Carolina Hurricanes vs Seattle Kraken prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerHurricanes 69%
- Projected scoreHurricanes 3.8, Kraken 2.7
- Model spreadHurricanes −1 total 6.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Carolina Hurricanes or Seattle Kraken: the bandwagon
Axle 69–31Market 66–34
Carolina Hurricanes at Seattle Kraken win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Carolina Hurricanes vs Seattle Kraken live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Carolina Hurricanes vs Seattle Kraken team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | CAR | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CAR– | SEA– |
| Average win probability | CAR– | SEA– |
| Longest scoring run | CAR– | SEA– |
| Time leading | CAR– | SEA– |
Carolina Hurricanes vs Seattle Kraken model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | SEA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:46 PM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:46 PM ET | 31% | +1 |
| Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:53 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:43 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 10:45 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 3:43 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:44 AM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 9:56 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 9:46 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 10:51 PM ET | 30% | −1 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 31% | — |
- Ratings
- SEA 1467 · CAR 1602
- Home spread
- +1 · neutral site, no home advantage
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Hurricanes vs Kraken odds on Polymarket
Every NHL marketPolymarket prices the Hurricanes at 66%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 69%.
Prices read: Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | CAR | SEA | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 66% | 34% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 69% | 31% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Carolina Hurricanes vs Seattle Kraken prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Hurricanes a 1-point favorite, with a 69% chance to win. The model total is 6.5. Ratings: Kraken 1467 (26th of 32), Hurricanes 1602 (1st). The Kraken are 8-5-1 in the Pacific Division; the Hurricanes are 12-3-2 in the Metropolitan Division. The Kraken have won 3 of their last 5; the Hurricanes 4 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Kraken won 3, the Hurricanes 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Carolina Hurricanes
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Nashville Predators | L 1–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Winnipeg Jets | W 7–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Columbus Blue Jackets | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Boston Bruins | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at St. Louis Blues | W 4–0 | – | – | matchup |
Seattle Kraken
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Calgary Flames | L 2–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Toronto Maple Leafs | W 5–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Minnesota Wild | L 1–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Utah Mammoth | W 5–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Detroit Red Wings | W 4–3 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina Hurricanes at Seattle Kraken | 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Seattle Kraken at Carolina Hurricanes | 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Seattle Kraken at Carolina Hurricanes | 4–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Carolina Hurricanes at Seattle Kraken | 4–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Seattle Kraken at Carolina Hurricanes | 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Carolina Hurricanes at Seattle Kraken | 4–7 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Carolina Hurricanes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Seattle Kraken: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Hurricanes12-3-2 Metropolitan Division, 1st · L1
- Hurricanes rating1602 1st of 32, 17 games
- Kraken8-5-1 Pacific Division, 3rd · L1
- Kraken rating1467 26th of 32, 14 games
Carolina Hurricanes 12-3-2
National Hockey League · Metropolitan Division · 1st · streak L1
No stances yet today on $HURRICANES: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Carolina Hurricanes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Seattle Kraken 8-5-1
National Hockey League · Pacific Division · 3rd · streak L1
No stances yet today on $KRAKEN: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Seattle Kraken bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Carolina Hurricanes at Seattle Kraken
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Model: Hurricanes 69% to win. Projected score Hurricanes 3.8, Kraken 2.7; spread Hurricanes −1, total 6.5. Polymarket 66% for the Hurricanes. Carolina Hurricanes at Seattle Kraken, Thu, Nov 12, 12:00 PM ET.