanders vs Minnesota Wild model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | MIN win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 62% | +1 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:48 AM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:44 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:14 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 61% | — |
- Ratings
- MIN 1550 · NYI 1487
- Home spread
- −1
- Stored
- Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET · 2026-10-30 02:27 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
- Last move
- spread −0.5 → −1, home 61% → 62%
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: New York Islanders 4, Minnesota Wild 3. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Oct 29, 10:43 PM UTC
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Islanders vs Wild odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NHL marketKalshi had the Wild at 64% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 65% when last read, ; and Axle 1.1 had them at 61% when last read, ; the two venues were 1 point apart at those reads.
| Source | NYI | MIN | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 36% | 64% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 35% | 65% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 38% | 62% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
New York Islanders vs Minnesota Wild prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Wild a 1-point favorite at home, with a 62% chance to win. The model total is 6. Ratings: Wild 1557 (3rd of 32), Islanders 1485 (20th). The Wild are 11-3-3 in the Central Division; the Islanders are 7-5-2 in the Metropolitan Division. The Wild have won 4 of their last 5; the Islanders 2 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Wild won 4, the Islanders 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
New York Islanders
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Edmonton Oilers | L 0–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Minnesota Wild | W 4–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Nashville Predators | W 4–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Dallas Stars | L 3–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Los Angeles Kings | L 2–3 | – | – | matchup |
Minnesota Wild
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Philadelphia Flyers | W 4–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Washington Capitals | W 5–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New York Islanders | L 3–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Utah Mammoth | W 3–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Vancouver Canucks | W 4–2 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Islanders at Minnesota Wild | 4–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Minnesota Wild at New York Islanders | 5–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Minnesota Wild at New York Islanders | 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| New York Islanders at Minnesota Wild | 3–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| New York Islanders at Minnesota Wild | 0–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| Minnesota Wild at New York Islanders | 4–2 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
New York Islanders: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Minnesota Wild: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Islanders7-5-2 Metropolitan Division, 5th · L1
- Islanders rating1485 20th of 32, 14 games
- Wild11-3-3 Central Division, 1st · W2
- Wild rating1557 3rd of 32, 17 games
New York Islanders 7-5-2
National Hockey League · Metropolitan Division · 5th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $ISLANDERS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the New York Islanders bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Minnesota Wild 11-3-3
National Hockey League · Central Division · 1st · streak W2
No stances yet today on $WILD: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Minnesota Wild bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on New York Islanders at Minnesota Wild
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Final: Islanders 4, Wild 3. Bandwagon's model had the Wild at 62% and projected Wild 3.5, Islanders 2.5; spread Wild −1, total 6. Last read: Kalshi 64%, Polymarket 65% for the Wild.